AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Football Dutch Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen
Result
4:1
22/05/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Conference League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaSportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 4
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1, Sport TV2
spainSpainGolStadium
turkeyTurkeyExxen
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.160.54
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
80
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
80% (336/420)84% (468/555)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
3.160.54
xG on target (xGOT)
4.121.02
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
80
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
3226
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
80% (336/420)84% (468/555)
Long passes
39% (21/54)49% (28/57)
Passes in final third
62% (71/114)68% (80/118)
Crosses
58% (7/12)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
2.220.61
Throw-ins
1419
Fouls
1010
Tackles
71% (17/24)67% (14/21)
Duels won
5759
Clearances
2820
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.024.12
Goals prevented
0.020.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Meerdink M. ⚽, Mijnans S. (A),
  • 18', Koopmeiners P. 🟨,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Meerdink M. ⚽, Wolfe D. M. (A),
  • 45', 3 - 0, Meerdink M. ⚽, Maikuma S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Goes W. ↓, Dekker M. ↑,
  • 61', Meerdink M. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
  • 61', Maikuma S. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,
  • 66', 4 - 0, Penetra ⚽, Mijnans S. (A),
  • 69', Lukovic M. ↓, Nicolaescu I. ↑,
  • 69', Trenskow J. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
  • 70', Hopland N. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
  • 72', Smit K. ↓, Clasie J. ↑,
  • 74', 4 - 1, Nicolaescu I. ⚽, Kohlert M. (A),
  • 76', Kohlert M. 🟨,
  • 77', Kohlert M. ↓, Bouw R. ↑,
  • 79', van Bommel R. ↓, Parrott T. ↑,
  • 83', van der Hart M. ↓, Klaverboer B. ↑,
  • 90', Braude O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


AZ Alkmaar
71%		Draw
18%		Heerenveen
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.3% 20.4% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2% 19.5% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.
  • Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heerenveen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
    •

    AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.34 ↓
    (1.5)    		 5.3 ↑
    (4.64)    		 8.62 ↑
    (5.79)    		 4.9%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 21 - 91.3%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 79.8% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AZ Alkmaar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • AZ is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 2.
    • AZ is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Heerenveen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, AZ is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in AZ: Clasie J. (Calf Injury) Parrott T. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P. (Knee Injury) Jahanbakhsh A. (Inactive) Milovanovic M. (Injury) de Wijs J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in AZ: Addai J. (Injury) Belic K. (Ribs Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heerenveen: Noppert A. (Injury)
    • We predict that AZ will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 49:24. (average 2.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:12. (average 2.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar 3:1
    14.09.2024 AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen 9:1
    28.01.2024 Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar 2:2
    21.10.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen 3:0
    01.04.2023 AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen 1:1
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    18.05.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Almere City 1:1 ✺
    14.05.2025 Twente - AZ Alkmaar 2:3 ✺
    11.05.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Groningen 3:0 ✺
    04.05.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - AZ Alkmaar 0:3 ✺
    24.04.2025 AZ Alkmaar - NAC Breda 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Heerenveen
    18.05.2025 Heerenveen - Feyenoord 2:0 ✺
    14.05.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Heerenveen 1:0 ✺
    10.05.2025 Waalwijk - Heerenveen 3:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen 1:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Heerenveen - Almere City 2:1 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sittard00000:000
    2Telstar00000:000
    3FC Volendam00000:000
    4Zwolle00000:000
    5PSV00000:000
    6Ajax00000:000
    7NAC Breda00000:000
    8Twente00000:000
    9Heerenveen00000:000
    10Feyenoord00000:000
    11Nijmegen00000:000
    12Utrecht00000:000
    13AZ Alkmaar00000:000
    14Sparta Rotterdam00000:000
    15Heracles00000:000
    16Excelsior00000:000
    17G.A. Eagles00000:000
    18Groningen00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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