Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United
Result
4:0
30/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.691.29
Ball Possession
27%73%
Total shots
1524
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
49
Passes
72% (143/200)88% (510/581)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.691.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.960.05
Total shots
1524
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
88
Blocked Shots
112
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
613
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
49
Touches in opposition box
2224
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
84
Passes
72% (143/200)88% (510/581)
Long passes
38% (19/50)61% (25/41)
Passes in final third
63% (44/70)75% (136/182)
Crosses
18% (2/11)26% (8/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.87
Throw-ins
1322
Fouls
48
Tackles
71% (5/7)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3931
Clearances
4318
Interceptions
157
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.052.96
Goals prevented
0.05-1.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Dieng M. , Hairston M. (A),
  • 24', 2 - 0, Dieng M. ,
  • 26', 3 - 0, Ngalina M. , Jimenez J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Zelalem G. , Vargas M. ,
  • 46', Hurst G. , Amang T. ,
  • 60', Luiz Fernando , Harris D. ,
  • 60', Lindsey J. , Seymore W. ,
  • 63', Jimenez J. , Makangila B. ,
  • 66', Noel V. , Pondeca T. ,
  • 68', Hairston M. , Careaga S. ,
  • 79', Dieng M. , Edwards K. ,
  • 82', 4 - 0, Edwards K. ,
  • 87', Gloster C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hartford Athletic
42%
Draw
25.6%
New Mexico United
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 25.6% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 25.2% 37.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartford Athletic's performance.
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.54)
    3.61
    (3.61)
    2.86
    (2.43)
    8.1%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hartford will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). New Mexico will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United were as follows:
    08.06.2024 New Mexico United - Hartford Athletic 1:0
    05.08.2023 Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United 2:1
    Latest results of Hartford Athletic
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City17115130:131738
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1682625:20526
    5Pittsburgh1765615:15023
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1655626:28-220
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1846819:25-618
    10Rhode Island1745814:18-417
    11Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216
    12Tampa Bay16421017:25-814


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1683523:21227
    3New Mexico1681722:21125
    4Sacramento Republic1666422:121024
    5Orange County SC1672726:23323
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Phoenix Rising1765627:30-323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights1753913:28-1518

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )