Result
0:2
01/06/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 2.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (203/298) | 82% (400/490) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 2.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 3.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 50 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (203/298) | 82% (400/490) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (15/58) | 43% (25/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (55/107) | 75% (137/182) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 36% (10/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 52 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.22 | 0.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Popovitch A. ↓, Aspegren F. ↑,
- 43', Bashkirov E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Gunes O. ↓, Europaeus G. ↑,
- 62', Latonen J. ↓, Vauhkonen E. ↑,
- 65', Hytonen T. ↓, Riski Ro. ↑,
- 66', Wallius K. ↓, Ulundu V. ↑,
- 74', Ala-Myllymaki L. ↓, Akinyemi A. ↑,
- 82', Veteli J. 🟨,
- 87', 0 - 1, Jukkola O. ⚽, Ulundu V. (A),
- 90', Kabashi A. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
- 90+4', 0 - 2, Akinyemi A. ⚽, Riski Ro. (A),
Chances of winning
Gnistan
25.3% | Draw
26.8% | Ilves
48% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Gnistan - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.72 ↑
(3.67) |
3.57 ↓
(3.81) |
1.99 ↑
(1.95) |
5.2%
(4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Gnistan - Ilves?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Gnistan will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ilves will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ilves will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- Gnistan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ilves has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ilves will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gnistan: Eremenko R.
(Inactive)
Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
Pettersson O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ilves: Stjopin M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Ilves: Moisio J.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 2.5:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against Ilves?
Gnistan has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Gnistan?
Ilves has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - Ilves were as follows:
28.05.2025
Gnistan
-
Ilves
3:0
28.03.2025
Ilves
-
Gnistan
4:0
01.09.2024
Gnistan
-
Ilves
1:1
13.04.2024
Ilves
-
Gnistan
4:6
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ilves | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 32:12 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | KuPS | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 10 | 31 |
| 4 | HJK | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35:18 | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | SJK | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31:23 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
| 7 | VPS | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 19 |
| 8 | Mariehamn | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:31 | -15 | 17 |
| 9 | Haka | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:27 | -10 | 16 |
| 10 | Jaro | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 22:35 | -13 | 12 |
| 12 | KTP | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18:38 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
