Result
0:3
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 38
- Referee: Dowle K. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (274/379) | 78% (297/380) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 2.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (274/379) | 78% (297/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/64) | 39% (28/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (88/157) | 59% (51/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 36 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 38% (6/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 73 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 61 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.19 | 0.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 9', 0 - 1, Smith R. ⚽, Gibson L. (A),
- 11', 0 - 2, Headman C. ⚽, Evans J. (A),
- 39', 0 - 3, Headman C. ⚽, Hill T. (A),
- 45', Norman C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Norman C. ↓, Obiero Z. ↑,
- 46', Warrington L. ↓, Kenneh N. ↑,
- 50', Whitaker C. 🟨,
- 59', Hill T. 🟨,
- 60', Patrick O. ↓, Solomon S. ↑,
- 66', Hill T. ↓, Brenan T. ↑,
- 66', Plant J. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,
- 79', Kenneh N. 🟨,
- 80', Evans J. ↓, Sutton L. ↑,
- 80', Muldoon J. ↓, Acquah E. ↑,
- 84', Smith R. ↓, Sutton E. ↑,
- 84', Taylor E. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tranmere Rovers
43.2% | Draw
28.7% | Harrogate Town
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tranmere Rovers's form might have worsened.Harrogate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harrogate Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Tranmere Rovers - Harrogate Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.8) |
3.27 ↓
(3.5) |
3.34 ↓
(4) |
6.9%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tranmere Rovers - Harrogate Town?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Harrogate will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harrogate: 23.8% – 76.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Harrogate (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Harrogate (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Harrogate Town will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 4.
- Tranmere is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Harrogate has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tranmere may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tranmere has had a series of away games.
- Tranmere might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C.
(Inactive)
McGee L.
(Hip Injury)
Murphy J.
(Inactive)
O'Connor L.
(Inactive)
Tamen W.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Harrogate: Fox B.
(Inactive)
Marsh A.
(Inactive)
McCoulsky S.
(Inactive)
Oxley M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Tranmere: Bristow E.
(Inactive)
Dennis K.
(Inactive)
Joseph J.
(Inactive)
Turnbull J.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tranmere won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tranmere won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tranmere Rovers won against Harrogate Town?
Tranmere Rovers has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Tranmere Rovers?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tranmere Rovers - Harrogate Town were as follows:
01.01.2026
Harrogate Town
-
Tranmere Rovers
0:2
01.04.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Tranmere Rovers
3:2
14.12.2024
Tranmere Rovers
-
Harrogate Town
2:1
29.12.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Tranmere Rovers
0:2
15.08.2023
Tranmere Rovers
-
Harrogate Town
3:0
Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
Latest results of Harrogate Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
