Result
4:0
30/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.69 | 1.29 |
Ball Possession |
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27% | 73% |
Total shots |
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15 | 24 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 9 |
Passes |
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72% (143/200) | 88% (510/581) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.69 | 1.29 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.96 | 0.05 |
Total shots |
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15 | 24 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
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8 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
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1 | 12 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 13 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
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22 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
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6 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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8 | 4 |
Passes |
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72% (143/200) | 88% (510/581) |
Long passes |
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38% (19/50) | 61% (25/41) |
Passes in final third |
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63% (44/70) | 75% (136/182) |
Crosses |
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18% (2/11) | 26% (8/31) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.93 | 0.87 |
Throw-ins |
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13 | 22 |
Fouls |
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4 | 8 |
Tackles |
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71% (5/7) | 73% (8/11) |
Duels won |
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39 | 31 |
Clearances |
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43 | 18 |
Interceptions |
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15 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 2 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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0.05 | 2.96 |
Goals prevented |
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0.05 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Dieng M. ⚽, Hairston M. (A),
- 24', 2 - 0, Dieng M. ⚽,
- 26', 3 - 0, Ngalina M. ⚽, Jimenez J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zelalem G. ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
- 46', Hurst G. ↓, Amang T. ↑,
- 60', Luiz Fernando ↓, Harris D. ↑,
- 60', Lindsey J. ↓, Seymore W. ↑,
- 63', Jimenez J. ↓, Makangila B. ↑,
- 66', Noel V. ↓, Pondeca T. ↑,
- 68', Hairston M. ↓, Careaga S. ↑,
- 79', Dieng M. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
- 82', 4 - 0, Edwards K. ⚽,
- 87', Gloster C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hartford Athletic 42% | Draw 25.6% | New Mexico United 32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartford Athletic's performance.New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+5%)
Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.2 ↓ (2.54) |
3.61 ↑ (3.61) |
2.86 ↑ (2.43) |
8.1% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Hartford will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). New Mexico will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartford Athletic won against New Mexico United?
Hartford Athletic has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New Mexico United won against Hartford Athletic?
New Mexico United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United were as follows:
08.06.2024
New Mexico United
-
Hartford Athletic
1:0
05.08.2023
Hartford Athletic
-
New Mexico United
2:1
Latest results of Hartford Athletic
Latest results of New Mexico United
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Pittsburgh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
11 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
3 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
5 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
7 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )