Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
3:0
17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 34
  • Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN Premium
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, TV Cultura, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 5
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
israelIsraelSport 3
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Viaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4, Arena Sport 7, SportKlub 5
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, PPTV Sports
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.490.46
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
194
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
93% (645/695)66% (166/250)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.490.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.950.57
Total shots
194
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
100
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
70
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
469
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
612
Passes
93% (645/695)66% (166/250)
Long passes
67% (24/36)36% (27/74)
Passes in final third
90% (308/343)41% (23/56)
Crosses
24% (6/25)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.910.33
Throw-ins
2618
Fouls
126
Tackles
46% (6/13)71% (12/17)
Duels won
3444
Clearances
1730
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.571.95
Goals prevented
0.57-1.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Guirassy S. (Pen),
  • 9', Johansson C. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Holtby L. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
  • 46', Skrzybski S. ↓, Geschwill M. ↑,
  • 47', 2 - 0, Sabitzer M. ⚽, Brandt J. (A),
  • 56', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
  • 69', Machino S. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
  • 71', Adeyemi K. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
  • 73', 3 - 0, Nmecha F. ⚽, Svensson D. (A),
  • 78', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
  • 79', Sule N. ↓, Can E. ↑,
  • 79', Nmecha F. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
  • 85', Brandt J. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
  • 85', Guirassy S. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
  • 87', Gittens J. 🟨,
  • 87', Remberg N. 🟨,
  • 87', Becker T. ↓, Ivezic M. ↑,
  • 90', Sabitzer M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
85.7%		Draw
8.9%		Holstein Kiel
5.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
82.4% 11% 6.6%

Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.12
(1.12)		 10.94 ↑
(8.4)		 18.31 ↑
(14)		 3.7%
(8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 4.25
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 26 - 83.9%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 6.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 71% – 96.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Borussia D (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Borussia D (1.38) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Borussia D (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 - Borussia D (1.91) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -3 - Borussia D (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5 - Borussia D (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4 - Borussia D (4.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5 - Borussia D (3.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.25 - Borussia D (1.76) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Holstein Kiel (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
    • Borussia D is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Holstein Kiel has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Borussia D is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Beier M. (Ankle Injury) Gross P. (Yellow Cards) Mane F. (Thigh Injury) Paulina J. (Thigh Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Gigovic A. (Yellow Cards) Kelati A. Y. (Thigh Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Komenda M. (Thigh Injury) Nekic I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Borussia D: Campbell C. (Injury) Jessen N. (Head Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 3.5:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Borussia D won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    14.01.2025 Holstein Kiel - Borussia Dortmund 4:2
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    11.05.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund 2:4 ✺
    03.05.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 4:0 ✺
    26.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund 2:3 ✺
    20.04.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:2 ✺
    15.04.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    10.05.2025 Holstein Kiel - Freiburg 1:2 ✺
    04.05.2025 Augsburg - Holstein Kiel 1:3 ✺
    26.04.2025 Holstein Kiel - Borussia Mönchengladbach 4:3 ✺
    19.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel 1:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 1:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich18162071:145750
    2Dortmund18116135:171839
    3Hoffenheim17103435:211433
    4Stuttgart18103533:26733
    5RB Leipzig17102533:24932
    6Bayer Leverkusen1792634:25929
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1876538:39-127
    8Freiburg1866629:31-224
    9Union Berlin1866624:27-324
    10FC Koln1855827:30-320
    11B. Monchengladbach1855823:29-620
    12Wolfsburg1854927:38-1119
    13Werder Bremen1746721:34-1318
    14Hamburger SV1745817:27-1017
    15Augsburg18441020:35-1516
    16Heidenheim18341117:39-2213
    17Mainz18261018:31-1312
    18St. Pauli17331116:31-1512

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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