Result
3:1
21/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 16
- Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.44 | 1.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (337/390) | 83% (343/415) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.44 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.29 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (337/390) | 83% (343/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (31/55) | 50% (25/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (96/117) | 73% (98/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 35% (9/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 3.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, van der Heide A. ⚽, Raterink O. (A),
- 37', Llonch P. ↓, Dizdarevic A. ↑,
- 40', Boersma B. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Essakkati T. ↓, Absalem A. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 0, Raterink O. ⚽, van der Heide A. (A),
- 61', Bajrami L. ↓, Lukowicz M. ↑,
- 62', 3 - 0, Niemeijer R. ⚽, El Kadiri I. (A),
- 67', 3 - 1, Daneels L. (Pen),
- 68', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
- 68', Gijselhart T. ↓, Braem T. ↑,
- 78', Boersma B. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑,
- 79', van der Heide A. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
- 79', Poll T. ↓, Geerts J. ↑,
- 79', Leipold A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
- 86', El Kadiri I. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
Chances of winning
De Graafschap
51.6% | Draw
22.9% | Helmond Sport
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
De Graafschap - Helmond Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.73) |
4.07 ↓
(4.33) |
3.68 ↓
(3.85) |
6.8%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Helmond Sport?
Users Predictions:
De Graafschap will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): De Graafschap will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 3.
- De Graafschap is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Helmond Sport's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, De Graafschap is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Helmond Sport?
De Graafschap has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against De Graafschap?
Helmond Sport has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Helmond Sport were as follows:
09.05.2025
Helmond Sport
-
De Graafschap
1:4
13.09.2024
De Graafschap
-
Helmond Sport
2:3
16.02.2024
Helmond Sport
-
De Graafschap
3:1
18.09.2023
De Graafschap
-
Helmond Sport
2:1
06.03.2023
De Graafschap
-
Helmond Sport
2:0
Latest results of De Graafschap
Latest results of Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 56:21 | 35 | 52 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 46:22 | 24 | 47 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 34 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 41:39 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Roda | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:29 | 4 | 31 |
| 6 | Venlo | 21 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | Almere City | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 29 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 38:39 | -1 | 29 |
| 9 | Willem II | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:28 | -3 | 29 |
| 10 | FC Emmen | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 37:35 | 2 | 28 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 29:41 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 32:34 | -2 | 26 |
| 13 | Waalwijk | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Dordrecht | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26:31 | -5 | 24 |
| 15 | Helmond | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 25:40 | -15 | 22 |
| 17 | Oss | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 24:34 | -10 | 20 |
| 18 | Jong AZ | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 32:43 | -11 | 20 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 14 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 27:40 | -13 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
