Result
1:3
30/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 4
- Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA 4 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (241/325) | 71% (232/326) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (241/325) | 71% (232/326) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (28/69) | 36% (30/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (58/102) | 59% (51/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.50 | -0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, N'Landu D. ⚽, Hatchi J. (A),
- 11', 0 - 2, Hatchi J. ⚽, Ott G. (A),
- 21', Akueson G. 🟨,
- 27', Parravicini N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Karamoko I. ↓, Tomi F. ↑,
- 46', Meynadier T. ↓, Bohnert F. ↑,
- 46', Sebas J. 🟨,
- 47', Vincent C. 🟨,
- 47', Louiserre D. 🟨,
- 55', 0 - 3, Mafouta L. ⚽, Ott G. (A),
- 56', Abdallah A. ↓, Ourega D. ↑,
- 62', Sebas J. ↓, Aiki A. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 3, Boutrah A. ⚽, Etoga L. (A),
- 70', Hatchi J. ↓, Matumona J. ↑,
- 71', N'Landu D. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
- 75', Parravicini N. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
- 82', Akueson G. ↓, Roncaglia A. ↑,
- 84', Matumona J. 🟨,
- 88', Ortola A. ↓, Bartouche-Selbonne T. ↑,
- 89', Ott G. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bastia
42.9% | Draw
28.5% | Guingamp
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Bastia - Guingamp Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.3) |
3.8 ↑
(3.27) |
3.66 ↑
(3.08) |
-8.5%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bastia - Guingamp?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Guingamp (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bastia will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bastia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Bastia (votes: 4 - 80%). Guingamp (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 2.
- Guingamp's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Guingamp has had a series of home games.
- Bastia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Bastia: Basset D.
(Injury)
Ducrocq T.
(Red Card)
Guevara J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Guingamp: Nair S.
(Ankle Injury)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
Sagna A.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Guingamp?
Bastia has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Bastia?
Guingamp has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Guingamp were as follows:
02.05.2025
Guingamp
-
Bastia
2:2
13.12.2024
Bastia
-
Guingamp
3:1
20.04.2024
Guingamp
-
Bastia
0:1
28.10.2023
Bastia
-
Guingamp
0:0
18.02.2023
Bastia
-
Guingamp
1:1
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 45 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 41:29 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Reims | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 40 |
| 5 | Red Star | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 40 |
| 6 | Dunkerque | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 40:25 | 15 | 38 |
| 7 | Annecy | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 36 |
| 8 | Rodez | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | Nancy | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 21:32 | -11 | 26 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Clermont | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 25 |
| 16 | Amiens | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
| 17 | Bastia | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 12:25 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Laval | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 18:34 | -16 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
