Result
3:0
27/06/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Referee: Simani P. (Fin)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (404/475) | 89% (490/551) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (404/475) | 89% (490/551) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 66% (27/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (90/118) | 81% (139/171) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.03 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ⚽, Antwi C. (A),
- 6', Ring A. 🟨,
- 8', 2 - 0, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ⚽, Ruoppi O. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Toure M. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
- 65', Michel B. ↓, Mero T. ↑,
- 65', Mentu P. ↓, Kallinen J. ↑,
- 71', 3 - 0, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ⚽, Antwi C. (A),
- 77', Moller L. ↓, Hudd R. ↑,
- 83', Pukki T. ↓, Baranov S. ↑,
- 85', Arifi D. ↓, Heinonen A. ↑,
- 86', Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↓, Armah B. ↑,
- 88', Pennanen P. ↓, Salo R. ↑,
- 90', Lyons-Foster B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
KuPS Kuopio
35% | Draw
26.7% | HJK
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)HJK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
KuPS Kuopio - HJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↓
(2.84) |
3.48 ↓
(3.49) |
2.46 ↑
(2.44) |
5.8%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for KuPS Kuopio - HJK?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). HJK will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KuPS: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. KuPS (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 2.
- KuPS has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- HJK is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, KuPS has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in KuPS: Pasanen S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in HJK: O'Shaughnessy D.
(Inactive)
Ost J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, KuPS won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has KuPS Kuopio won against HJK?
KuPS Kuopio has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against KuPS Kuopio?
HJK has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KuPS Kuopio - HJK were as follows:
31.05.2025
HJK
-
KuPS Kuopio
0:0
15.03.2025
HJK
-
KuPS Kuopio
3:1
19.10.2024
KuPS Kuopio
-
HJK
1:0
19.06.2024
HJK
-
KuPS Kuopio
3:1
06.04.2024
KuPS Kuopio
-
HJK
3:1
Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 32:12 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | KuPS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | HJK | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | SJK | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 7 | VPS | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Mariehamn | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:31 | -15 | 17 |
| 9 | Haka | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 16 |
| 10 | Jaro | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:35 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | KTP | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:38 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
