Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles Galaxy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.45
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
82% (270/331)87% (446/513)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.480.73
Total shots
915
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1513
Passes
82% (270/331)87% (446/513)
Long passes
40% (21/53)44% (18/41)
Passes in final third
67% (57/85)72% (75/104)
Crosses
17% (2/12)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.721.70
Throw-ins
1614
Fouls
1315
Tackles
46% (6/13)60% (9/15)
Duels won
3740
Clearances
1714
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.730.48
Goals prevented
-0.36-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Ponce E. , Lingr O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Lepley T. , Gabriel Pec ,
  • 46', Berry M. , Ramirez C. ,
  • 52', Yoshida M. 🟨,
  • 58', Cuevas M. 🟨,
  • 62', Cuevas M. , Yamane M. ,
  • 62', Wynder E. , Sanabria L. ,
  • 71', Junior Urso 🟨,
  • 76', Bartlow E. , Ortiz P. ,
  • 79', Miller H. , Parente I. ,
  • 83', Lingr O. , Bassi A. ,
  • 90', Gabriel Pec 🟨,
  • 90+1', Holmes D. , Awodesu F. ,
  • 90+1', Ennali L. , Kowalczyk S. ,
  • 90+9', 1 - 1, Sanabria L. , Nelson J. (A),
  • 90+10', Nelson J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Houston Dynamo
55.6%
Draw
24.3%
Los Angeles Galaxy
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 23.7% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 24.7% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Houston Dynamo's performance.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Los Angeles Galaxy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Houston Dynamo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Los Angeles Galaxy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Houston Dynamo - Los Angeles Galaxy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (2.04)
    3.89
    (4)
    4.67
    (3.2)
    5.2%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo - Los Angeles Galaxy?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 22 - 71%). LA Galaxy will win (votes: 2 - 6.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 22.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 55%87%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - LA Galaxy (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - LA Galaxy (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - LA Galaxy (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 8 - 57.1%). LA Galaxy (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Houston might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Houston: Escobar F. (Yellow Cards) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in LA Galaxy: Puig R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Ponce E. (Injury) Quinones N. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:32. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 1.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo - Los Angeles Galaxy were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - Houston Dynamo 1:1
    19.10.2024 Houston Dynamo - Los Angeles Galaxy 2:1
    25.05.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy - Houston Dynamo 2:1
    02.09.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy - Houston Dynamo 0:0
    08.04.2023 Houston Dynamo - Los Angeles Galaxy 3:0
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
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