Result
3:1
23/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Marquez C. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (586/639) | 79% (223/283) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (586/639) | 79% (223/283) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (36/52) | 34% (13/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (120/152) | 59% (30/51) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 0% (0/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | -1.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Fydriszewski F. ⚽, Chaverra F. (A),
- 39', 2 - 0, Perlaza B. ⚽, Chaverra F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Colorado J. 🟨,
- 55', Copete D. ↓, Castilla J. ↑,
- 57', Rodas M. 🟨,
- 63', Chaverra L. 🟨,
- 65', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Bolivar J. ↑,
- 68', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
- 68', Chaverra F. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 73', Mayo S. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
- 73', Colorado J. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
- 73', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 77', Vivas C. 🟨,
- 78', Barrera J. ↓, Berrio L. ↑,
- 79', Loboa H. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 0, Leon B. ⚽,
- 88', Perlaza B. ↓, Serna A. ↑,
- 89', Chaux E. 🟨,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Rodas M. (Pen),
- 90+4', Chaverra F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
70.1% | Draw
20% | Deportivo La Equidad
10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo La Equidad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo La Equidad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Independiente Medellín - Deportivo La Equidad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.55) |
4.87 ↑
(4) |
9.91 ↑
(5.75) |
3.8%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Deportivo La Equidad?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 1.
- Ind Medellín has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, La Equidad has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Ind Medellín is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Ind Medellín will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Independiente Medellín has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Independiente Medellín?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:
08.03.2025
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Independiente Medellín
0:0
06.10.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Deportivo La Equidad
0:0
22.03.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Independiente Medellín
1:2
15.07.2023
Independiente Medellín
-
Deportivo La Equidad
2:2
15.02.2023
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Independiente Medellín
2:1
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | U. Magdalena | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 | Aguilas | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Alianza | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
