Result
 
                    92:56
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        16/08/2025 at  02:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  AFL - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Australia | AFL, Fox Footy | 
|  New-zealand | Sky Sport 5 | 
|  United-kingdom | Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Goals | 
|---|
| 13 | 8 | 
| Behinds | 
|---|
| 14 | 8 | 
| Kicks | 
|---|
| 233 | 208 | 
| Handballs | 
|---|
| 171 | 165 | 
| Disposals | 
|---|
| 404 | 373 | 
| Frees For | 
|---|
| 14 | 18 | 
| Frees Against | 
|---|
| 18 | 14 | 
| Clearances Completed | 
|---|
| 36 | 39 | 
| Marks | 
|---|
| 102 | 67 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 53 | 66 | 
| Hitouts | 
|---|
| 32 | 44 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Quarter (33 - 6)
- 00:49, Moore D. (G), 
- 03:50, Gunston J. (G), 
- 06:48, Gunston J. (G), 
- 09:24, Petty H. (G), 
- 11:23, Gunston J. (Behind), 
- 13:47, Macdonald C. (Behind), 
- 14:41, Gunston J. (Behind), 
- 25:08, Watson N. (G), 
- 28:17, Dear C. (G), 
- 2nd Quarter (16 - 9)
- 00:51,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 04:36, Petracca C. (Behind), 
- 06:28, Moore D. (G), 
- 09:49, Langford H. (Behind), 
- 13:48, Gunston J. (Behind), 
- 14:20, Gunston J. (G), 
- 16:22, Chol M. (Behind), 
- 18:12, Oliver C. (G), 
- 20:01, Sharp H. (Behind), 
- 25:47, Chol M. (Behind), 
- 3rd Quarter (21 - 12)
- 01:08, Chandler K. (G), 
- 03:38, Gunston J. (G), 
- 10:43, Macdonald C. (Behind), 
- 14:55, Breust L. (G), 
- 16:50, Petty H. (G), 
- 24:49, Gunston J. (G), 
- 29:22, Dear C. (Behind), 
- 30:15, Breust L. (Behind), 
- 4th Quarter (22 - 29)
- 01:24, Van Rooyen J. (G), 
- 03:32, Gunston J. (G), 
- 05:36, Gunston J. (Behind), 
- 08:58, Jiath C. (Behind), 
- 11:30, Gunston J. (G), 
- 13:10, Macdonald C. (Behind), 
- 14:55, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind), 
- 18:20,  (Behind Rushed), 
- 19:23, Sharp H. (Behind), 
- 19:57, Chandler K. (Behind), 
- 23:22, Macdonald C. (G), 
- 25:36, Gawn M. (Behind), 
- 26:07, Sharp H. (Behind), 
- 28:34, Langford H. (G), 
- 30:24, Van Rooyen J. (G), 
- 32:31, Pickett K. (G), 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Hawthorn Hawks 71.6%
 | Melbourne Demons 28.4%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.32 ↑ (1.31)
 | 
 | 3.28 ↓ (3.42)
 | 6.5% (5.9%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 164.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-20)
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            4 users predict this event. Hawthorn will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hawthorn Hawks will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 92:72.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hawthorn is the team to beat.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 1479:1444. (average 77.8:76).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 776:803. (average 77.6:80.3).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Melbourne Demons?
                    
                    
                        
                            Hawthorn Hawks has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Demons won against Hawthorn Hawks?
                    
                    
                        
                             Melbourne Demons has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons were as follows:
                                                        
                                09.05.2025 
                                Melbourne Demons 
                                - 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                56:91
                            
        
                                                        
                                23.03.2024 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                - 
                                Melbourne Demons 
                                38:93
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.08.2023 
                                Melbourne Demons 
                                - 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                87:60
                            
        
                                                        
                                13.05.2023 
                                Hawthorn Hawks 
                                - 
                                Melbourne Demons 
                                49:103
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Melbourne Demons