Result
2:2
02/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 33
- Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (355/452) | 73% (195/266) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (355/452) | 73% (195/266) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (38/75) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (132/179) | 69% (62/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (10/35) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (19/24) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 83 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.48 | 2.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', Sebas J. 🟨,
- 10', Ariss Z. 🟨,
- 16', Louiserre D. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Ghrieb R. ⚽, Labeau B. (A),
- 29', Inao Oulai C. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Tomi F. ⚽, Ariss Z. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Nair S. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 2, Cisse L. ⚽,
- 63', Ghrieb R. ↓, Sidibe K. ↑,
- 63', Labeau B. ↓, Hemia A. ↑,
- 71', Sebas J. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
- 73', Le Bris T. ↓, Guendouz S. ↑,
- 73', Siwe J. ↓, Luvambo T. ↑,
- 76', Tomi F. ↓, Vincent C. ↑,
- 81', Ble M. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 2, Gomis D. ⚽, Guendouz S. (A),
- 85', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Meynadier T. ↑,
- 85', Cisse L. ↓, Boumaaoui M. A. ↑,
- 90', Bohnert F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guingamp
50.8% | Draw
27.9% | Bastia
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Guingamp - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(1.91) |
3.36 ↓
(3.39) |
4.39 ↑
(4.02) |
5.7%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Guingamp - Bastia?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Bastia (votes: 3 - 100%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Guingamp will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Guingamp could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Guingamp: Hemia A.
(Injury)
Maronnier L.
(Inactive)
Mendes J. A.
(Inactive)
Ndour A.
(Injury)
Ourega D.
(Inactive)
Sidibe K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bastia: Aiki A.
(Injury)
Guevara J.
(Injury)
Janneh J.
(Thigh Injury)
Tramoni L.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Bastia: Akueson G.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Bastia?
Guingamp has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Guingamp?
Bastia has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Bastia were as follows:
13.12.2024
Bastia
-
Guingamp
3:1
20.04.2024
Guingamp
-
Bastia
0:1
28.10.2023
Bastia
-
Guingamp
0:0
18.02.2023
Bastia
-
Guingamp
1:1
22.10.2022
Guingamp
-
Bastia
1:1
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
