Result
1:2
11/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.75 | 1.34 |
Ball Possession |
---|
33% | 67% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
65% (131/201) | 84% (362/429) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.75 | 1.34 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.97 | 1.36 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 20 |
Passes |
---|
65% (131/201) | 84% (362/429) |
Long passes |
---|
35% (17/49) | 52% (30/58) |
Passes in final third |
---|
52% (43/82) | 66% (69/104) |
Crosses |
---|
36% (4/11) | 28% (5/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.48 | 0.71 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (6/9) | 87% (13/15) |
Duels won |
---|
29 | 58 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.36 | 0.97 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.64 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Paz F. ⚽, Viera M. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Alcivar J. ⚽, Pata E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Alvarez L. 🟨,
- 63', Alcivar J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 63', Ibarra R. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 63', Pata E. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
- 67', Correa C. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 2, Hoyos M. (Pen),
- 71', Viera M. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
- 72', Morales J. 🟨,
- 77', Alvarez L. ↓, Blanc G. ↑,
- 79', Mercado P. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
- 81', Mesa Mercado E. E. 🟨,
- 86', Guagua D. 🟨,
- 86', Hoyos M. ↓, Vasquez Y. ↑,
- 90+2', Jimenez J. ↓, Arena N. ↑,
- 90+2', Mesa Mercado E. E. ↓, Espinoza T. ↑,
- 90+2', Caicedo B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará 22.1% | Draw 27% | Independiente del Valle 50.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.2 ↓ (4.34) |
3.42 (3.42) |
1.81 ↑ (1.78) |
8.4% (8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Macará won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Independiente del Valle?
Deportivo Macará has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Deportivo Macará?
Independiente del Valle has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
24.11.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Deportivo Macará
7:0
25.05.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
Independiente del Valle
0:1
24.09.2022
Independiente del Valle
-
Deportivo Macará
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 42:19 | 23 | 46 |
2 | LDU Quito | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona SC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 33:26 | 7 | 38 |
4 | Orense | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 25:24 | 1 | 37 |
5 | Aucas | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
6 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Libertad | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 34 |
8 | U. Catolica | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 31 |
9 | Emelec | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 28 |
10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
11 | EL Nacional | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 26:32 | -6 | 25 |
12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Manta | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 23 |
15 | Tecnico U | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
16 | Mushuc Runa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24:39 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )