Southampton vs Hull City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton).

Championship - Round 27
Referee: Allison S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.68	0.62
Ball possession
67%	33%
Total shots
22	8
Shots on target
7	3
Big chances
6	2
Corner kicks
8	2
Passes
87% (498/573)	71% (204/286)
Yellow cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.68	0.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.55	1.60
Total shots
22	8
Shots on target
7	3
Shots off target
9	0
Blocked shots
6	5
Shots inside the box
16	5
Shots outside the box
6	3
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
6	2
Corner kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
36	19
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	1
Free kicks
15	5
Passes
87% (498/573)	71% (204/286)
Long passes
52% (27/52)	20% (11/54)
Passes in final third
78% (168/215)	69% (64/93)
Crosses
32% (9/28)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
3.31	0.55
Throw ins
19	21
Fouls
5	15
Tackles
64% (7/11)	70% (14/20)
Duels won
57	45
Clearances
19	43
Interceptions
10	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	5
xGOT faced
1.60	1.55
Goals prevented
-0.40	0.55

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Joseph K. ⚽, McBurnie O. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Hughes C. ⚽, Hadziahmetovic A. (A),
38', Coyle L. 🟨,
45+1', Hughes C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Quarshie J. ↓, Jelert E. ↑,
46', Hughes C. ↓, McCarthy C. ↑,
54', Joseph K. ↓, Jacob M. ↑,
67', Azaz F. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
67', Fellows T. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Stewart R. ⚽, Scienza L. (A),
75', Millar L. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,
76', Coyle L. ↓, Ndala J. ↑,
77', Jander C. ↓, Matsuki K. ↑,
90', Hadziahmetovic A. ↓, Akintola B. ↑,
90', Manning R. ↓, Archer C. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Southampton
59.1%

Draw
23.2%

Hull City
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

22.5%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

23.9%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Southampton - Hull City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 (1.62)	4.12 ↓ (4.21)	5.23 ↑ (4.93)	5.3% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Southampton - Hull City?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Hull will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 27.4% – 68.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hull City will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 1.
In recent matches, S`hampton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Hull is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Hull may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, S`hampton has had a series of away games.
In this match, S`hampton is considered a favorite.
There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S. (Hamstring Injury) Edozie S. (Hamstring Injury) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Hull: Belloumi M. (Inactive) Gelhardt J. (Calf Injury) Giles R. (Injury) Lundstram J. (Knee Injury) Matazo E. (Knee Injury) Williams B. (Inactive)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Hull City?

Southampton has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Hull City won against Southampton?

Hull City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Hull City were as follows:

20.09.2025 Hull City - Southampton 3:1

20.02.2024 Southampton - Hull City 1:2

21.10.2023 Hull City - Southampton 1:2

Latest results of Southampton

10.01.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Southampton 2:3 ✺

04.01.2026 Middlesbrough - Southampton 4:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Southampton - Millwall 0:0 ✺

29.12.2025 Birmingham City - Southampton 1:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Oxford United - Southampton 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Hull City

11.01.2026 Hull City - Blackburn Rovers 1:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Hull City - Stoke City 0:1 ✺

29.12.2025 Middlesbrough - Hull City 0:1 ✺

26.12.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Hull City 2:2 ✺

20.12.2025 Hull City - West Bromwich Albion 1:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	35	21	8	6	72:38	34	71
2	Middlesbrough	35	19	9	7	54:35	19	66
3	Millwall	35	18	8	9	47:40	7	62
4	Ipswich	33	17	9	7	59:34	25	60
5	Hull	34	18	6	10	56:48	8	60
6	Wrexham	35	15	12	8	54:45	9	57
7	Southampton	35	14	11	10	57:46	11	53
8	Derby	35	14	9	12	52:46	6	51
9	Watford	35	13	12	10	45:41	4	51
10	Bristol City	35	14	8	13	48:44	4	50
11	Preston	35	12	13	10	41:40	1	49
12	Birmingham	35	13	10	12	46:46	0	49
13	Sheffield Utd	35	15	3	17	50:48	2	48
14	Stoke	35	13	8	14	39:34	5	47
15	QPR	35	13	8	14	46:54	-8	47
16	Swansea	35	13	7	15	40:43	-3	46
17	Norwich	35	13	6	16	47:44	3	45
18	Charlton	35	10	11	14	33:44	-11	41
19	Portsmouth	34	10	9	15	34:44	-10	39
20	Blackburn	35	10	8	17	33:46	-13	38
21	West Brom	35	9	8	18	34:52	-18	35
22	Leicester	35	10	10	15	47:56	-9	34
23	Oxford Utd	35	7	11	17	31:47	-16	32
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	35	1	8	26	21:71	-50	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One