Bastia vs Guingamp – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
30/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 4
  • Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 4
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.61
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
74% (241/325)71% (232/326)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.291.50
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1411
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1227
Passes
74% (241/325)71% (232/326)
Long passes
41% (28/69)36% (30/83)
Passes in final third
57% (58/102)59% (51/86)
Crosses
21% (5/24)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.58
Throw-ins
3116
Fouls
2712
Tackles
55% (6/11)78% (7/9)
Duels won
5355
Clearances
3034
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.500.29
Goals prevented
-1.50-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, N'Landu D. , Hatchi J. (A),
  • 11', 0 - 2, Hatchi J. , Ott G. (A),
  • 21', Akueson G. 🟨,
  • 27', Parravicini N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Karamoko I. , Tomi F. ,
  • 46', Meynadier T. , Bohnert F. ,
  • 46', Sebas J. 🟨,
  • 47', Vincent C. 🟨,
  • 47', Louiserre D. 🟨,
  • 55', 0 - 3, Mafouta L. , Ott G. (A),
  • 56', Abdallah A. , Ourega D. ,
  • 62', Sebas J. , Aiki A. ,
  • 63', 1 - 3, Boutrah A. , Etoga L. (A),
  • 70', Hatchi J. , Matumona J. ,
  • 71', N'Landu D. , Ahile T. ,
  • 75', Parravicini N. , Ble M. ,
  • 82', Akueson G. , Roncaglia A. ,
  • 84', Matumona J. 🟨,
  • 88', Ortola A. , Bartouche-Selbonne T. ,
  • 89', Ott G. , Kielt S. ,

Chances of winning


Bastia
42.9%
Draw
28.5%
Guingamp
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 28.7% 30.5%

Bastia - Guingamp Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.65
(2.3)
3.8
(3.27)
3.66
(3.08)
-8.5%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bastia - Guingamp?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bastia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 2.
    • Guingamp's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Guingamp has had a series of home games.
    • Bastia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bastia: Basset D. (Injury) Ducrocq T. (Red Card) Guevara J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive) Sagna A. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Guingamp were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Guingamp - Bastia 2:2
    13.12.2024 Bastia - Guingamp 3:1
    20.04.2024 Guingamp - Bastia 0:1
    28.10.2023 Bastia - Guingamp 0:0
    18.02.2023 Bastia - Guingamp 1:1
    Latest results of Bastia
    22.08.2025 Le Mans - Bastia 1:0
    15.08.2025 Bastia - Pau 1:1
    10.05.2025 Bastia - Caen 2:1
    02.05.2025 Guingamp - Bastia 2:2
    25.04.2025 Bastia - Grenoble 2:3
    Latest results of Guingamp
    23.08.2025 Guingamp - Red Star 0:4
    16.08.2025 Reims - Guingamp 1:0
    09.08.2025 Guingamp - Le Mans 3:3
    01.08.2025 Guingamp - Stade Briochin 3:1
    26.07.2025 Guingamp - Lorient 1:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1594227:141331
    2St Etienne1592433:221129
    3Red Star1584321:15628
    4Reims1574428:20825
    5Montpellier1573517:14324
    6Le Mans1566319:16324
    7Guingamp1565424:25-123
    8Pau FC1565421:23-223
    9Dunkerque1556426:18821
    10Annecy1554617:16119
    11Clermont1546515:19-418
    12Grenoble1545617:20-317
    13Rodez1545615:21-617
    14Laval1536612:16-415
    15Amiens1543819:24-515
    16Nancy1543814:21-715
    17Boulogne1543816:23-715
    18Bastia1514106:20-147

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National