Result
3:2
21/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (155/231) | 78% (303/386) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (155/231) | 78% (303/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (24/57) | 58% (38/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (71/120) | 68% (86/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 15% (4/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 43% (9/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | -1.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Osella A. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Pussetto I. ↓, Mazzantti W. ↑,
- 46', Godoy L. ↓, Arias S. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Avalos G. ⚽, Arias S. (A),
- 50', Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 2, Abaldo M. ⚽, Zabala F. (A),
- 58', Costa L. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 71', Osella A. ↓, Bonifacio E. ↑,
- 71', Rios G. ↓, Crego D. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 2, Sartori F. ⚽, Atencio R. (A),
- 80', Fernandez M. 🟨,
- 84', Millan L. ↓, Perez Curci M. ↑,
- 84', Malcorra I. ↓, Mancuello F. ↑,
- 84', Fernandez M. ↓, Ramis V. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 2, Sartori F. ⚽, Atencio R. (A),
Chances of winning
Independiente Rivadavia
36.1% | Draw
34% | Independiente
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↑
(2.43) |
2.77 ↑
(2.69) |
3.09 ↓
(3.33) |
6.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Independiente will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Independiente R: Arce A.
(Broken collarbone)
- There will not play in Independiente: Cabral L.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Independiente: Montiel S.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Independiente?
Independiente Rivadavia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Independiente Rivadavia?
Independiente has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente were as follows:
11.05.2025
Independiente
-
Independiente Rivadavia
1:0
27.07.2024
Independiente Rivadavia
-
Independiente
1:0
26.01.2024
Independiente Rivadavia
-
Independiente
0:1
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Latest results of Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:6 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lanus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Independiente | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Platense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | Instituto | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 12 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | River Plate | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Tigre | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Huracan | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gimnasia L.P | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Banfield | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
