Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
3:0
17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 34
  • Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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denmarkDenmarkViaplay
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franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 5
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.490.46
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
194
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
93% (645/695)66% (166/250)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.490.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.950.57
Total shots
194
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
100
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
70
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
469
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
612
Passes
93% (645/695)66% (166/250)
Long passes
67% (24/36)36% (27/74)
Passes in final third
90% (308/343)41% (23/56)
Crosses
24% (6/25)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.910.33
Throw-ins
2618
Fouls
126
Tackles
46% (6/13)71% (12/17)
Duels won
3444
Clearances
1730
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.571.95
Goals prevented
0.57-1.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Guirassy S. (Pen),
  • 9', Johansson C. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Holtby L. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
  • 46', Skrzybski S. ↓, Geschwill M. ↑,
  • 47', 2 - 0, Sabitzer M. ⚽, Brandt J. (A),
  • 56', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
  • 69', Machino S. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
  • 71', Adeyemi K. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
  • 73', 3 - 0, Nmecha F. ⚽, Svensson D. (A),
  • 78', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
  • 79', Sule N. ↓, Can E. ↑,
  • 79', Nmecha F. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
  • 85', Brandt J. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
  • 85', Guirassy S. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
  • 87', Gittens J. 🟨,
  • 87', Remberg N. 🟨,
  • 87', Becker T. ↓, Ivezic M. ↑,
  • 90', Sabitzer M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
85.7%		Draw
8.9%		Holstein Kiel
5.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
82.4% 11% 6.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
    •

    Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.12
    (1.12)    		 10.94 ↑
    (8.4)    		 18.31 ↑
    (14)    		 3.7%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
    What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 26 - 83.9%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 6.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 71% – 96.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Borussia D (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Borussia D (1.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -2 - Borussia D (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 - Borussia D (1.91) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -3 - Borussia D (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5 - Borussia D (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4 - Borussia D (4.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5 - Borussia D (3.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.25 - Borussia D (1.76) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 22 - 91.7%). Holstein Kiel (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
    • Borussia D is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Holstein Kiel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Borussia D is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Beier M. (Ankle Injury) Gross P. (Yellow Cards) Mane F. (Thigh Injury) Paulina J. (Thigh Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Gigovic A. (Yellow Cards) Kelati A. Y. (Thigh Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Komenda M. (Thigh Injury) Nekic I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Campbell C. (Injury) Jessen N. (Head Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Borussia D won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    14.01.2025 Holstein Kiel - Borussia Dortmund 4:2
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    11.05.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund 2:4 ✺
    03.05.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 4:0 ✺
    26.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund 2:3 ✺
    20.04.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:2 ✺
    15.04.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    10.05.2025 Holstein Kiel - Freiburg 1:2 ✺
    04.05.2025 Augsburg - Holstein Kiel 1:3 ✺
    26.04.2025 Holstein Kiel - Borussia Mönchengladbach 4:3 ✺
    19.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel 1:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 1:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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