Result
3:1
19/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Championship Group
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (325/380) | 91% (612/676) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.60 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (325/380) | 91% (612/676) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (23/45) | 70% (32/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (70/93) | 78% (129/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 27% (7/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.39 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 40% (4/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 25 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Konate P. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 0, Ruoppi O. ⚽, Golubickas P. (A),
- 34', Miettinen S. ↓, Ricardo P. ↑,
- 45+1', Lyons-Foster B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 1, Kallinen J. ⚽, Pukki T. (A),
- 56', Ricardo Friedrich 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 1, Parzyszek P. (Pen),
- 61', Konate P. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
- 61', Kallinen J. ↓, Mentu P. ↑,
- 62', Antwi C. ↓, Pennanen P. ↑,
- 62', Michel B. ↓, Moller L. ↑,
- 62', Bogicevic M. ↓, Simojoki K. ↑,
- 76', Hostikka S. ↓, Besuijen V. ↑,
- 80', Lingman L. ↓, Tahiri A. ↑,
- 81', Pasanen S. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
- 81', Golubickas P. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Sadiku A. ⚽, Ricardo P. (A),
Chances of winning
KuPS Kuopio
41% | Draw
25.9% | HJK
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
KuPS Kuopio - HJK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.36) |
3.66 ↓
(3.8) |
2.9 ↑
(2.51) |
5.6%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for KuPS Kuopio - HJK?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). HJK will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for KuPS: 46.4% – 99%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. KuPS (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 2.
- KuPS is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- HJK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- KuPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, KuPS won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has KuPS Kuopio won against HJK?
KuPS Kuopio has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HJK won against KuPS Kuopio?
HJK has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KuPS Kuopio - HJK were as follows:
20.09.2025
HJK
-
KuPS Kuopio
1:0
27.06.2025
KuPS Kuopio
-
HJK
3:0
31.05.2025
HJK
-
KuPS Kuopio
0:0
15.03.2025
HJK
-
KuPS Kuopio
3:1
19.10.2024
KuPS Kuopio
-
HJK
1:0
Latest results of KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 60:34 | 26 | 64 |
| 2 | Ilves | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 65:40 | 25 | 59 |
| 3 | Inter Turku | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 58:33 | 25 | 58 |
| 4 | SJK | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 64:48 | 16 | 55 |
| 5 | HJK | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 72:48 | 24 | 48 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 45:60 | -15 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
