Result
3:1
23/11/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 13
- Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
 India | Eurosport, JioTV app |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Extra 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 2 |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (375/470) | 83% (439/528) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.10 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.99 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (375/470) | 83% (439/528) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (30/68) | 51% (29/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (129/173) | 72% (79/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 3.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | 0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Vente D. ⚽, Brouwers L. (A),
- 40', 2 - 0, van Overeem J. ⚽, Braude O. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Weslley Patati ↓, Sin M. ↑,
- 46', Sadiq I. ↓, Bouziane W. ↑,
- 54', Kersten S. 🟨,
- 65', de Wit M. ↓, Chavez Garcia M. ↑,
- 71', Dekker M. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Parrott T. ⚽, Bouziane W. (A),
- 79', 3 - 1, Brouwers L. ⚽, Trenskow J. (A),
- 80', Trenskow J. ↓, Gurbuz E. ↑,
- 81', Meerveld R. ↓, Hopland N. ↑,
- 83', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Kwakman D. ↑,
- 86', Vente D. ↓, Sejk V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Heerenveen
33.3% | Draw
24% | AZ Alkmaar
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↓
(2.91) |
3.93 ↓
(4.01) |
2.23 ↑
(2.15) |
4.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Heerenveen will win (votes: 5 - 25%). AZ will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 49.9% – 90.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Heerenveen (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Heerenveen (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Heerenveen (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Heerenveen (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AZ Alkmaar will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Heerenveen (votes: 5 - 45.5%). AZ (votes: 6 - 54.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- AZ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Heerenveen has had a series of away games.
- AZ will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Heerenveen: Bochniewicz P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in AZ: Clasie J.
(Ankle Injury)
Goes W.
(Yellow Cards)
Kasius D.
(Injury)
Maikuma S.
(Knee Injury)
Meerdink M.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in AZ: Daal R.
(Injury)
Kwakman D.
(Injury)
Owusu-Oduro R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 25:52. (average 1.3:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1.2:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against AZ Alkmaar?
Heerenveen has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Heerenveen?
AZ Alkmaar has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
22.05.2025
AZ Alkmaar
-
Heerenveen
4:1
02.03.2025
Heerenveen
-
AZ Alkmaar
3:1
14.09.2024
AZ Alkmaar
-
Heerenveen
9:1
28.01.2024
Heerenveen
-
AZ Alkmaar
2:2
21.10.2023
AZ Alkmaar
-
Heerenveen
3:0
Latest results of Heerenveen
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 78:37 | 41 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 69:47 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | Ajax | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 53:35 | 18 | 48 |
| 5 | Twente | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 47:45 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 42:31 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 49:46 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Sittard | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43:52 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Telstar | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 33:70 | -37 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
