Result
4:1
22/05/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Conference League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | SportKlub 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1, Sport TV2 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.16 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (336/420) | 84% (468/555) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.16 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.12 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (336/420) | 84% (468/555) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (21/54) | 49% (28/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (71/114) | 68% (80/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 4.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Meerdink M. ⚽, Mijnans S. (A),
- 18', Koopmeiners P. 🟨,
- 21', 2 - 0, Meerdink M. ⚽, Wolfe D. M. (A),
- 45', 3 - 0, Meerdink M. ⚽, Maikuma S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Goes W. ↓, Dekker M. ↑,
- 61', Meerdink M. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
- 61', Maikuma S. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,
- 66', 4 - 0, Penetra ⚽, Mijnans S. (A),
- 69', Lukovic M. ↓, Nicolaescu I. ↑,
- 69', Trenskow J. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
- 70', Hopland N. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
- 72', Smit K. ↓, Clasie J. ↑,
- 74', 4 - 1, Nicolaescu I. ⚽, Kohlert M. (A),
- 76', Kohlert M. 🟨,
- 77', Kohlert M. ↓, Bouw R. ↑,
- 79', van Bommel R. ↓, Parrott T. ↑,
- 83', van der Hart M. ↓, Klaverboer B. ↑,
- 90', Braude O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AZ Alkmaar
71% | Draw
18% | Heerenveen
11.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AZ Alkmaar's performance.Heerenveen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heerenveen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.5) |
5.3 ↑
(4.64) |
8.62 ↑
(5.79) |
4.9%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 21 - 91.3%). Heerenveen will win (votes: 1 - 4.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 79.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AZ Alkmaar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- AZ is Qualified for Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AZ won 2.
- AZ is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Heerenveen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, AZ is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in AZ: Clasie J.
(Calf Injury)
Parrott T.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P.
(Knee Injury)
Jahanbakhsh A.
(Inactive)
Milovanovic M.
(Injury)
de Wijs J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in AZ: Addai J.
(Injury)
Belic K.
(Ribs Injury)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Noppert A.
(Injury)
- We predict that AZ will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AZ won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 49:24. (average 2.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, AZ won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:12. (average 2.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Heerenveen?
AZ Alkmaar has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against AZ Alkmaar?
Heerenveen has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AZ Alkmaar - Heerenveen were as follows:
02.03.2025
Heerenveen
-
AZ Alkmaar
3:1
14.09.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Heerenveen
9:1
28.01.2024
Heerenveen
-
AZ Alkmaar
2:2
21.10.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Heerenveen
3:0
01.04.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Heerenveen
1:1
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nijmegen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | PSV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | NAC Breda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Groningen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Sittard | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Twente | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Telstar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 18 | Heracles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
