Result
1:3
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga - Championship Group
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 4.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (344/430) | 82% (333/406) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 4.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 3.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (344/430) | 82% (333/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (26/54) | 39% (19/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (94/139) | 70% (74/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 50% (3/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.33 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Craninx A. 🟨,
- 20', Riski Ro. (Pen),
- 24', Arko-Mensah E. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Kanga J. (Pen),
- 38', Kabashi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 1, Pettersson O. ⚽, Ritari M. (A),
- 53', 1 - 2, Riski Ro. ⚽,
- 58', Vaisanen S. 🟨,
- 60', Vayrynen T. ↓, Hanninen V. ↑,
- 60', Ritari M. ↓, Heiskanen S. ↑,
- 61', Kanga J. ↓, Stjopin M. ↑,
- 72', Jukkola O. ↓, Raymond A. ↑,
- 72', Wallius K. ↓, Tiitinen O. ↑,
- 75', Kabashi A. ↓, Hafstad D. ↑,
- 76', Latonen J. ↓, Atarah A. ↑,
- 80', Arko-Mensah E. ↓, Raitala J. ↑,
- 82', Veteli J. ↓, Hytonen T. ↑,
- 82', Riski Ro. ↓, Kilo J. ↑,
- 90+1', Gnanou R. 🟥,
- 90+5', 1 - 3, Soderback M. ⚽, Kilo J. (A),
Chances of winning
Gnistan
19.7% | Draw
20.5% | Ilves
59.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Gnistan - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.81 ↑
(4.1) |
4.58 ↑
(4.3) |
1.57 ↓
(1.65) |
6.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 4)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 1.
- Gnistan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Ilves has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gnistan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ilves is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Gnistan: Marcelo Costa
(Knee Injury)
Oura A. A.
(Inactive)
von Hellens L.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L.
(Injury)
Ulundu V.
(Inactive)
Virtanen O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ilves: Kilo J.
(Injury)
Krkalic F.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gnistan won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 2:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gnistan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gnistan won against Ilves?
Gnistan has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against Gnistan?
Ilves has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gnistan - Ilves were as follows:
23.09.2025
Ilves
-
Gnistan
3:2
04.08.2025
Ilves
-
Gnistan
2:2
01.06.2025
Gnistan
-
Ilves
0:2
28.05.2025
Gnistan
-
Ilves
3:0
28.03.2025
Ilves
-
Gnistan
4:0
Latest results of Gnistan
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | KuPS | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 60:34 | 26 | 64 |
| 2 | Ilves | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 65:40 | 25 | 59 |
| 3 | Inter Turku | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 58:33 | 25 | 58 |
| 4 | SJK | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 64:48 | 16 | 55 |
| 5 | HJK | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 72:48 | 24 | 48 |
| 6 | Gnistan | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 45:60 | -15 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
