Result
1:2
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 27
- Referee: Allison S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.68 | 0.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (498/573) | 71% (204/286) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.68 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (498/573) | 71% (204/286) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (27/52) | 20% (11/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (168/215) | 69% (64/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (9/28) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.31 | 0.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 20', 0 - 1, Joseph K. ⚽, McBurnie O. (A),
- 34', 0 - 2, Hughes C. ⚽, Hadziahmetovic A. (A),
- 38', Coyle L. 🟨,
- 45+1', Hughes C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Quarshie J. ↓, Jelert E. ↑,
- 46', Hughes C. ↓, McCarthy C. ↑,
- 54', Joseph K. ↓, Jacob M. ↑,
- 67', Azaz F. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
- 67', Fellows T. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Stewart R. ⚽, Scienza L. (A),
- 75', Millar L. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,
- 76', Coyle L. ↓, Ndala J. ↑,
- 77', Jander C. ↓, Matsuki K. ↑,
- 90', Hadziahmetovic A. ↓, Akintola B. ↑,
- 90', Manning R. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Southampton
59.1% | Draw
23.2% | Hull City
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Southampton - Hull City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62
(1.62) |
4.12 ↓
(4.21) |
5.23 ↑
(4.93) |
5.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Southampton - Hull City?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Hull will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 27.4% – 68.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hull City will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 1.
- In recent matches, S`hampton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hull is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hull may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, S`hampton has had a series of away games.
- In this match, S`hampton is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Edozie S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Roerslev Rasmussen M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Hull: Belloumi M.
(Inactive)
Gelhardt J.
(Calf Injury)
Giles R.
(Injury)
Lundstram J.
(Knee Injury)
Matazo E.
(Knee Injury)
Williams B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Hull City?
Southampton has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hull City won against Southampton?
Hull City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Hull City were as follows:
20.09.2025
Hull City
-
Southampton
3:1
20.02.2024
Southampton
-
Hull City
1:2
21.10.2023
Hull City
-
Southampton
1:2
Latest results of Southampton
Latest results of Hull City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
