Result
23/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Championship Group
- Referee: Kontinen J. (Fin)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Chances of winning
Ilves
66.8% | Draw
18% | Gnistan
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Ilves - Gnistan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.43) |
5.17 ↓
(5.2) |
6.23 ↑
(6.22) |
7%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2.
- Ilves is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Gnistan's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Gnistan has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Ilves is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Gnistan: Hanninen V.
(Inactive)
Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
Woivalin H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ilves: Popovitch A.
(Injury)
- We predict that Ilves will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 2.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 3.3:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Gnistan?
Ilves has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against Ilves?
Gnistan has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Gnistan were as follows:
04.08.2025
Ilves
-
Gnistan
2:2
01.06.2025
Gnistan
-
Ilves
0:2
28.05.2025
Gnistan
-
Ilves
3:0
28.03.2025
Ilves
-
Gnistan
4:0
01.09.2024
Gnistan
-
Ilves
1:1
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 48:20 | 28 | 49 |
| 2 | Ilves | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 51:29 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | HJK | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 45 |
| 4 | KuPS | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 41:27 | 14 | 44 |
| 5 | SJK | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 48:34 | 14 | 42 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 34:41 | -7 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
