Mansfield Town vs Harrogate Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English EFL Trophy Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town
Result
0:1
09/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.28
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
102
Passes
71% (315/442)72% (257/359)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.000.98
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
84
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
102
Touches in opposition box
368
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
71% (315/442)72% (257/359)
Long passes
45% (35/78)41% (33/81)
Passes in final third
60% (101/169)55% (60/110)
Crosses
19% (6/32)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.14
Throw-ins
3222
Fouls
1411
Tackles
57% (8/14)47% (8/17)
Duels won
6365
Clearances
2663
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.981.00
Goals prevented
-0.021.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Bennett M. (Pen),
  • 31', Evans J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Evans J. , Sutton L. ,
  • 51', Faulkner B. 🟨,
  • 57', McAdam K. , Maris G. ,
  • 57', Gardner J. , Moriah-Welsh N. ,
  • 66', Dickov M. , Evans W. ,
  • 66', McLaughlin S. , Blake-Tracy F. ,
  • 68', Bennett M. , Smith R. ,
  • 69', Hewitt E. , Taylor O. ,
  • 73', McAleny C. , Taylor E. ,
  • 73', Fox B. , Morris B. ,
  • 78', Muldoon J. , Cursons T. ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mansfield Town
48.1%
Draw
26.8%
Harrogate Town
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 23.6% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 22.7% 16.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mansfield Town's form might have worsened.
  • Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harrogate Town's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mansfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harrogate Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.51)
    3.5
    (3.8)
    3.72
    (5.27)
    4.8%
    (11.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Harrogate will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 50.5%99.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Harrogate (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 2.
    • Recent performances by Mansfield have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Harrogate is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mansfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mansfield is the team to beat.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 2.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town were as follows:
    13.02.2024 Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town 9:2
    24.10.2023 Harrogate Town - Mansfield Town 1:4
    19.11.2022 Harrogate Town - Mansfield Town 3:0
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    Latest results of Harrogate Town
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