Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Católica del Ecuador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Copa Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Result
1:2
13/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Ecuador - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 17', 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Hoyos M. ,
  • 22', 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 1, Alonso M. ,
  • 38', 1 - 2, Alonso M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 69', Cacciabue J. , Moreno L. ,
  • 69', Diaz M. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 78', Valencia E. , Medina C. ,
  • 88', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Independiente del Valle
48.8%
Draw
26.4%
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 24.9% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 24% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.79)
    3.52
    (3.69)
    3.74
    (3.87)
    7.9%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 3.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Uni Católica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ind del Valle has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Ind del Valle is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Ind del Valle will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador were as follows:
    29.06.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle 0:3
    02.03.2025 Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1
    29.10.2024 Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 2:2
    22.10.2024 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle 0:1
    28.09.2024 Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 5:2
    Latest results of Independiente del Valle
    Draw
    2025

    1/32-finals
    1Club Deportivo IbarraSan Antonio0 : 1
    2MantaBye
    3Liga De MacasOlmedo2 : 3
    4LDU QuitoBye
    5EcuageneraCumbaya2 : 1
    6AucasBye
    7BanosHuaquillas FC3 : 2
    8Dep. CuencaBye
    9Luz ValdiviaDep. Santo Domingo1 : 2
    10DelfinBye
    11San CamiloGuayaquil City0 : 1
    12Mushuc RunaBye
    13Leones del NorteSembrando Buenos Campeones4 : 0
    14OrenseBye
    15Miguel IturraldePatria2 : 1
    16EmelecBye
    17GualaceoMineros2 : 0
    18VinotintoBye
    19La TroncalImbabura1 : 2
    20Ind. del ValleBye
    21Ind. JuniorsLDU Portoviejo1 : 2
    22MacaraBye
    23Rio AguaricoLoja2 : 1
    24U. CatolicaBye
    25Atletico VinotintoCuenca Juniors2 : 3
    26Barcelona SCBye
    27La CanteraMontufar4 : 1
    28LibertadBye
    29Club Deportivo PanamericanaNueve de Octubre0 : 1
    30Tecnico U.Bye
    31Deportivo Coca22 de Julio0 : 3
    32EL NacionalBye

    1/16-finals
    1San AntonioManta1 : 0
    2OlmedoLDU Quito1 : 2
    3EcuageneraAucas0 : 1
    4BanosDep. Cuenca0 : 2
    5Dep. Santo DomingoDelfin3 : 2
    6Guayaquil CityMushuc Runa3 : 1
    7Leones del NorteOrense1 : 0
    8Miguel IturraldeEmelec1 : 2
    9GualaceoVinotinto2 : 1
    10ImbaburaInd. del Valle0 : 1
    11LDU PortoviejoMacara1 : 0
    12Rio AguaricoU. Catolica0 : 1
    13Cuenca JuniorsBarcelona SC2 : 0
    14La CanteraLibertad1 : 0
    15Nueve de OctubreTecnico U.1 : 0
    1622 de JulioEL Nacional0 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1San AntonioLDU Quito0 : 4
    2AucasDep. Cuenca1 : 2
    3Dep. Santo DomingoGuayaquil City2 : 3
    4Leones del NorteEmelec0 : 1
    5GualaceoInd. del Valle0 : 6
    6LDU PortoviejoU. Catolica1 : 3
    7Cuenca JuniorsLa Cantera6 : 1
    8Nueve de OctubreEL Nacional2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1LDU QuitoDep. Cuenca
    2Guayaquil CityEmelec0 : 1
    3Ind. del ValleU. Catolica1 : 2
    4Cuenca JuniorsNueve de Octubre2 : 1