Result
1:1
01/12/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Quadrangular - Round 4
- Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (450/519) | 74% (210/283) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (450/519) | 74% (210/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (45/67) | 48% (30/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (145/188) | 50% (33/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 67% (2/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.50 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', Perlaza B. 🟨,
- 25', Pestana J. 🟨,
- 25', Chaverra F. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Perlaza B. ⚽,
- 45+4', Londono D. 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 1, Garces Y. ⚽, Palacios T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Garces Y. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
- 66', Lucumi J. 🟨,
- 70', Chaverra F. ↓, Arizala J. ↑,
- 70', Alvarado J. ↓, Berrio L. ↑,
- 72', Palacios T. ↓, Navarro S. ↑,
- 87', Lucumi J. ↓, Borrero D. ↑,
- 87', Cavadia J. ↓, Romero J. ↑,
- 90', Torijano F. 🟨,
- 90+3', Mena Perea E. ↓, Mancilla G. ↑,
- 90+7', Escobar J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5fnvdvyf
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
58.8% | Draw
24.1% | América de Cali
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Independiente Medellín - América de Cali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.78) |
3.9 ↑
(3.43) |
5.44 ↑
(4.62) |
7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - América de Cali?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 6 - 75%). América de Cali will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Ind Medellín (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 3)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Ind Medellín is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against América de Cali?
Independiente Medellín has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América de Cali won against Independiente Medellín?
América de Cali has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - América de Cali were as follows:
27.11.2025
América de Cali
-
Independiente Medellín
2:1
13.11.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
América de Cali
3:0
19.06.2025
América de Cali
-
Independiente Medellín
1:1
31.05.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
América de Cali
1:1
25.05.2025
América de Cali
-
Independiente Medellín
2:0
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of América de Cali
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
| 12 | Fortaleza | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3:17 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
