Result
92:56
16/08/2025 at 02:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFL - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 5 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 233 | 208 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 171 | 165 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 404 | 373 |
| Frees For |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Frees Against |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 36 | 39 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 102 | 67 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53 | 66 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 32 | 44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (33 - 6)
- 00:49, Moore D. (G),
- 03:50, Gunston J. (G),
- 06:48, Gunston J. (G),
- 09:24, Petty H. (G),
- 11:23, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 13:47, Macdonald C. (Behind),
- 14:41, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 25:08, Watson N. (G),
- 28:17, Dear C. (G),
- 2nd Quarter (16 - 9)
- 00:51, (Behind Rushed),
- 04:36, Petracca C. (Behind),
- 06:28, Moore D. (G),
- 09:49, Langford H. (Behind),
- 13:48, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 14:20, Gunston J. (G),
- 16:22, Chol M. (Behind),
- 18:12, Oliver C. (G),
- 20:01, Sharp H. (Behind),
- 25:47, Chol M. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (21 - 12)
- 01:08, Chandler K. (G),
- 03:38, Gunston J. (G),
- 10:43, Macdonald C. (Behind),
- 14:55, Breust L. (G),
- 16:50, Petty H. (G),
- 24:49, Gunston J. (G),
- 29:22, Dear C. (Behind),
- 30:15, Breust L. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (22 - 29)
- 01:24, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 03:32, Gunston J. (G),
- 05:36, Gunston J. (Behind),
- 08:58, Jiath C. (Behind),
- 11:30, Gunston J. (G),
- 13:10, Macdonald C. (Behind),
- 14:55, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
- 18:20, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:23, Sharp H. (Behind),
- 19:57, Chandler K. (Behind),
- 23:22, Macdonald C. (G),
- 25:36, Gawn M. (Behind),
- 26:07, Sharp H. (Behind),
- 28:34, Langford H. (G),
- 30:24, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 32:31, Pickett K. (G),
Chances of winning
Hawthorn Hawks
71.6% | Melbourne Demons
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hawthorn Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.32 ↑
(1.31) |
|
3.28 ↓
(3.42) |
6.5%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 164.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-20)
What is the prediction for Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Hawthorn will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hawthorn Hawks will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 92:72.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hawthorn is the team to beat.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 1479:1444. (average 77.8:76).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 776:803. (average 77.6:80.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Hawthorn Hawks won against Melbourne Demons?
Hawthorn Hawks has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Demons won against Hawthorn Hawks?
Melbourne Demons has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hawthorn Hawks - Melbourne Demons were as follows:
09.05.2025
Melbourne Demons
-
Hawthorn Hawks
56:91
23.03.2024
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Melbourne Demons
38:93
20.08.2023
Melbourne Demons
-
Hawthorn Hawks
87:60
13.05.2023
Hawthorn Hawks
-
Melbourne Demons
49:103
Latest results of Hawthorn Hawks
Latest results of Melbourne Demons
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Adelaide Crows (1) | Collingwood Magpies (4) | 55 : 79 |
| 3 | Brisbane Lions | Bye | |
| 4 | Fremantle Dockers (6) | Gold Coast Suns (7) | 79 : 80 |
| 5 | Geelong Cats (2) | Brisbane Lions (3) | 112 : 74 |
| 7 | Adelaide Crows | Bye | |
| 8 | GWS Giants (5) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 88 : 107 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Collingwood Magpies (4) | Bye | |
| 2 | Brisbane Lions (3) | Gold Coast Suns (7) | 100 : 47 |
| 3 | Geelong Cats (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Adelaide Crows (1) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 67 : 101 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Collingwood Magpies (4) | Brisbane Lions (3) | |
| 2 | Geelong Cats (2) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 115 : 85 |
Final
