Result
1:3
30/08/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (210/275) | 87% (471/539) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (210/275) | 87% (471/539) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (25/54) | 63% (30/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (64/95) | 73% (62/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 60% (3/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.89 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Quinones J. ↓, Aguilar F. ↑,
- 26', Leon B. 🟨,
- 26', Chaverra F. 🟨,
- 33', Torijano F. 🟨,
- 39', Castillo F. 🟥,
- 44', Estupinan A. 🟨,
- 45+5', Ortiz J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Estupinan A. ↓, Graciano C. ↑,
- 48', 0 - 1, Perlaza B. ⚽, Leon B. (A),
- 52', 0 - 2, Fydriszewski F. ⚽,
- 61', Bustamante R. ↓, Orozco M. ↑,
- 63', Leon B. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
- 63', Torijano F. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
- 63', Barrera J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 68', Loboa H. 🟨,
- 72', Loboa H. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
- 76', Aguilar F. 🟨,
- 76', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
- 80', Martinez J. ↓, Mimbacas F. ↑,
- 80', Corujo G. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
- 81', Palacios J. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 2, Hurtado A. (Pen),
- 90+5', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Serna A. ↑,
- 90+8', 1 - 3, Sandoval L. ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ykt96jw7
Chances of winning
Deportivo Cali
26.5% | Draw
31.1% | Independiente Medellín
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Cali's form might have worsened.Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Medellín's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Cali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Medellín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.51 ↑
(2.97) |
3.01 ↓
(3.04) |
2.22 ↓
(2.53) |
6.7%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín?
Users Predictions:
Independiente Medellín will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 1.
- In recent matches, Deportivo Cali has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ind Medellín is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Deportivo Cali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ind Medellín has had a series of away games.
- Ind Medellín will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cali won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cali won against Independiente Medellín?
Deportivo Cali has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Deportivo Cali?
Independiente Medellín has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
04.08.2024
Deportivo Cali
-
Independiente Medellín
2:0
05.02.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Deportivo Cali
1:0
22.09.2023
Deportivo Cali
-
Independiente Medellín
2:2
12.04.2023
Independiente Medellín
-
Deportivo Cali
3:0
Latest results of Deportivo Cali
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:9 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Junior | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22:14 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15:9 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 |
| 5 | Ind. Medellin | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Alianza | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Pereira | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | Millonarios | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | La Equidad | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Chico | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Aguilas | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
