Melbourne Demons vs Hawthorn Hawks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/05/2025 at 23:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne).

AFL - Round 9
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Footy
Canada	TSN 2
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1

Match Stats


Goals
7	13
Behinds
14	13
Kicks
215	203
Handballs
145	166
Disposals
360	369
Frees For
22	22
Frees Against
22	22
Clearances Completed
39	25
Marks
97	98
Tackles
59	43
Hitouts
41	27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (15 - 21)
00:53, Spargo C. (Behind),
01:59, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
03:55, Meek L. (G),
05:23, Moore D. (Behind),
06:39, Gunston J. (Behind),
08:06, Langford H. (G),
12:11, Breust L. (G),
17:17, Watson N. (G),
22:45, Sparrow T. (G),
26:02, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
29:02, Fritsch B. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (19 - 14)
01:53, Moore D. (Behind),
03:19, Macdonald C. (Behind),
04:22, Sharp H. (Behind),
08:18, Pickett K. (Behind),
10:04, Windsor C. (Behind),
11:43, Moore D. (G),
16:58, (Behind Rushed),
18:14, Spargo C. (Behind),
21:55, Pickett K. (G),
23:49, Watson N. (G),
25:53, Petracca C. (Behind),
28:45, Langford H. (G),
30:25, Langdon E. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (15 - 15)
01:52, Sicily J. (Behind),
04:37, Fritsch B. (Behind),
05:30, Gunston J. (Behind),
09:15, Ward J. (G),
13:00, Langford H. (G),
16:25, Gunston J. (Behind),
17:17, Sharp H. (G),
19:05, Chandler K. (Behind),
22:58, Pickett K. (Behind),
24:19, Ginnivan J. (G),
4th Quarter (7 - 41)
02:44, Gawn M. (Behind),
04:38, Gunston J. (G),
07:15, Moore D. (Behind),
10:28, Gunston J. (G),
12:36, Chol M. (G),
14:10, Pickett K. (G),
15:55, Gunston J. (Behind),
17:46, Chol M. (G),
24:43, Gunston J. (G),
25:58, Weddle J. (G),
27:22, Worpel J. (Behind),
29:12, Watson N. (Behind),
32', (Behind),

Chances of winning

Melbourne Demons
24.7%

Hawthorn Hawks
75.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

72.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (3.44)		1.24 ↓ (1.31)	7.7% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-24)

What is the prediction for Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks?

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Hawthorn will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 73:97.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 4.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Hawthorn is seen as the favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 1388:1388. (average 77.1:77.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 585:612. (average 73.1:76.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Demons won against Hawthorn Hawks?

Melbourne Demons has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Melbourne Demons?

Hawthorn Hawks has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks were as follows:

23.03.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons 38:93

20.08.2023 Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks 87:60

13.05.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons 49:103

Latest results of Melbourne Demons

03.05.2025 West Coast Eagles - Melbourne Demons 76:108 ✺

24.04.2025 Melbourne Demons - Richmond Tigers 83:63 ✺

18.04.2025 Melbourne Demons - Fremantle Dockers 107:97 ✺

12.04.2025 Melbourne Demons - Essendon Bombers 57:96 ✺

04.04.2025 Geelong Cats - Melbourne Demons 85:46 ✺

Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks

04.05.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Richmond Tigers 109:44 ✺

27.04.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - West Coast Eagles 124:74 ✺

21.04.2025 Geelong Cats - Hawthorn Hawks 86:79 ✺

13.04.2025 Port Adelaide Power - Hawthorn Hawks 121:91 ✺

29.03.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Greater Western Sydney Giants 76:64 ✺

AFL Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		%%	Pts
1	Adelaide Crows	20	15	0	5	2019:1401	144.11	60
2	Collingwood Magpies	19	15	0	4	1742:1290	135.04	60
3	Brisbane Lions	19	13	1	5	1689:1524	110.83	54
4	Geelong Cats	19	13	0	6	1949:1452	134.23	52
5	Hawthorn Hawks	20	13	0	7	1764:1500	117.60	52
6	Fremantle Dockers	19	13	0	6	1636:1464	111.75	52
7	GWS Giants	20	13	0	7	1766:1586	111.35	52
8	Western Bulldogs	20	12	0	8	2165:1577	137.29	48
9	Gold Coast Suns	18	12	0	6	1677:1403	119.53	48
10	Sydney Swans	19	9	0	10	1499:1596	93.92	36
11	Port Adelaide Power	19	8	0	11	1419:1706	83.18	32
12	Carlton Blues	19	7	0	12	1450:1554	93.31	28
13	Melbourne Demons	19	6	0	13	1532:1703	89.96	24
14	St Kilda Saints	19	6	0	13	1535:1777	86.38	24
15	Essendon Bombers	18	6	0	12	1227:1712	71.67	24
16	Richmond Tigers	19	5	0	14	1223:1796	68.10	20
17	North Melbourne	19	4	1	14	1422:1954	72.77	18
18	West Coast Eagles	19	1	0	18	1249:1968	63.47	4

Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )