IFK Mariehamn vs Oulu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Finnish Veikkausliiga IFK Mariehamn - Oulu
Result
2:0
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group
  • Referee: Roth M. (Fin)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.560.41
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
83% (402/482)86% (487/567)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.560.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.970.18
Total shots
107
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
1915
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
79
Passes
83% (402/482)86% (487/567)
Long passes
40% (20/50)53% (32/60)
Passes in final third
68% (54/80)75% (109/146)
Crosses
27% (3/11)13% (3/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.380.68
Throw-ins
1222
Fouls
97
Tackles
84% (16/19)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5240
Clearances
2213
Interceptions
1712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.181.97
Goals prevented
0.18-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Silander S. , Salmensuu O. ,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Andersson L. ,
  • 61', Harrison S. , Makelainen J. ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Enqvist D. , Heyden J. (A),
  • 65', Andersson L. , Nunez W. ,
  • 65', Dahlstrom S. , Cardoso H. ,
  • 69', Korkko J. , Rennicks J. ,
  • 74', Kujasalo N. , Holmberg R. ,
  • 85', Heyden J. , Jansson M. ,
  • 85', Huttunen A. , Lundberg A. ,
  • 86', Ghezali L. , Piirto L. ,
  • 90', Nissinen J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


IFK Mariehamn
27.1%
Draw
27.8%
Oulu
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.5% 26.2% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8% 26.4% 44.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • IFK Mariehamn - Oulu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (3.35)
    3.39
    (3.65)
    2.12
    (2.11)
    5.4%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - Oulu?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mariehamn will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Oulu will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 3.
    • In recent matches, Mariehamn has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Oulu is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Oulu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Mariehamn: Adedoyin K. (Yellow Cards) Kivikko M. (Inactive) Raitanen P. (Knee Injury) Toivonen E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Oulu: Barrow D. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - Oulu were as follows:
    26.07.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Oulu 0:1
    17.05.2025 Oulu - IFK Mariehamn 0:1
    19.10.2024 Oulu - IFK Mariehamn 1:2
    01.09.2024 IFK Mariehamn - Oulu 2:1
    17.05.2024 Oulu - IFK Mariehamn 1:1
    Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
    04.10.2025 KTP Kotka - IFK Mariehamn 1:1
    28.09.2025 FF Jaro - IFK Mariehamn 2:3
    21.09.2025 IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa 2:1
    13.09.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Haka 1:1
    31.08.2025 Ilves - IFK Mariehamn 2:1
    Latest results of Oulu
    04.10.2025 Oulu - VPS Vaasa 2:0
    27.09.2025 Oulu - KTP Kotka 0:2
    19.09.2025 Haka - Oulu 0:1
    14.09.2025 FF Jaro - Oulu 1:2
    31.08.2025 Oulu - Haka 3:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1KuPS28176555:312457
    2Inter Turku27158451:262553
    3Ilves28165759:382153
    4SJK27156658:421651
    5HJK27145867:402747
    6Gnistan27871242:54-1231

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