Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

GS Staalwerken Stadion (Helmond).

Eerste Divisie - Round 38
Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.44	2.64
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
21	15
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
0	6
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
82% (332/404)	80% (307/382)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44	2.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.84	2.42
Total shots
21	15
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
12	4
Blocked Shots
5	5
Shots inside the Box
13	8
Shots outside the Box
8	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	6
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
41	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
15	7
Passes
82% (332/404)	80% (307/382)
Long passes
55% (34/62)	52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
73% (93/127)	71% (84/118)
Crosses
30% (9/30)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.03	1.29
Throw-ins
19	21
Fouls
7	15
Tackles
72% (18/25)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
61	41
Clearances
17	31
Interceptions
8	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
2.42	1.84
Goals prevented
-1.58	0.84

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Scholz J. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Mahi M. ⚽, Brittijn P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Hillen R. ↓, Saarinen S. ↑,
46', Mahi M. ↓, Seuntjens R. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Cooper-Love J. ⚽, Willemsen M. (A),
52', 1 - 3, Cooper-Love J. ⚽, Brittijn P. (A),
58', Marcal-Madivadua W. 🟨,
59', van Gilst T. ↓, Colyn S. ↑,
69', Ingason H. ↓, Ludwig M. ↑,
69', Dizdarevic A. ↓, Golliard T. ↑,
70', Daneels L. ↓, Bisselink S. ↑,
70', Marcal-Madivadua W. ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
74', 1 - 4, Brittijn P. ⚽, Colyn S. (A),
76', Ostrc E. ↓, Van Himbeeck A. ↑,
78', Cooper-Love J. ↓, El Kadiri I. ↑,
90', van den Hurk A. ↓, Pachonik T. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2xa5rdeb

Chances of winning

Helmond Sport
31.9%

Draw
23.2%

De Graafschap
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

24.7%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

23.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Helmond Sport - De Graafschap Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.28)	4.03 ↑ (3.81)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)	7.1% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - De Graafschap?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
De Graafschap is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 2.
Helmond Sport is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
De Graafschap's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
De Graafschap might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in De Graafschap: Wevers S. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Helmond Sport: Sits D. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:34. (average 1.1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against De Graafschap?

Helmond Sport has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Helmond Sport?

De Graafschap has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - De Graafschap were as follows:

13.09.2024 De Graafschap - Helmond Sport 2:3

16.02.2024 Helmond Sport - De Graafschap 3:1

18.09.2023 De Graafschap - Helmond Sport 2:1

06.03.2023 De Graafschap - Helmond Sport 2:0

18.11.2022 Helmond Sport - De Graafschap 0:2

Latest results of Helmond Sport

02.05.2025 Den Bosch - Helmond Sport 1:0 ✺

28.04.2025 Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport 1:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Helmond Sport - Cambuur 1:1 ✺

13.04.2025 VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport 4:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Helmond Sport - Telstar 2:2 ✺

Latest results of De Graafschap

02.05.2025 De Graafschap - Telstar 2:1 ✺

28.04.2025 VVV-Venlo - De Graafschap 3:1 ✺

19.04.2025 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 2:0 ✺

11.04.2025 FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap 1:0 ✺

06.04.2025 De Graafschap - Roda 2:0 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	De Graafschap	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Venlo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cambuur	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Den Bosch	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Dordrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Eindhoven FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	FC Emmen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Helmond	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Maastricht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Almere City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Oss	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Waalwijk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Roda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Vitesse	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Willem II	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Den Haag	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Jong PSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Jong Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Jong AZ	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Jong Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )