Result
1:2
11/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (131/201) | 84% (362/429) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (131/201) | 84% (362/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (17/49) | 52% (30/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (43/82) | 66% (69/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Paz F. ⚽, Viera M. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Alcivar J. ⚽, Pata E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Alvarez L. 🟨,
- 63', Alcivar J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 63', Ibarra R. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 63', Pata E. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
- 67', Correa C. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 2, Hoyos M. (Pen),
- 71', Viera M. ↓, Ledesma A. ↑,
- 72', Morales J. 🟨,
- 77', Alvarez L. ↓, Blanc G. ↑,
- 79', Mercado P. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
- 81', Mesa Mercado E. E. 🟨,
- 86', Guagua D. 🟨,
- 86', Hoyos M. ↓, Vasquez Y. ↑,
- 90+2', Jimenez J. ↓, Arena N. ↑,
- 90+2', Mesa Mercado E. E. ↓, Espinoza T. ↑,
- 90+2', Caicedo B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Macará
22.1% | Draw
27% | Independiente del Valle
50.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.2 ↓
(4.34) |
3.42
(3.42) |
1.81 ↑
(1.78) |
8.4%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Macará won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Macará won against Independiente del Valle?
Deportivo Macará has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Deportivo Macará?
Independiente del Valle has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
24.11.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Deportivo Macará
7:0
25.05.2024
Deportivo Macará
-
Independiente del Valle
0:1
24.09.2022
Independiente del Valle
-
Deportivo Macará
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Macará
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 11 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 12 | Macara | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Manta | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31:42 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
