Hartford Athletic vs New Mexico United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United
Result
4:0
30/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.691.29
Ball Possession
27%73%
Total shots
1524
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
49
Passes
72% (143/200)88% (510/581)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.691.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.960.05
Total shots
1524
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
88
Blocked Shots
112
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
613
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
49
Touches in opposition box
2224
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
84
Passes
72% (143/200)88% (510/581)
Long passes
38% (19/50)61% (25/41)
Passes in final third
63% (44/70)75% (136/182)
Crosses
18% (2/11)26% (8/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.87
Throw-ins
1322
Fouls
48
Tackles
71% (5/7)73% (8/11)
Duels won
3931
Clearances
4318
Interceptions
157
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.052.96
Goals prevented
0.05-1.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Dieng M. , Hairston M. (A),
  • 24', 2 - 0, Dieng M. ,
  • 26', 3 - 0, Ngalina M. , Jimenez J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Zelalem G. , Vargas M. ,
  • 46', Hurst G. , Amang T. ,
  • 60', Luiz Fernando , Harris D. ,
  • 60', Lindsey J. , Seymore W. ,
  • 63', Jimenez J. , Makangila B. ,
  • 66', Noel V. , Pondeca T. ,
  • 68', Hairston M. , Careaga S. ,
  • 79', Dieng M. , Edwards K. ,
  • 82', 4 - 0, Edwards K. ,
  • 87', Gloster C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hartford Athletic
42%
Draw
25.6%
New Mexico United
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 25.6% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 25.2% 37.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartford Athletic's performance.
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.54)
    3.61
    (3.61)
    2.86
    (2.43)
    8.1%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hartford will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). New Mexico will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • New Mexico may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United were as follows:
    08.06.2024 New Mexico United - Hartford Athletic 1:0
    05.08.2023 Hartford Athletic - New Mexico United 2:1
    Latest results of Hartford Athletic
    Latest results of New Mexico United
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City21146142:172548
    2Charleston20142441:212044
    3North Carolina20103731:27433
    4Loudoun2094731:29231
    5Pittsburgh2177720:19128
    6Detroit2177724:24028
    7Hartford Athletic2075829:23626
    8Indy Eleven2065932:37-523
    9Rhode Island21561015:23-821
    10Miami FC21551121:34-1320
    11Birmingham2148924:33-920
    12Tampa Bay20531222:31-918


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa21126337:231442
    2Sacramento Republic2087529:171231
    3El Paso2087533:27631
    4San Antonio2085725:26-129
    5Phoenix Rising2177735:37-228
    6Lexington2177723:27-428
    7Orange County SC1983828:25327
    8New Mexico1983826:28-227
    9Colorado Springs2066825:29-424
    10Monterey Bay22661023:29-624
    11Oakland Roots20631124:32-821
    12Las Vegas Lights21551117:39-2220

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )