Result
4:0
30/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (143/200) | 88% (510/581) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.69 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.96 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (143/200) | 88% (510/581) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (19/50) | 61% (25/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (44/70) | 75% (136/182) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 26% (8/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 2.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Dieng M. ⚽, Hairston M. (A),
- 24', 2 - 0, Dieng M. ⚽,
- 26', 3 - 0, Ngalina M. ⚽, Jimenez J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zelalem G. ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
- 46', Hurst G. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
- 60', Luiz Fernando ↓, Harris D. ↑,
- 60', Lindsey J. ↓, Seymore W. ↑,
- 63', Jimenez J. ↓, Makangila B. ↑,
- 66', Noel V. ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
- 68', Hairston M. ↓, Careaga S. ↑,
- 79', Dieng M. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
- 82', 4 - 0, Edwards K. ⚽,
- 87', Gloster C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hartford Athletic
42% | Draw
25.6% | New Mexico United
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartford Athletic's performance.New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+5%)
Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.54) |
3.61 ↑
(3.61) |
2.86 ↑
(2.43) |
8.1%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Hartford will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). New Mexico will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartford Athletic won against New Mexico United?
Hartford Athletic has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Hartford Athletic?
New Mexico United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United were as follows:
08.06.2024
New Mexico United
-
Hartford Athletic
1:0
05.08.2023
Hartford Athletic
-
New Mexico United
2:1
Latest results of Hartford Athletic
Latest results of New Mexico United
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
