Independiente vs Independiente Rivadavia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia
Result
1:0
11/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
italyItalySI Solo Calcio, Sport Italia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.73
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
79% (263/335)76% (193/253)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.73
xG on target (xGOT)
0.630.13
Total shots
168
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
257
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1911
Passes
79% (263/335)76% (193/253)
Long passes
39% (16/41)63% (32/51)
Passes in final third
72% (76/105)64% (48/75)
Crosses
20% (4/20)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.26
Throw-ins
2016
Fouls
1119
Tackles
88% (7/8)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4651
Clearances
1223
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.130.63
Goals prevented
0.13-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Bottari T. 🟨,
  • 29', Villa S. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Sartori F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Millan L. , Tarzia D. ,
  • 51', Vera F. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 0, Montiel S. ,
  • 59', Fernandez M. , Sequeira L. ,
  • 59', Bottari T. , Retamar K. ,
  • 61', Villalba I. 🟨,
  • 69', Cardillo M. , Barbieri J. ,
  • 75', Valenti M. , Souto P. ,
  • 82', Vera F. , Rodrigo Fernandez ,
  • 88', Gimenez M. , Maestro I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
55.5%
Draw
27.3%
Independiente Rivadavia
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 26.8% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 24.5% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.67)
    3.47
    (3.5)
    5.51
    (5.5)
    5.4%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Independiente is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Independiente R is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Independiente R may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Independiente has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Independiente is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Avalos G. (Inactive) Galdames P. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Independiente R: Ramis V. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente 1:0
    26.01.2024 Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente 0:1
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barracas Central43017:529
    2Estudiantes L.P43015:329
    3Union de Santa Fe52216:248
    4Belgrano52215:238
    5Defensa y Justicia42114:227
    6Tigre52125:507
    7Central Cordoba41304:316
    8Huracan42023:5-26
    9Newells Old Boys41214:405
    10Argentinos Jrs41212:205
    11Ind. Rivadavia41125:414
    12Banfield41124:6-24
    13Racing Club51133:5-24
    14Boca Juniors40312:3-13
    15Aldosivi50321:5-43


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate42207:168
    2San Lorenzo42203:128
    3Gimnasia L.P42113:217
    4Lanus42023:216
    5Rosario Central41302:116
    6Dep. Riestra42024:406
    7Atl. Tucuman41213:305
    8Velez Sarsfield41212:205
    9Sarmiento Junin41213:4-15
    10Instituto51222:9-75
    11San Martin S.J41124:5-14
    12Talleres Cordoba41123:4-14
    13Godoy Cruz40312:3-13
    14Platense40312:4-23
    15Independiente40223:5-22

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)