Austin FC vs Houston Dynamo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Austin FC - Houston Dynamo
Result
2:2
09/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.85
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
87% (386/444)91% (438/481)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.95
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
914
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2029
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
87% (386/444)91% (438/481)
Long passes
34% (12/35)62% (26/42)
Passes in final third
78% (117/150)77% (87/113)
Crosses
42% (5/12)50% (11/22)
Expected assists (xA)
1.041.21
Throw-ins
1111
Fouls
1211
Tackles
75% (9/12)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3429
Clearances
2024
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.951.59
Goals prevented
-1.05-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Sanchez I. ,
  • 37', Desler M. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Guilherme Biro , Bukari O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', Bartlow E. , Antonio Carlos ,
  • 49', Bukari O. 🟨,
  • 53', Lingr O. 🟨,
  • 57', Raines B. , Ennali L. ,
  • 63', Uzuni M. 🟨,
  • 69', Ponce E. , Bassi A. ,
  • 69', Holmes D. , Kowalczyk S. ,
  • 71', Rubio D. , Taylor R. ,
  • 71', Sanchez I. , Sabovic B. ,
  • 79', 2 - 1, McGlynn J. (Pen),
  • 89', 2 - 2, McGlynn J. , Ennali L. (A),
  • 90+2', Bukari O. , Gallagher J. ,
  • 90+2', Desler M. , Obrian J. ,
  • 90+2', Wolff O. , Fodrey C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Austin FC
47%
Draw
27.2%
Houston Dynamo
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 29.1% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 29.8% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Austin FC - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.16)
    3.47
    (3.27)
    3.66
    (3.52)
    5.4%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Austin FC - Houston Dynamo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Austin (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Austin FC will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 3.
    • Austin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Houston has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Austin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Austin has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Houston has had a series of home games.
    • Austin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Houston: Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Austin: Beloko N. (Health problems)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Austin won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:16. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Austin FC - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Austin FC - Houston Dynamo 3:1
    26.04.2025 Houston Dynamo - Austin FC 2:0
    21.09.2024 Austin FC - Houston Dynamo 0:1
    15.05.2024 Austin FC - Houston Dynamo 1:0
    20.04.2024 Houston Dynamo - Austin FC 0:1
    Latest results of Austin FC
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

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