Bastia vs Guingamp – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Bastia - Guingamp
Result
1:3
30/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 4
  • Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 4
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.61
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
74% (241/325)71% (232/326)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.291.50
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1411
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1227
Passes
74% (241/325)71% (232/326)
Long passes
41% (28/69)36% (30/83)
Passes in final third
57% (58/102)59% (51/86)
Crosses
21% (5/24)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.58
Throw-ins
3116
Fouls
2712
Tackles
55% (6/11)78% (7/9)
Duels won
5355
Clearances
3034
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.500.29
Goals prevented
-1.50-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, N'Landu D. , Hatchi J. (A),
  • 11', 0 - 2, Hatchi J. , Ott G. (A),
  • 21', Akueson G. 🟨,
  • 27', Parravicini N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Karamoko I. , Tomi F. ,
  • 46', Meynadier T. , Bohnert F. ,
  • 46', Sebas J. 🟨,
  • 47', Vincent C. 🟨,
  • 47', Louiserre D. 🟨,
  • 55', 0 - 3, Mafouta L. , Ott G. (A),
  • 56', Abdallah A. , Ourega D. ,
  • 62', Sebas J. , Aiki A. ,
  • 63', 1 - 3, Boutrah A. , Etoga L. (A),
  • 70', Hatchi J. , Matumona J. ,
  • 71', N'Landu D. , Ahile T. ,
  • 75', Parravicini N. , Ble M. ,
  • 82', Akueson G. , Roncaglia A. ,
  • 84', Matumona J. 🟨,
  • 88', Ortola A. , Bartouche-Selbonne T. ,
  • 89', Ott G. , Kielt S. ,

Chances of winning


Bastia
42.9%
Draw
28.5%
Guingamp
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 28.7% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Bastia - Guingamp Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (2.3)
    3.8
    (3.27)
    3.66
    (3.08)
    -8.5%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Bastia - Guingamp?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bastia (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Bastia will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 2.
    • Guingamp's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Guingamp has had a series of home games.
    • Bastia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bastia: Basset D. (Injury) Ducrocq T. (Red Card) Guevara J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Guingamp: Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive) Sagna A. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Guingamp were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Guingamp - Bastia 2:2
    13.12.2024 Bastia - Guingamp 3:1
    20.04.2024 Guingamp - Bastia 0:1
    28.10.2023 Bastia - Guingamp 0:0
    18.02.2023 Bastia - Guingamp 1:1
    Latest results of Bastia
    22.08.2025 Le Mans - Bastia 1:0
    15.08.2025 Bastia - Pau 1:1
    10.05.2025 Bastia - Caen 2:1
    02.05.2025 Guingamp - Bastia 2:2
    25.04.2025 Bastia - Grenoble 2:3
    Latest results of Guingamp
    23.08.2025 Guingamp - Red Star 0:4
    16.08.2025 Reims - Guingamp 1:0
    09.08.2025 Guingamp - Le Mans 3:3
    01.08.2025 Guingamp - Stade Briochin 3:1
    26.07.2025 Guingamp - Lorient 1:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes861117:71019
    2St Etienne752015:7817
    3Pau FC852113:7617
    4Reims842212:9314
    5Red Star741212:7513
    6Montpellier83238:8011
    7Nancy83238:9-111
    8Rodez83237:10-311
    9Clermont82428:10-210
    10Guingamp731311:15-410
    11Dunkerque823316:1429
    12Amiens823311:12-19
    13Le Mans82339:10-19
    14Annecy82249:12-38
    15Laval81437:11-47
    16Grenoble81346:10-46
    17Boulogne72055:9-46
    18Bastia80354:11-73

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National