Result
0:4
24/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 3.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 27 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (323/395) | 85% (452/533) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 3.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 4.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 27 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 23 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 53 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (323/395) | 85% (452/533) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/51) | 52% (30/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (69/104) | 80% (158/197) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.23 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Pukki T. ⚽, Mentu P. (A),
- 43', Kanellopoulos G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 49', Hostikka S. 🟨,
- 53', 0 - 2, Ring A. ⚽,
- 66', Olawale M. 🟨,
- 67', Patut E. ↓, Heyden J. ↑,
- 67', Cardoso H. ↓, Andersson L. ↑,
- 75', Michel B. ↓, Ezeh D. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 3, Hostikka S. ⚽,
- 77', Ring A. ↓, Vuorinen V. ↑,
- 77', Pukki T. ↓, Lingman L. ↑,
- 77', Dahlstrom S. ↓, Reid J. ↑,
- 77', Olawale M. ↓, Muskwe A. ↑,
- 83', Kanellopoulos G. ↓, Ritari M. ↑,
- 84', Hostikka S. ↓, Mero T. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 4, Antzoulas G. ⚽,
- 88', Huttunen A. ↓, Nunez W. ↑,
Chances of winning
IFK Mariehamn
12.9% | Draw
20% | HJK
67.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that IFK Mariehamn's form might have worsened.HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HJK's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IFK Mariehamn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HJK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
IFK Mariehamn - HJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.34 ↑
(4.91) |
4.8 ↑
(4.23) |
1.41 ↓
(1.63) |
5.4%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - HJK?
Users Predictions:
HJK will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 0.
- Mariehamn is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- HJK is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mariehamn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, HJK is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Mariehamn: Kivikko M.
(Inactive)
Riikonen M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in HJK: Hudd R.
(Illness)
Kallinen J.
(Inactive)
Moller L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 15:43. (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Mariehamn won against HJK?
IFK Mariehamn has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against IFK Mariehamn?
HJK has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - HJK were as follows:
14.02.2025
HJK
-
IFK Mariehamn
2:1
30.06.2024
IFK Mariehamn
-
HJK
1:2
20.04.2024
HJK
-
IFK Mariehamn
2:1
26.01.2024
HJK
-
IFK Mariehamn
1:0
05.08.2023
HJK
-
IFK Mariehamn
4:2
Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku ✔ | 19 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 43:16 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | KuPS ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Ilves ✔ | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 36 |
| 4 | HJK ✔ | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 45:25 | 20 | 35 |
| 5 | SJK ✔ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 37:28 | 9 | 34 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30:35 | -5 | 24 |
| 7 | Jaro | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | VPS | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 21 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 18 |
| 10 | Haka | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 15 |
| 12 | KTP ✔ | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21:45 | -24 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
SJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
