Result
3:0
12/04/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 30
- Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 India | Eurosport, JioTV app |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (460/537) | 81% (318/392) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (460/537) | 81% (318/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (36/60) | 44% (24/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (106/141) | 64% (65/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 36% (5/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -1.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Mijnans S. ⚽, de Wit M. (A),
- 8', 2 - 0, Mijnans S. ⚽,
- 42', Braude O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Clasie J. ↓, Boogaard K. ↑,
- 46', Nordas L. ↓, Vente D. ↑,
- 55', de Wit M. 🟨,
- 71', 3 - 0, Parrott T. ⚽, Smit K. (A),
- 75', de Wit M. ↓, Chavez Garcia M. ↑,
- 75', Daal R. ↓, Weslley Patati ↑,
- 76', Zagaritis V. ↓, Egbring M. ↑,
- 76', Meerveld R. ↓, Brouwers L. ↑,
- 80', Rivera M. ↓, Oyen L. ↑,
- 80', Willemsen M. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
- 83', Parrott T. ↓, Meerdink M. ↑,
- 83', Smit K. ↓, Sin M. ↑,
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar
54.7% | Draw
22.4% | Heerenveen
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.88) |
4.23 ↑
(3.7) |
4.16 ↑
(3.72) |
5.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 23.1% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Heerenveen (4.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 2.
- Recent performances by AZ have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Heerenveen is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Heerenveen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, AZ is the team to beat.
- There will not play in AZ: Hornkamp J.
(Injury)
Kasius D.
(Injury)
Koopmeiners P.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Vente D.
(Inactive)
van Axel Dongen A.
(Illness)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 51:27. (average 2.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:13. (average 3.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Heerenveen?
AZ Alkmaar has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against AZ Alkmaar?
Heerenveen has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen were as follows:
23.11.2025
Heerenveen
-
AZ Alkmaar
3:1
22.05.2025
AZ Alkmaar
-
Heerenveen
4:1
02.03.2025
Heerenveen
-
AZ Alkmaar
3:1
14.09.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Heerenveen
9:1
28.01.2024
Heerenveen
-
AZ Alkmaar
2:2
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV ✔ | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 84:40 | 44 | 74 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 62:41 | 21 | 55 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 72:48 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Twente | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 51:32 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 57:37 | 20 | 51 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 52:45 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 49:36 | 13 | 44 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 53:50 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Groningen | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42:37 | 5 | 42 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 35:49 | -14 | 42 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 50:45 | 5 | 36 |
| 12 | Sittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 44:55 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 40:60 | -20 | 34 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:50 | -19 | 28 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 31:51 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Telstar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30:51 | -21 | 25 |
| 18 | Heracles | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 34:77 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSV is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
