San Lorenzo vs Independiente del Valle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Serie Rio de la Plata San Lorenzo - Independiente del Valle
Result
1:0 penalties
19/01/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Serie Rio de la Plata
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Mercado P. 🟨,
  • 32', Medina J. 🟨,
  • 37', Herrera D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Medina J. , Ibarra R. ,
  • 46', Zarate L. , Ibarra R. ,
  • 46', Villar G. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 46', Loor L. , Cortez G. ,
  • 46', Schunke R. , Quinonez L. ,
  • 46', Alcivar J. , Bravo D. ,
  • 46', Irala E. , Insaurralde M. ,
  • 61', Muniain I. , Cecchini E. ,
  • 61', Braida M. , Baez E. ,
  • 61', Cuello A. , Salinardi B. ,
  • 64', Mercado P. , Garcia B. ,
  • 65', Fernandez M. , Arroyo J. P. ,
  • 69', Bravo D. 🟨,
  • 70', Hoyos M. , Vasquez Y. ,
  • 73', Reali M. , Escalante V. ,
  • 73', Cerutti E. , Ladstatter A. ,
  • 85', Cortez G. 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),

Chances of winning


San Lorenzo
33.4%
Draw
29.2%
Independiente del Valle
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 28.2% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 27.8% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente del Valle's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • San Lorenzo - Independiente del Valle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.02)
    3.11
    (3.25)
    2.42
    (3.45)
    10.3%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Serie Rio de la Plata with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Gol (English)
  • What is the prediction for San Lorenzo - Independiente del Valle?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Ind del Valle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently San Lorenzo have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 0.8:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
    09.05.2024 San Lorenzo - Independiente del Valle 2:0
    10.04.2024 Independiente del Valle - San Lorenzo 2:0
    15.01.2023 Independiente del Valle - San Lorenzo 0:0
    Latest results of San Lorenzo
    Latest results of Independiente del Valle