Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (329/383) | 83% (297/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (329/383) | 83% (297/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (27/46) | 34% (15/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (56/75) | 60% (44/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Arreaga X. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 0, Guagua D. ⚽, Pata E. (A),
- 59', Schunke R. 🟥,
- 62', Valiente J. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 65', Guagua D. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 65', Cazares ↓, Zarate L. ↑,
- 67', Campi G. 🟨,
- 73', Oyola B. ↓, Caicedo F. ↑,
- 73', Montano J. ↓, Souza de Almeida L. ↑,
- 78', Carabajal M. 🟨,
- 82', Pata E. ↓, Quinonez O. ↑,
- 82', Briones R. ↓, Mercado P. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ⚽, Parrales M. (A),
- 90', Spinelli C. 🟨,
- 90', Spinelli C. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
- 90+3', Corozo J. ↓, Solano C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Independiente del Valle
57.2% | Draw
24.2% | Barcelona Guayaquil
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.71) |
3.81 ↑
(3.62) |
4.98 ↑
(4.72) |
8.4%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 3.
- Ind del Valle is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Barcelona has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Ind del Valle is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 1.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Independiente del Valle has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Independiente del Valle?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
27.05.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
2:1
01.04.2025
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Independiente del Valle
1:0
08.03.2025
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Independiente del Valle
0:4
10.08.2024
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Independiente del Valle
3:2
09.03.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
3:1
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 50 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 43 |
| 4 | Aucas | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 38 |
| 5 | Orense | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Libertad | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 36 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 35 |
| 9 | Emelec | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 32 |
| 10 | Delfin | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 24:34 | -10 | 28 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Tecnico U | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Vinotinto | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 29:34 | -5 | 24 |
| 14 | Macara | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 15 | Manta | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
