Result
05/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 10
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
42.7% | Draw
30% | Independiente Santa Fe
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Tolima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(1.98) |
3.1 ↓
(3.28) |
3.4 ↓
(3.85) |
7.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 2.
- Deportes Tolima has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Santa Fe is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Deportes Tolima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Deportes Tolima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Deportes Tolima has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Deportes Tolima?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
29.11.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:0
25.11.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportes Tolima
1:2
18.07.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
31.01.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportes Tolima
0:0
29.09.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:0
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23:9 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Junior | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Millonarios | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 17 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 16 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Aguilas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | Santa Fe | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Ind. Medellin | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 10 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 7 |
| 18 | Chico | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
| 19 | Pereira | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 | Alianza | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
