Result
0:1
14/12/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 9
- Referee: Araujo G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 2.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (446/509) | 89% (383/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 2.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (446/509) | 89% (383/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (25/54) | 58% (33/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (49/80) | 79% (105/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.20 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (12/25) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Moreno L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Alonso M. ↓, Mejia E. ↑,
- 46', Jhon Chancellor ↓, Medina C. ↑,
- 57', Pata E. ↓, Zabala C. ↑,
- 57', Ibarra R. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 1, Zabala C. ⚽,
- 64', Moreno L. ↓, Clavijo E. ↑,
- 64', Londono A. ↓, Romero Padilla D. A. ↑,
- 67', Briones R. ↓, Vasquez Y. ↑,
- 67', Mendez J. ↓, Quinonez O. ↑,
- 70', Caicedo R. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
- 78', Spinelli C. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
36.4% | Draw
28.2% | Independiente del Valle
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica del Ecuador, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.24) |
3.25 ↓
(3.42) |
2.63 ↓
(2.9) |
8.1%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Uni Católica (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 3.
- In recent matches, Uni Católica has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ind del Valle is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Ind del Valle has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.3:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Independiente del Valle?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Independiente del Valle has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
08.11.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
0:2
13.10.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:2
29.06.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Independiente del Valle
0:3
02.03.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:1
29.10.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:2
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Macara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Libertad | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Tecnico U | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Dep. Cuenca | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Delfin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Mushuc Runa | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Orense | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Emelec | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Manta | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Aucas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Leones del Norte | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
