Result
1:0
29/11/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Quadrangular - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (304/382) | 74% (237/320) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (304/382) | 74% (237/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (36/64) | 58% (37/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (93/135) | 56% (51/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.76 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Murillo E. 🟨,
- 5', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
- 9', Fiermarin C. ↓, Neto Volpi ↑,
- 25', Perlaza E. 🟨,
- 34', Angulo A. 🟨,
- 41', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 45', Torres M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Velasquez S. 🟨,
- 49', Rodallega H. 🟨,
- 54', Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 55', Velasquez S. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 70', Gonzalez M. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
- 70', Nieto J. ↓, Trujillo C. ↑,
- 70', Guzman S. ↓, Rovira B. ↑,
- 77', Murillo E. 🟨,
- 80', Perlaza E. ↓, Melendez J. ↑,
- 89', Velasquez Y. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
- 89', Torres J. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Parra Osorio A. ⚽, Torres Patino J. P. (A),
- 90+6', Parra Osorio A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yt4vru65
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
51.4% | Draw
28.3% | Independiente Santa Fe
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.95) |
3.32 ↑
(3.27) |
4.56 ↑
(3.95) |
6.6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Final) and 3)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 1.
- Deportes Tolima has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Santa Fe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Santa Fe has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Deportes Tolima is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Deportes Tolima has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Deportes Tolima?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
25.11.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportes Tolima
1:2
18.07.2025
Deportes Tolima
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
31.01.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Deportes Tolima
0:0
29.09.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:0
02.06.2024
Deportes Tolima
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:2
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Junior | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:14 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
