Result
4:1
15/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- US Open Cup - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 2.12 | 0.40 |
| Ball possession |
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| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
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| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
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| 90% (567/629) | 86% (453/525) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Red cards |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 2.12 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.39 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
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| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 26 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
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| 90% (567/629) | 86% (453/525) |
| Long passes |
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| 47% (15/32) | 55% (36/65) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 82% (124/151) | 63% (32/51) |
| Crosses |
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| 44% (7/16) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.52 | 0.21 |
| Throw ins |
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| 9 | 14 |
| Fouls |
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| 10 | 6 |
| Tackles |
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| 69% (9/13) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
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| 32 | 27 |
| Clearances |
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| 3 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
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| 14 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.21 | 2.39 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.79 | -1.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Lingr O. ⚽, Markanich N. (A),
- 25', Twumasi K. 🟥,
- 30', Resch A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Negri F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Guilherme ↓, Bogusz M. ↑,
- 46', 2 - 0, Bogusz M. ⚽, Lingr O. (A),
- 58', 3 - 0, Markanich N. ⚽, Herrera H. (A),
- 59', Felipe Andrade ↓, Antonio Carlos ↑,
- 59', Negri F. ↓, Ponce E. ↑,
- 68', Mendez A. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
- 68', Rubin R. ↓, Abitia D. ↑,
- 68', Gabriel Torres ↓, Avila R. ↑,
- 70', Herrera H. ↓, Samassekou D. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 1, Avila R. ⚽, Ruiz R. (A),
- 79', Calvillo E. ↓, Farkarlun B. ↑,
- 79', Quezada A. ↓, Hoban K. ↑,
- 79', Aliyu I. ↓, Ennali L. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 1, Ponce E. ⚽, Bogusz M. (A),
Chances of winning
Houston Dynamo 69.7% | Draw 17.9% | El Paso Locomotive 12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Houston Dynamo's performance.El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Paso Locomotive might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-14%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Houston Dynamo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Paso Locomotive could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Houston Dynamo - El Paso Locomotive Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.33 ↓ (1.51) |
5.17 ↑ (4.17) |
7.63 ↑ (5.16) |
7.7% (9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - El Paso Locomotive?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Houston has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- El Paso is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- El Paso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, El Paso has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Houston is considered a favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Houston Dynamo won against El Paso Locomotive?
Houston Dynamo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has El Paso Locomotive won against Houston Dynamo?
El Paso Locomotive has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - El Paso Locomotive were as follows:
Latest results of Houston Dynamo
Latest results of El Paso Locomotive
Draw
20261/64-finals| 1 | Chattanooga | Kalonji | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Tennessee Tempo | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Atlanta Utd | |
| 5 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 7 | Charlotte Independ. | Ristozi | 4 : 1 |
| 8 | Charleston | Florida Badgers | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Vermont Green | Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | NY Renegades | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | New York City | |
| 13 | New York Red Bulls | Bye | |
| 15 | Steel City | Pittsburgh | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Carolina Core | Virginia Dream | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Flint City | Forward Madison | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Detroit | Michigan Rangers | 5 : 1 |
| 20 | Bye | Chicago Fire | |
| 21 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 23 | San Antonio | New Stars | 6 : 0 |
| 24 | Little Rock Rangers | FC Tulsa | 2 : 4 |
| 25 | Lexington | Flower City Union | 9 : 0 |
| 26 | Louisville City | Southern Indiana | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 29 | Houston Dynamo | Bye | |
| 31 | New Mexico | Cruizers | 3 : 2 |
| 32 | Laredo Heat | El Paso | 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Colorado Springs | Azteca | 3 : 0 |
| 34 | Ventura | Spokane Velocity | 1 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Sporting Kansas City | |
| 37 | Colorado Rapids | Bye | |
| 39 | Indy Eleven | Menace | 3 : 0 |
| 40 | BOHFS St. Louis | Union Omaha | 0 : 8 |
| 41 | AV Alta | Valley 559 FC | 0 : 1 |
| 42 | Sacramento Republic | El Farolito | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 45 | San Jose Earthquakes | Bye | |
| 47 | Orange County SC | Laguna United | 3 : 0 |
| 48 | Phoenix Rising | San Ramon | 4 : 0 |
| 49 | FC Naples | Red Force | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Tormenta | America CFL Spurs (WO.) | |
| 52 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 53 | New England Revolution | Bye | |
| 55 | Rhode Island | Faialense | 4 : 0 |
| 56 | Motown | Hartford Athletic | 0 : 2 |
| 57 | Richmond Kickers | Northern Virginia | 2 : 0 |
| 58 | West Chester Utd | Loudoun | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 61 | DC United | Bye | |
| 63 | Asheville City | Greenville | 3 : 1 |
| 64 | Vistula | One Knoxville | 1 : 3 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Chattanooga | Tennessee Tempo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | Atlanta Utd | |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Charlotte Independ. | Charleston | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | Vermont Green | Westchester SC | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | New York City | |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls | Bye | |
| 8 | Pittsburgh | Virginia Dream | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Flint City | Detroit | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Bye | Chicago Fire | |
| 11 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 12 | San Antonio | FC Tulsa | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Lexington | Louisville City | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Houston Dynamo | Bye | |
| 16 | New Mexico | El Paso | 0 : 4 |
| 17 | Colorado Springs | Spokane Velocity | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Bye | Sporting Kansas City | |
| 19 | Colorado Rapids | Bye | |
| 20 | Indy Eleven | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Valley 559 FC | Sacramento Republic | 0 : 4 |
| 22 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 23 | San Jose Earthquakes | Bye | |
| 24 | Orange County SC | Phoenix Rising | 1 : 2 |
| 25 | FC Naples | America CFL Spurs | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 27 | New England Revolution | Bye | |
| 28 | Rhode Island | Hartford Athletic | 2 : 0 |
| 29 | Richmond Kickers | Loudoun | 1 : 0 |
| 30 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 31 | DC United | Bye | |
| 32 | Asheville City | One Knoxville | 1 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Chattanooga | Atlanta Utd | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Charlotte | Charlotte Independ. | 6 : 0 |
| 3 | Westchester SC | New York City | 2 : 5 |
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | Pittsburgh | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Detroit | Chicago Fire | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | St. Louis City | FC Tulsa | 4 : 0 |
| 7 | Louisville City | Austin FC | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | El Paso | 4 : 1 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | Sporting Kansas City | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Colorado Rapids | Union Omaha | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Sacramento Republic | Minnesota United | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | San Jose Earthquakes | Phoenix Rising | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | FC Naples | Orlando City | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | New England Revolution | Rhode Island | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Richmond Kickers | Columbus Crew | 0 : 3 |
| 16 | DC United | One Knoxville | 3 : 4 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Atlanta Utd | Charlotte | |
| 2 | New York City | New York Red Bulls | |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | St. Louis City | |
| 4 | Louisville City | Houston Dynamo | |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | Colorado Rapids | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | San Jose Earthquakes | |
| 7 | Orlando City | New England Revolution | |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | One Knoxville | |