Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 32
- Referee: Farmer A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.42 | 0.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (302/414) | 79% (388/489) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.42 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (302/414) | 79% (388/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (31/84) | 43% (30/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (74/121) | 70% (95/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.30 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (16/25) | 90% (9/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | 1.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Bonis L. ⚽, Mandeville L. (A),
- 24', Gibson L. ↓, O'Connor A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sutton E. ↓, Brenan T. ↑,
- 57', Bonis L. 🟨,
- 59', Bonis L. 🟨,
- 66', Pearce T. 🟨,
- 70', Pearce T. ↓, Stirk R. ↑,
- 70', Markanday D. ↓, Ladapo F. ↑,
- 70', Mandeville L. ↓, Donacien J. ↑,
- 74', Slater J. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
- 82', Smith R. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 1, Brenan T. ⚽, Muldoon J. (A),
- 85', Naylor T. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
- 86', Brenan T. 🟨,
- 89', Muldoon J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chesterfield
64.6% | Draw
20.8% | Harrogate Town
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Chesterfield - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.41) |
4.49 ↑
(4.43) |
6.38 ↓
(6.86) |
7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Harrogate Town?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Harrogate will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 9 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 1.
- Recent performances by Chesterfield have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Harrogate is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Harrogate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Harrogate has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Chesterfield is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Fleck J.
(Inactive)
Hobson B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M.
(Inactive)
Bradbury T.
(Injury)
Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Fox B.
(Inactive)
McCoulsky S.
(Inactive)
Oxley M.
(Inactive)
Sutton L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Gordon L.
(Injury)
Owolabi-Belewu M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Headman C.
(Inactive)
Hill T.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Harrogate Town?
Chesterfield has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Chesterfield?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Harrogate Town were as follows:
23.08.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Chesterfield
1:2
22.03.2025
Chesterfield
-
Harrogate Town
0:0
16.11.2024
Harrogate Town
-
Chesterfield
2:1
Latest results of Chesterfield
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
