Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund).

Bundesliga - Round 34
Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN Premium
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, TV Cultura, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Israel	Sport 3
Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 7, SportKlub 5
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, PPTV Sports
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.49	0.46
Ball Possession
74%	26%
Total shots
19	4
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
7	1
Passes
93% (645/695)	66% (166/250)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49	0.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.95	0.57
Total shots
19	4
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
10	0
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
12	4
Shots outside the Box
7	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
7	1
Touches in opposition box
46	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
6	12
Passes
93% (645/695)	66% (166/250)
Long passes
67% (24/36)	36% (27/74)
Passes in final third
90% (308/343)	41% (23/56)
Crosses
24% (6/25)	20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.91	0.33
Throw-ins
26	18
Fouls
12	6
Tackles
46% (6/13)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
34	44
Clearances
17	30
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.57	1.95
Goals prevented
0.57	-1.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Guirassy S. (Pen),
9', Johansson C. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Holtby L. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
46', Skrzybski S. ↓, Geschwill M. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Sabitzer M. ⚽, Brandt J. (A),
56', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
69', Machino S. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
71', Adeyemi K. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Nmecha F. ⚽, Svensson D. (A),
78', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
79', Sule N. ↓, Can E. ↑,
79', Nmecha F. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
85', Brandt J. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
85', Guirassy S. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
87', Gittens J. 🟨,
87', Remberg N. 🟨,
87', Becker T. ↓, Ivezic M. ↑,
90', Sabitzer M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Borussia Dortmund
85.7%

Draw
8.9%

Holstein Kiel
5.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.4%

11%

6.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 (1.12)	10.94 ↑ (8.4)	18.31 ↑ (14)	3.7% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel?

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 26 - 83.9%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 6.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 71% – 96.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
Borussia D is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Holstein Kiel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Borussia D is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Borussia D: Beier M. (Ankle Injury) Gross P. (Yellow Cards) Mane F. (Thigh Injury) Paulina J. (Thigh Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Gigovic A. (Yellow Cards) Kelati A. Y. (Thigh Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Komenda M. (Thigh Injury) Nekic I. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Borussia D: Campbell C. (Injury) Jessen N. (Head Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).
Including home match between the teams, Borussia D won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Holstein Kiel?

Borussia Dortmund has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Borussia Dortmund?

Holstein Kiel has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel were as follows:

14.01.2025 Holstein Kiel - Borussia Dortmund 4:2

Latest results of Borussia Dortmund

11.05.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund 2:4 ✺

03.05.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 4:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund 2:3 ✺

20.04.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:2 ✺

15.04.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Holstein Kiel

10.05.2025 Holstein Kiel - Freiburg 1:2 ✺

04.05.2025 Augsburg - Holstein Kiel 1:3 ✺

26.04.2025 Holstein Kiel - Borussia Mönchengladbach 4:3 ✺

19.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 1:2 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Wolfsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	B. Monchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Koln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Mainz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Pauli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Heidenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga