Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
4:1
13/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 14
  • Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 4
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.30
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
87% (488/562)79% (309/389)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.30
xG on target (xGOT)
2.181.09
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2719
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1016
Passes
87% (488/562)79% (309/389)
Long passes
41% (16/39)49% (34/69)
Passes in final third
73% (106/145)67% (35/52)
Crosses
35% (7/20)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
2.470.98
Throw-ins
2918
Fouls
1610
Tackles
58% (11/19)58% (7/12)
Duels won
4956
Clearances
2428
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.092.18
Goals prevented
0.09-1.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Promel G. ⚽, Burger W. (A),
  • 29', Konigsdorffer R. 🟨,
  • 31', 2 - 0, Kabak O. ⚽, Promel G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Gocholeishvili G. ↓, Philippe R. ↑,
  • 65', 3 - 0, Lemperle T. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
  • 65', Capaldo N. 🟨,
  • 67', Toure B. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
  • 67', Kramaric A. ↓, Asllani F. ↑,
  • 67', Meffert J. ↓, Elfadli D. ↑,
  • 72', 4 - 0, Asllani F. ⚽, Prass A. (A),
  • 74', Promel G. 🟨,
  • 77', Lokonga A. S. 🟨,
  • 78', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
  • 78', Balde F. ↓, Jatta B. ↑,
  • 79', Lemperle T. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
  • 80', Promel G. ↓, Hlozek A. ↑,
  • 82', 4 - 1, Philippe R. ⚽, Vieira F. (A),
  • 88', Capaldo N. ↓, Soumahoro A. ↑,
  • 88', Coufal V. ↓, Gendrey V. ↑,
  • 90+1', Philippe R. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim
56.2%		Draw
22.4%		Hamburger SV
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 22.6% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 22.2% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
    •

    Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.7 ↓
    (1.76)    		 4.26 ↑
    (4.21)    		 4.47 ↑
    (4.07)    		 4.6%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 23 - 63.9%). Hamburg will win (votes: 3 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 27.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 48.2% – 79.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Hoffenheim (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Hamburg (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Hamburg (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 2.
    • Hoffenheim is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hamburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Hamburg has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Hoffenheim is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bernardo (Yellow Cards) Machida K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Glatzel R. (Injury) Omari W. (Knee Injury) Pherai I. (Personal Reasons) Remberg N. (Yellow Cards) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 2.1:1).
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    07.12.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim 2:0 ✺
    29.11.2025 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 3:0 ✺
    21.11.2025 Mainz - Hoffenheim 1:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 3:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    07.12.2025 Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen 3:2 ✺
    03.12.2025 Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel 1:2 ✺
    30.11.2025 Hamburger SV - Stuttgart 2:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Augsburg - Hamburger SV 1:0 ✺
    08.11.2025 Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund 1:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich24203188:236563
    2Dortmund24157251:252652
    3Hoffenheim24144649:311846
    4Stuttgart24144648:321646
    5RB Leipzig24135646:331344
    6Bayer Leverkusen23124744:291540
    7Eintracht Frankfurt2497848:49-134
    8Freiburg2496934:39-533
    9Augsburg24941130:41-1131
    10Union Berlin24771029:38-928
    11Hamburger SV2368926:34-826
    12B. Monchengladbach24671127:39-1225
    13FC Koln24661233:41-824
    14Mainz24581127:39-1223
    15St. Pauli24651323:40-1723
    16Werder Bremen24571225:44-1922
    17Wolfsburg24551433:53-2020
    18Heidenheim24351622:53-3114

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy