Independiente del Valle vs Barcelona Guayaquil: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Ecuadorian Liga Pro Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil
05/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Independiente del Valle
57.9%
Draw
24.2%
Barcelona Guayaquil
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 25.7% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 25.3% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.71)
    3.84
    (3.62)
    5.09
    (4.72)
    8.3%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 3.
    • Ind del Valle is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Barcelona is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Ind del Valle is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.7:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
    27.05.2025 Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil 2:1
    01.04.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle 1:0
    08.03.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle 0:4
    10.08.2024 Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle 3:2
    09.03.2024 Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil 3:1
    Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle18106234:161836
    2Barcelona SC18103530:23733
    3Dep. Cuenca18102622:15732
    4LDU Quito1886429:191030
    5Orense1893621:21030
    6Aucas1885525:20529
    7Delfin1867519:23-425
    8U. Catolica1866628:23524
    9Libertad1866627:25224
    10Vinotinto1864825:23222
    11EL Nacional1855822:28-620
    12Manta1848623:30-720
    13Macara1847714:17-319
    14Emelec1847713:22-919
    15Mushuc Runa18431122:35-1315
    16Tecnico U18261016:30-1412

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

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