Besa Kavajë vs Iliria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
21/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Kategoria e Parë - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Red Cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Chinwendu G. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Lika G. ,
  • 45+5', 2 - 1, Cordeiro W. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 87', 3 - 1, ,
  • 90+3', 🟥,
  • 90+8', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Besa Kavajë
59.4%
Draw
24.7%
Iliria
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 25.8% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 24.4% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Besa Kavajë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Iliria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Besa Kavajë than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iliria than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Besa Kavajë - Iliria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.62)
    3.66
    (3.5)
    5.68
    (4.88)
    10.6%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Besa Kavajë - Iliria?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Besa (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Besa (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Besa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Besa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Besa is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Besa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Besa Kavajë - Iliria were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Iliria - Besa Kavajë 2:1
    Latest results of Besa Kavajë
    14.12.2025 Lushnja - Besa Kavajë 0:1
    08.12.2025 Besa Kavajë - Burreli 2:0
    23.11.2025 Kastrioti - Besa Kavajë Postponed
    Latest results of Iliria
    07.12.2025 Kukësi - Iliria 0:1
    29.11.2025 Pogradeci - Iliria 0:0
    Albanian First Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skenderbeu30234352:232973
    2Laci30217255:223370
    3Pogradeci30207362:253767
    4Iliria Fushe-Kruje309111026:31-538
    5Kastrioti301061439:50-1136
    6Besa Kavaje30981337:39-235
    7Korabi Peshkopi30891328:36-833
    8Burreli30891322:39-1733
    9Apolonia Fier30691525:36-1127
    10Kukesi30761727:46-1927
    11Lushnja305111425:39-1426
    12AF Luftetari304131330:42-1225

          Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
          Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
          Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
          Relegation