Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Veikkausliiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (312/372) | 84% (374/444) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (312/372) | 84% (374/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (21/46) | 38% (12/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (48/66) | 69% (113/163) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Chukwudi S. ⚽, Streng J. (A),
- 29', Fati B. 🟨,
- 31', Popovitch A. 🟨,
- 40', Arsalo M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Wallius K. ↓, Ulundu V. ↑,
- 46', Akinyemi A. ↓, Hytonen T. ↑,
- 60', Karjalainen R. ↓, Vargas A. ↑,
- 60', Ala-Myllymaki L. ↓, Kanga J. ↑,
- 62', Gasc V. R. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 1, Kanga J. (Pen),
- 65', Kanga J. 🟨,
- 65', Paunio R. 🟨,
- 69', Gasc V. R. ↓, Wilson A. ↑,
- 79', Soderback M. ↓, Stjopin M. ↑,
- 79', Hannola P. ↓, Padera P. ↑,
- 80', Streng J. ↓, Tessilimi O. ↑,
- 81', Obileye A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Yussif S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
SJK
32.1% | Draw
24.8% | Ilves
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SJK than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
SJK - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↓
(3.05) |
3.83 ↓
(4) |
2.18 ↑
(2.05) |
5.9%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for SJK - Ilves?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. SJK will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Ilves will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SJK won 2.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- SJK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ilves could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in SJK: Pires K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ilves: Tiitinen O.
(Inactive)
Vaisanen S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in SJK: Fati B.
(Injury)
Vargas A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ilves: Aspegren F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SJK won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:30. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, SJK won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 2.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has SJK won against Ilves?
SJK has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against SJK?
Ilves has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SJK - Ilves were as follows:
18.06.2025
Ilves
-
SJK
2:3
25.01.2025
Ilves
-
SJK
1:1
19.10.2024
Ilves
-
SJK
4:0
19.06.2024
Ilves
-
SJK
2:2
15.06.2024
Ilves
-
SJK
2:4
Finnish Veikkausliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Turku ✔ | 18 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 40:14 | 26 | 40 |
| 2 | Ilves ✔ | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 39:21 | 18 | 36 |
| 3 | KuPS | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31:20 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | HJK | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 32 |
| 5 | SJK | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 31 |
| 6 | VPS | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:28 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Gnistan | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 25:33 | -8 | 21 |
| 8 | Jaro | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:27 | -7 | 19 |
| 9 | Mariehamn | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:33 | -16 | 18 |
| 10 | Haka | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21:33 | -12 | 16 |
| 11 | AC Oulu | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 23:36 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | KTP | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 21:43 | -22 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Turku is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
Ilves is Qualified for Veikkausliiga (Championship Group )
