Result
0:1
21/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (307/373) | 86% (493/570) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (307/373) | 86% (493/570) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 47% (34/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (93/120) | 69% (100/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Mancilla P. 🟨,
- 45', Caicedo B. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Coronel D. ↓, Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. ↑,
- 46', Chere A. ↓, Bueno S. ↑,
- 46', Branda V. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,
- 57', Arroyo D. 🟨,
- 60', Arias R. 🟨,
- 67', Cortez Casierra G. J. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 71', Mancilla P. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
- 71', Arroyo D. ↓, Sambonino K. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 1, Gonzalez P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 84', Gonzalez P. ↓, Naula A. ↑,
- 87', Diaz D. 🟨,
- 89', Arias R. ↓, Cabezas E. ↑,
- 89', Diaz D. ↓, Vivar J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja
41.4% | Draw
29.6% | Guayaquil City
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Loja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Libertad Loja - Guayaquil City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.02) |
3.13 ↓
(3.42) |
3.18 ↓
(3.53) |
7.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Guayaquil City?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Guayaquil City will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Libertad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Guayaquil City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guayaquil City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Libertad is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Guayaquil City?
Libertad Loja has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guayaquil City won against Libertad Loja?
Guayaquil City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Guayaquil City were as follows:
09.10.2023
Libertad Loja
-
Guayaquil City
1:0
06.05.2023
Guayaquil City
-
Libertad Loja
1:1
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Latest results of Guayaquil City
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Aucas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Mushuc Runa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Macara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Emelec | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Orense | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Libertad | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 | Delfin | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4:6 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Leones del Norte | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Manta | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 3:13 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
