Houston Dynamo vs CF Montréal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
14/06/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaRDS App, TSN 2
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.121.54
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
77
Passes
86% (459/533)81% (262/322)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
2.121.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.221.17
Total shots
188
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
12
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
77
Touches in opposition box
3216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
86% (459/533)81% (262/322)
Long passes
58% (23/40)38% (21/56)
Passes in final third
73% (121/166)61% (57/93)
Crosses
25% (8/32)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.490.84
Throw-ins
2211
Fouls
1315
Tackles
57% (8/14)53% (10/19)
Duels won
5542
Clearances
740
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.170.22
Goals prevented
-1.83-0.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Owusu P. , Clark C. (A), Pearce T. (A2)
  • 32', 0 - 2, Owusu P. , Guboglo Y. (A), Loturi V. (A2)
  • 40', Lingr O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Awodesu F. , Escobar F. ,
  • 48', Ortiz P. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 3, Neal J. , Pearce T. (A),
  • 60', Bassi A. , Ennali L. ,
  • 60', Kowalczyk S. , Lodeiro N. ,
  • 64', 1 - 3, Lingr O. , Lodeiro N. (A),
  • 68', Campbell G. 🟨,
  • 69', Pearce T. , Craig B. ,
  • 74', Bugaj D. 🟨,
  • 78', Junior Urso , Holmes D. ,
  • 78', Ponce E. , Segal G. ,
  • 90+2', Piette S. , Opoku K. ,
  • 90+2', Guboglo Y. , Vilsaint J. ,
  • 90+8', Holmes D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo
55.7%
Draw
24.5%
CF Montréal
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 22.9% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 22.6% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.59)
    3.91
    (4.12)
    4.8
    (5.36)
    5.3%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Houston (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Montreal (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Houston (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Montreal (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 1.
    • Recent performances by Houston have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Montreal has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Houston has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Houston is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Houston: McGlynn J. (International duty) Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Escobar O. (International duty) Saliba N. (International duty) Sealy D. (International duty) Synchuk G. (Lower-Body Injury) Vrioni G. (Red Card) Waterman J. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Montreal: Duke B. (Lower-Body Injury) Herbers F. (Thigh Injury) Loturi V. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Houston won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal were as follows:
    04.10.2023 CF Montréal - Houston Dynamo 1:1
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC11005:053
    2San Jose Earthquakes11003:033
    3Los Angeles FC11003:033
    4Seattle Sounders11002:023
    5FC Dallas11003:213
    6Portland Timbers11003:213
    7Houston Dynamo11002:113
    8Vancouver Whitecaps11001:013
    9Minnesota United10102:201
    10Austin FC10102:201
    11Los Angeles Galaxy10101:101
    12St. Louis City10101:101
    13Real Salt Lake10010:1-10
    14Colorado Rapids10010:2-20
    15Sporting Kansas City10010:3-30


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC11004:133
    2FC Cincinnati11002:023
    3New York Red Bulls11002:113
    4DC United11001:013
    5New York City10101:101
    6Charlotte10101:101
    7Toronto FC10012:3-10
    8Columbus Crew10012:3-10
    9Chicago Fire10011:2-10
    10Orlando City10011:2-10
    11Philadelphia Union10010:1-10
    12Atlanta Utd10010:2-20
    13New England Revolution10011:4-30
    14Inter Miami10010:3-30
    15CF Montreal10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)