Result
0:3
29/06/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 18
- Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 2.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (503/581) | 83% (317/384) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 2.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.06 | 2.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (503/581) | 83% (317/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (25/50) | 40% (25/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (117/168) | 63% (40/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 3 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 18', 0 - 1, Spinelli C. ⚽,
- 22', 0 - 2, Briones R. ⚽, Guagua D. (A),
- 33', 0 - 3, Guagua D. ⚽, Spinelli C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Clavijo E. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 46', Mosquera I. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
- 61', Moreno L. 🟨,
- 61', Jhon Chancellor ↓, Sevillano M. ↑,
- 65', Santamaria T. ↓, Mercado P. ↑,
- 65', Cazares ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 70', Mejia E. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
- 71', Guagua D. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
- 71', Spinelli C. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
- 71', Briones R. 🟨,
- 74', Pata E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 77', Medina C. 🟨,
- 83', Cacciabue J. ↓, Troya R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
29.8% | Draw
27.6% | Independiente del Valle
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente del Valle's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↑
(2.76) |
3.35 ↑
(3.24) |
2.21 ↓
(2.5) |
7.4%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind del Valle: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ind del Valle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Independiente del Valle?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Independiente del Valle has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
02.03.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:1
29.10.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:2
22.10.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Independiente del Valle
0:1
28.09.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
5:2
14.04.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Independiente del Valle
2:2
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 53:21 | 32 | 62 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:26 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 4 | Orense | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 45 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 52:36 | 16 | 43 |
| 6 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 7 | Libertad | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 40:35 | 5 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 31:48 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
