Result
1:1
19/06/2025 at 21:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (390/455) | 84% (356/422) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (390/455) | 84% (356/422) |
| Long passes |
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| 51% (29/57) | 46% (21/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (117/162) | 76% (73/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 50% (3/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 92% (12/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 35 |
| Clearances |
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| 11 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Tovar C. ⚽, Carrascal R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Marcus Vinicius ↓, Varela J. ↑,
- 61', Mosquera J. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
- 61', Alvarado J. ↓, Martinez Yepez H. E. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Perlaza B. ⚽, Sandoval L. (A),
- 76', Romero J. ↓, Cavadia J. ↑,
- 76', Holgado R. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
- 77', Sandoval L. ↓, Segura N. ↑,
- 80', Moreno D. 🟨,
- 88', Vergara D. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4x5zkzwz
Chances of winning
América de Cali
57.3% | Draw
26.9% | Independiente Medellín
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América de Cali's performance.Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Medellín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-15.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América de Cali that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Medellín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
América de Cali - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(2.27) |
3.46 ↑
(3.03) |
5.82 ↑
(3.38) |
7%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for América de Cali - Independiente Medellín?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - América de Cali (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
América de Cali will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): América de Cali will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final))
- Ind Medellín is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs Final)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 3.
- América de Cali has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ind Medellín is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- América de Cali may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, América de Cali is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, América de Cali won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has América de Cali won against Independiente Medellín?
América de Cali has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against América de Cali?
Independiente Medellín has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América de Cali - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
31.05.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
América de Cali
1:1
25.05.2025
América de Cali
-
Independiente Medellín
2:0
14.10.2024
América de Cali
-
Independiente Medellín
1:0
31.03.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
América de Cali
1:4
06.12.2023
Independiente Medellín
-
América de Cali
2:1
Latest results of América de Cali
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Alianza | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 11 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | America De Cali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Pereira | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Aguilas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Bucaramanga | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Millonarios | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
