Holstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Holstein Kiel - Hoffenheim
Result
1:3
18/01/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
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croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 10
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
hungaryHungaryNet4+
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indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+, SINDOnews TV
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pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 10
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6
tajikistanTajikistanVarzish Sport
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usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, Flow Sports 1, Flowsports.co
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.85
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
1211
Shots on Goal
36
Shots off Goal
62
Blocked Shots
33
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
43
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Free Kicks
1413
Offsides
02
Fouls
1314
Yellow Cards
21
Throw-ins
3228
Touches in the Opposition Box
2026
Passes
73% (292/402)70% (247/353)
Passes in the final third
60% (61/102)56% (74/133)
Crosses
44% (7/16)29% (5/17)
Tackles
72% (13/18)76% (19/25)
Clearances Total
2724
Interceptions
89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 23', Arthur Chaves 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Hlozek A. , Gendrey V. (A),
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, Kramaric A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Knudsen M. 🟨,
  • 56', 0 - 3, Hlozek A. , Bischof T. (A),
  • 61', Rosenboom L. , Kelati A. Y. ,
  • 61', Machino S. , Arp J.-F. ,
  • 61', Knudsen M. , Gigovic A. ,
  • 70', Stach A. , Becker F. O. ,
  • 73', Zec D. , Javorcek D. ,
  • 84', 1 - 3, Kelati A. Y. , Javorcek D. (A),
  • 87', Weiner T. 🟨,
  • 87', Bernhardsson A. , Pichler B. ,
  • 87', Yardimci E. , Mokwa Ntusu D. ,
  • 90+2', Moerstedt M. , Nsoki S. ,

Chances of winning


Holstein Kiel
33.2%
Draw
27.4%
Hoffenheim
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 25.4% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 25.6% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Holstein Kiel - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.9
    (2.74)
    3.54
    (3.78)
    2.44
    (2.42)
    3.8%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 15.1%58.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).
    • Recent matches Holstein Kiel is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Hoffenheim is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Holstein Kiel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Holtby L. (Red Card) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Schulz M. (Muscle Injury) Skrzybski S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I. (Knee Injury) Bulter M. (Thigh Injury) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Kaderabek P. (Yellow Cards) Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Promel G. (Knee Injury) Samassekou D. (Hip Injury) Tohumcu U. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Stach A. (Stomach Disorder)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:8 (average 1.5:4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Hoffenheim - Holstein Kiel 3:2
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga