Result
2:1
15/05/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 103 | 94 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 33 | 27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 30', Caicedo B. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Rios R. ⚽,
- 44', Landazuri A. 🟨,
- 45+3', 2 - 0, Gustavo Gomez (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ibarra R. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 46', Arroyo K. ↓, Lerma Soliz J. A. ↑,
- 61', Endrick ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Diaz L. ⚽, Schunke R. (A),
- 70', Estevao ↓, Mayke ↑,
- 70', Flaco Lopez ↓, Rony ↑,
- 77', Hoyos M. ↓, Bolanos A. ↑,
- 77', Caicedo B. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
- 82', Rios R. ↓, Romulo ↑,
- 82', Lazaro ↓, Luan ↑,
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
69.9% | Draw
19.2% | Independiente del Valle
10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Palmeiras - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.4) |
4.89 ↑
(4.1) |
8.72 ↑
(8) |
6.4%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Independiente del Valle?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Palmeiras is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Independiente del Valle is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Palmeiras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Palmeiras is indisputable favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.
- Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Independiente del Valle?
Palmeiras has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Palmeiras?
Independiente del Valle has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
24.04.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Palmeiras
2:3
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | |
