IFK Mariehamn vs Oulu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group
  • Referee: Roth M. (Fin)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.560.41
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
83% (402/482)86% (487/567)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.560.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.970.18
Total shots
107
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
1915
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
79
Passes
83% (402/482)86% (487/567)
Long passes
40% (20/50)53% (32/60)
Passes in final third
68% (54/80)75% (109/146)
Crosses
27% (3/11)13% (3/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.380.68
Throw-ins
1222
Fouls
97
Tackles
84% (16/19)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5240
Clearances
2213
Interceptions
1712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.181.97
Goals prevented
0.18-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Silander S. , Salmensuu O. ,
  • 48', 1 - 0, Andersson L. ,
  • 61', Harrison S. , Makelainen J. ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Enqvist D. , Heyden J. (A),
  • 65', Andersson L. , Nunez W. ,
  • 65', Dahlstrom S. , Cardoso H. ,
  • 69', Korkko J. , Rennicks J. ,
  • 74', Kujasalo N. , Holmberg R. ,
  • 85', Heyden J. , Jansson M. ,
  • 85', Huttunen A. , Lundberg A. ,
  • 86', Ghezali L. , Piirto L. ,
  • 90', Nissinen J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


IFK Mariehamn
27.1%
Draw
27.8%
Oulu
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.5% 26.2% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8% 26.4% 44.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Mariehamn than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • IFK Mariehamn - Oulu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (3.35)
    3.39
    (3.65)
    2.12
    (2.11)
    5.4%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for IFK Mariehamn - Oulu?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mariehamn will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Oulu will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 3.
    • In recent matches, Mariehamn has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Oulu is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Oulu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Mariehamn: Adedoyin K. (Yellow Cards) Kivikko M. (Inactive) Raitanen P. (Knee Injury) Toivonen E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Oulu: Barrow D. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mariehamn won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mariehamn won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between IFK Mariehamn - Oulu were as follows:
    26.07.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Oulu 0:1
    17.05.2025 Oulu - IFK Mariehamn 0:1
    19.10.2024 Oulu - IFK Mariehamn 1:2
    01.09.2024 IFK Mariehamn - Oulu 2:1
    17.05.2024 Oulu - IFK Mariehamn 1:1
    Latest results of IFK Mariehamn
    04.10.2025 KTP Kotka - IFK Mariehamn 1:1
    28.09.2025 FF Jaro - IFK Mariehamn 2:3
    21.09.2025 IFK Mariehamn - VPS Vaasa 2:1
    13.09.2025 IFK Mariehamn - Haka 1:1
    31.08.2025 Ilves - IFK Mariehamn 2:1
    Latest results of Oulu
    04.10.2025 Oulu - VPS Vaasa 2:0
    27.09.2025 Oulu - KTP Kotka 0:2
    19.09.2025 Haka - Oulu 0:1
    14.09.2025 FF Jaro - Oulu 1:2
    31.08.2025 Oulu - Haka 3:2
    Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AC Oulu00000:000
    2VPS00000:000
    3Lahti00000:000
    4TPS00000:000
    5Jaro00000:000
    6Gnistan00000:000
    7Ilves00000:000
    8HJK00000:000
    9Inter Turku00000:000
    10KuPS00000:000
    11Mariehamn00000:000
    12SJK00000:000

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