Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons
Result
92:56
16/08/2025 at 02:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+, TNT Sports 1

Match Stats

Goals
138
Behinds
148
Kicks
233208
Handballs
171165
Disposals
404373
Frees For
1418
Frees Against
1814
Clearances Completed
3639
Marks
10267
Tackles
5366
Hitouts
3244

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (33 - 6)
  • 00:49, Moore D. (G),
  • 03:50, Gunston J. (G),
  • 06:48, Gunston J. (G),
  • 09:24, Petty H. (G),
  • 11:23, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 13:47, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 14:41, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 25:08, Watson N. (G),
  • 28:17, Dear C. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (16 - 9)
  • 00:51, (Behind Rushed),
  • 04:36, Petracca C. (Behind),
  • 06:28, Moore D. (G),
  • 09:49, Langford H. (Behind),
  • 13:48, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 14:20, Gunston J. (G),
  • 16:22, Chol M. (Behind),
  • 18:12, Oliver C. (G),
  • 20:01, Sharp H. (Behind),
  • 25:47, Chol M. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (21 - 12)
  • 01:08, Chandler K. (G),
  • 03:38, Gunston J. (G),
  • 10:43, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 14:55, Breust L. (G),
  • 16:50, Petty H. (G),
  • 24:49, Gunston J. (G),
  • 29:22, Dear C. (Behind),
  • 30:15, Breust L. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (22 - 29)
  • 01:24, Van Rooyen J. (G),
  • 03:32, Gunston J. (G),
  • 05:36, Gunston J. (Behind),
  • 08:58, Jiath C. (Behind),
  • 11:30, Gunston J. (G),
  • 13:10, Macdonald C. (Behind),
  • 14:55, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
  • 18:20, (Behind Rushed),
  • 19:23, Sharp H. (Behind),
  • 19:57, Chandler K. (Behind),
  • 23:22, Macdonald C. (G),
  • 25:36, Gawn M. (Behind),
  • 26:07, Sharp H. (Behind),
  • 28:34, Langford H. (G),
  • 30:24, Van Rooyen J. (G),
  • 32:31, Pickett K. (G),

Chances of winning


Hawthorn Hawks
71.6%
Melbourne Demons
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.4% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.2% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.31)

    3.28
    (3.42)
    6.5%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 164.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-20)
  • What is the prediction for Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hawthorn will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hawthorn Hawks will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 92:72.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hawthorn is the team to beat.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 1479:1444. (average 77.8:76).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 776:803. (average 77.6:80.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons were as follows:
    09.05.2025 Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks 56:91
    23.03.2024 Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons 38:93
    20.08.2023 Melbourne Demons - Hawthorn Hawks 87:60
    13.05.2023 Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons 49:103
    Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
    Latest results of Melbourne Demons
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2318052278:1635139.3372
    2Geelong Cats2317062425:1714141.4868
    3Collingwood Magpies2316071991:1627122.3764
    4Brisbane Lions2215161972:1725114.3262
    5Hawthorn Hawks2215071966:1602122.7260
    6GWS Giants2215072010:1741115.4560
    7Fremantle Dockers2215071866:1718108.6160
    8Western Bulldogs2214082396:1708140.2856
    9Gold Coast Suns2214082020:1682120.1056
    10Sydney Swans22110111727:185193.3044
    11Carlton Blues2390141799:186196.6736
    12St Kilda Saints2290131746:197388.4936
    13Port Adelaide Power2390141705:213679.8236
    14Melbourne Demons2370161902:203893.3328
    15Essendon Bombers2260161477:205671.8424
    16North Melbourne2351171805:236576.3222
    17Richmond Tigers2350181449:219765.9520
    18West Coast Eagles2210211415:232060.994

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )