Universidad Católica del Ecuador vs Independiente del Valle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle
Result
0:3
29/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 18
  • Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.422.13
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
87% (503/581)83% (317/384)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.422.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.062.32
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2213
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
610
Passes
87% (503/581)83% (317/384)
Long passes
50% (25/50)40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
70% (117/168)63% (40/63)
Crosses
19% (3/16)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.96
Throw-ins
1915
Fouls
106
Tackles
75% (12/16)64% (9/14)
Duels won
3437
Clearances
323
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
2.320.06
Goals prevented
-0.680.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Spinelli C. ,
  • 22', 0 - 2, Briones R. , Guagua D. (A),
  • 33', 0 - 3, Guagua D. , Spinelli C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Clavijo E. , Valencia E. ,
  • 46', Mosquera I. , Alonso M. ,
  • 61', Moreno L. 🟨,
  • 61', Jhon Chancellor , Sevillano M. ,
  • 65', Santamaria T. , Mercado P. ,
  • 65', Cazares , Fernandez M. ,
  • 70', Mejia E. , Sanchez I. ,
  • 71', Guagua D. , Sornoza J. ,
  • 71', Spinelli C. , Hoyos M. ,
  • 71', Briones R. 🟨,
  • 74', Pata E. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 77', Medina C. 🟨,
  • 83', Cacciabue J. , Troya R. ,

Chances of winning


Universidad Católica del Ecuador
29.8%
Draw
27.6%
Independiente del Valle
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 28.8% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 28.3% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente del Valle's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (2.76)
    3.35
    (3.24)
    2.21
    (2.5)
    7.4%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ind del Valle: 30.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ind del Valle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1
    29.10.2024 Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:2
    22.10.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle 0:1
    28.09.2024 Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 5:2
    14.04.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle 2:2
    Latest results of Independiente del Valle
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle25158245:202553
    2Barcelona SC26145738:29947
    3LDU Quito25128541:241744
    4Dep. Cuenca26126831:25642
    5Libertad26118740:34641
    6Aucas261151035:37-238
    7Orense25115927:29-238
    8U. Catolica2599746:331336
    9Emelec2598824:28-435
    10Macara26791025:27-230
    11EL Nacional25771130:35-528
    12Delfin25610924:37-1328
    13Tecnico U25671224:35-1125
    14Manta265101131:43-1225
    15Vinotinto26661429:37-824
    16Mushuc Runa ✔ 26551628:45-1720

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )