Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 5
- Referee: Copeland S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.88 | 1.84 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
70% (290/414) | 72% (297/410) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.88 | 1.84 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.25 | 1.80 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
70% (290/414) | 72% (297/410) |
Long passes |
---|
35% (27/77) | 37% (33/90) |
Passes in final third |
---|
59% (84/142) | 58% (74/128) |
Crosses |
---|
27% (7/26) | 30% (3/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.07 | 0.83 |
Throw-ins |
---|
34 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
53% (16/30) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
---|
88 | 56 |
Clearances |
---|
31 | 36 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.80 | 0.25 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.20 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Darcy R. ⚽, Bonis L. (A),
- 39', Dibley-Dias M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 1, Duke-McKenna S. ⚽, McCoulsky S. (A),
- 63', Dibley-Dias M. ↓, Fleck J. ↑,
- 63', Duffy D. ↓, Markanday D. ↑,
- 74', Darcy R. ↓, Mandeville L. ↑,
- 75', Bonis L. ↓, Grigg W. ↑,
- 77', Taylor E. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
- 81', Bradbury T. ↓, Faulkner B. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Dunkley C. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
- 83', Stirk R. ↓, Naylor T. ↑,
- 87', Burrell W. ↓, Asare Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town 18.1% | Draw 25.2% | Chesterfield 56.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harrogate Town's form might have worsened.Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chesterfield's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harrogate Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chesterfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Harrogate Town - Chesterfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.55 ↑ (3.8) |
3.88 ↑ (3.6) |
1.7 ↓ (1.9) |
2.5% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Chesterfield?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Chesterfield will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Chesterfield is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M.
(Ankle Injury)
Sutton L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Thomson G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Berry-McNally J.
(Injury)
Butterfield L.
(Foot Injury)
Donacien J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tanton D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Dibley-Dias M.
(Injury)
Williams T.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Chesterfield?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Harrogate Town?
Chesterfield has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Chesterfield were as follows:
22.03.2025
Chesterfield
-
Harrogate Town
0:0
16.11.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Chesterfield
2:1
Latest results of Harrogate Town
Latest results of Chesterfield
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gillingham | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
2 | Swindon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
3 | Walsall | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 15 |
4 | Grimsby | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
5 | Bromley | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Crewe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
7 | Chesterfield | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
8 | Salford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
9 | MK Dons | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 11 |
10 | Notts Co | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 11 |
11 | Fleetwood | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
12 | Cambridge Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Tranmere | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
15 | Harrogate | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
16 | Colchester | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
17 | Oldham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
18 | Barnet | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
19 | Barrow | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
20 | Crawley | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
21 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
22 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Cheltenham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
24 | Accrington | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League