Result
0:1
26/07/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (349/437) | 80% (322/404) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (349/437) | 80% (322/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (19/50) | 37% (23/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (70/103) | 69% (97/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Cardoso H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Reid J. 🟨,
- 64', Dahlstrom S. 🟨,
- 64', Harrison S. ↓, Korkko J. ↑,
- 64', Cardoso H. ↓, Olawale M. ↑,
- 64', Huttunen A. ↓, Heyden J. ↑,
- 79', Paananen J. ↓, Fadera M. ↑,
- 80', Reid J. ↓, Muskwe A. ↑,
- 82', Kaukua T. 🟨,
- 85', 0 - 1, Fadera M. ⚽, Kaukua T. (A),
- 89', 🟨,
- 90', Lehtonen J. ↓, Silander S. ↑,
- 90', Jokelainen N. ↓, Paananen A. ↑,
- 90+6', Adedoyin K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
IFK Mariehamn
30.9% | Draw
27.9% | Oulu
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IFK Mariehamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
IFK Mariehamn - Oulu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↓
(3.2) |
3.41 ↑
(3.3) |
2.3 ↑
(2.1) |
5.6%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - Oulu?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Mariehamn will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Oulu will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mariehamn (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 3.
- Mariehamn has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Oulu is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Oulu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Oulu has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Mariehamn: Kivikko M.
(Inactive)
Patut E.
(Yellow Cards)
Raitanen P.
(Knee Injury)
Toivonen E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Oulu: Barrow D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Oulu: Ndione M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has IFK Mariehamn won against Oulu?
IFK Mariehamn has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oulu won against IFK Mariehamn?
Oulu has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - Oulu were as follows:
17.05.2025
Oulu
-
IFK Mariehamn
0:1
19.10.2024
Oulu
-
IFK Mariehamn
1:2
01.09.2024
IFK Mariehamn
-
Oulu
2:1
17.05.2024
Oulu
-
IFK Mariehamn
1:1
16.09.2023
Oulu
-
IFK Mariehamn
3:2
Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku ✔ | 19 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 43:16 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | KuPS ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Ilves ✔ | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 36 |
| 4 | HJK ✔ | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 45:25 | 20 | 35 |
| 5 | SJK ✔ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 37:28 | 9 | 34 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30:35 | -5 | 24 |
| 7 | Jaro | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 22 |
| 8 | VPS | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 21 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 18 |
| 10 | Haka | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 25:39 | -14 | 15 |
| 12 | KTP ✔ | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21:45 | -24 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KuPS is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
HJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
SJK is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
KTP is Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group )
