Result
2:2
20/02/2026 at 18:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (256/339) | 70% (176/250) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (256/339) | 70% (176/250) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (34/66) | 43% (25/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (77/122) | 65% (53/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/34) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 2.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 36', Benitez B. 🟨,
- 39', Mancilla G. 🟨,
- 39', Moreno D. 🟨,
- 45', Piedrahita L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 51', 0 - 1, Benitez B. (Own goal),
- 55', Palacios H. ↓, Mena Perea E. ↑,
- 55', Piedrahita L. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
- 60', Cortes C. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
- 60', Escobar Salcedo J. ↓, Medranda J. ↑,
- 61', Benitez B. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
- 61', Chaux E. 🟨,
- 63', Balanta M. ↓, Banguera J. ↑,
- 64', Ortega A. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
- 75', Serna A. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 1, Jhon Vasquez (Penalty Awarded),
- 76', Pertuz J. ↓, Mantilla D. ↑,
- 76', Sierra M. ↓, Kelvin Osorio ↑,
- 84', Fabra F. ↓, Viveros J. ↑,
- 85', Meza F. 🟨,
- 90+3', 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Moreno D. ⚽, Mena Perea E. (A),
- 90+9', 2 - 2, Ospina N. ⚽, Blanco J. (A),
Chances of winning
Llaneros SA
44.1% | Draw
30% | Independiente Medellín
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llaneros SA's performance.Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Medellín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-17.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llaneros SA that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+16.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Medellín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Llaneros SA - Independiente Medellín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(3.32) |
3.13 ↑
(2.95) |
3.6 ↑
(2.32) |
6.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Llaneros SA - Independiente Medellín?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Ind Medellín will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Llaneros SA: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Llaneros SA (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Llaneros SA (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Llaneros SA (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ind Medellín (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Llaneros SA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Llaneros SA is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Llaneros SA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Llaneros SA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Llaneros SA won against Independiente Medellín?
Llaneros SA has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Llaneros SA?
Independiente Medellín has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Llaneros SA - Independiente Medellín were as follows:
10.08.2025
Llaneros SA
-
Independiente Medellín
0:1
27.02.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Llaneros SA
3:0
Latest results of Llaneros SA
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 20:15 | 5 | 27 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24:17 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Junior | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 22 |
| 5 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17:18 | -1 | 21 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:14 | 9 | 20 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 19 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Fortaleza | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 11 |
| 17 | Alianza | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Cucuta | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18:27 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 | Chico | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:20 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Pereira | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
