Deportivo Macará vs Independiente del Valle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle
Result
1:2
11/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.34
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
65% (131/201)84% (362/429)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.971.36
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1321
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
920
Passes
65% (131/201)84% (362/429)
Long passes
35% (17/49)52% (30/58)
Passes in final third
52% (43/82)66% (69/104)
Crosses
36% (4/11)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.480.71
Throw-ins
2416
Fouls
209
Tackles
67% (6/9)87% (13/15)
Duels won
2958
Clearances
1619
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.360.97
Goals prevented
-0.64-0.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Paz F. , Viera M. (A),
  • 19', 1 - 1, Alcivar J. , Pata E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Alvarez L. 🟨,
  • 63', Alcivar J. , Mendez J. ,
  • 63', Ibarra R. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 63', Pata E. , Briones R. ,
  • 67', Correa C. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 2, Hoyos M. (Pen),
  • 71', Viera M. , Ledesma A. ,
  • 72', Morales J. 🟨,
  • 77', Alvarez L. , Blanc G. ,
  • 79', Mercado P. , Sornoza J. ,
  • 81', Mesa Mercado E. E. 🟨,
  • 86', Guagua D. 🟨,
  • 86', Hoyos M. , Vasquez Y. ,
  • 90+2', Jimenez J. , Arena N. ,
  • 90+2', Mesa Mercado E. E. , Espinoza T. ,
  • 90+2', Caicedo B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Macará
22.1%
Draw
27%
Independiente del Valle
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.2% 27% 51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9% 26.6% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Macará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.2
    (4.34)
    3.42
    (3.42)
    1.81
    (1.78)
    8.4%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Macará won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Ind del Valle is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Macará won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Macará won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Macará 7:0
    25.05.2024 Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle 0:1
    24.09.2022 Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Macará 1:0
    Latest results of Deportivo Macará
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    Placement Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Dep. Cuenca311371136:32446
    8Emelec311291033:35-245
    9Aucas301181138:41-341
    10Macara309111032:30238
    11EL Nacional31981434:48-1435
    12Delfin316141128:44-1632

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )