Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie Helmond Sport - De Graafschap
Result
1:4
09/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 38
  • Referee: Sturm R. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.442.64
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
2115
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
06
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
82% (332/404)80% (307/382)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.442.64
xG on target (xGOT)
1.842.42
Total shots
2115
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
124
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
87
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
06
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
4123
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
157
Passes
82% (332/404)80% (307/382)
Long passes
55% (34/62)52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
73% (93/127)71% (84/118)
Crosses
30% (9/30)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.031.29
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
715
Tackles
72% (18/25)71% (12/17)
Duels won
6141
Clearances
1731
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.421.84
Goals prevented
-1.580.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Scholz J. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Mahi M. , Brittijn P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Hillen R. , Saarinen S. ,
  • 46', Mahi M. , Seuntjens R. ,
  • 50', 1 - 2, Cooper-Love J. , Willemsen M. (A),
  • 52', 1 - 3, Cooper-Love J. , Brittijn P. (A),
  • 58', Marcal-Madivadua W. 🟨,
  • 59', van Gilst T. , Colyn S. ,
  • 69', Ingason H. , Ludwig M. ,
  • 69', Dizdarevic A. , Golliard T. ,
  • 70', Daneels L. , Bisselink S. ,
  • 70', Marcal-Madivadua W. , van der Heide A. ,
  • 74', 1 - 4, Brittijn P. , Colyn S. (A),
  • 76', Ostrc E. , Van Himbeeck A. ,
  • 78', Cooper-Love J. , El Kadiri I. ,
  • 90', van den Hurk A. , Pachonik T. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2xa5rdeb

Chances of winning


Helmond Sport
31.9%
Draw
23.2%
De Graafschap
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 24.7% 46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8% 23.9% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Helmond Sport - De Graafschap Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (3.28)
    4.03
    (3.81)
    2.08
    (2.02)
    7.1%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - De Graafschap?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • De Graafschap is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 2.
    • Helmond Sport is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • De Graafschap's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • De Graafschap might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in De Graafschap: Wevers S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Helmond Sport: Sits D. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:34. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - De Graafschap were as follows:
    13.09.2024 De Graafschap - Helmond Sport 2:3
    16.02.2024 Helmond Sport - De Graafschap 3:1
    18.09.2023 De Graafschap - Helmond Sport 2:1
    06.03.2023 De Graafschap - Helmond Sport 2:0
    18.11.2022 Helmond Sport - De Graafschap 0:2
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    02.05.2025 Den Bosch - Helmond Sport 1:0
    28.04.2025 Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport 1:0
    18.04.2025 Helmond Sport - Cambuur 1:1
    13.04.2025 VVV-Venlo - Helmond Sport 4:1
    05.04.2025 Helmond Sport - Telstar 2:2
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    02.05.2025 De Graafschap - Telstar 2:1
    28.04.2025 VVV-Venlo - De Graafschap 3:1
    19.04.2025 De Graafschap - Jong Ajax 2:0
    06.04.2025 De Graafschap - Roda 2:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Jong PSV22005:146
    2Roda22004:136
    3Waalwijk21104:314
    4Den Haag11005:143
    5Den Bosch11002:023
    6Dordrecht11001:013
    7Eindhoven FC11001:013
    8Oss21014:133
    9De Graafschap21013:303
    10Cambuur21011:103
    11Helmond20112:4-21
    12Almere City00000:000
    13Jong AZ10012:3-10
    14Jong Utrecht10010:1-10
    15FC Emmen10011:3-20
    16Jong Ajax10010:2-20
    17Willem II10011:5-40
    18Maastricht10010:4-40
    19Venlo20022:5-30

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )