Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe
Result
0:1
18/07/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.21
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
89% (499/559)76% (195/257)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.21
xG on target (xGOT)
0.190.82
Total shots
156
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
62
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
268
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
128
Passes
89% (499/559)76% (195/257)
Long passes
54% (19/35)46% (26/56)
Passes in final third
78% (157/202)70% (40/57)
Crosses
18% (4/22)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.56
Throw-ins
1418
Fouls
812
Tackles
60% (6/10)88% (7/8)
Duels won
2728
Clearances
533
Interceptions
14
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.820.19
Goals prevented
-0.180.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Rovira B. 🟨,
  • 32', Murillo E. 🟨,
  • 44', Mafla C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Zapata A. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 53', Perez K. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 1, Murillo E. , Rodriguez A. (A),
  • 67', Parra Osorio A. , Torres Patino J. P. ,
  • 72', Mosquera H. , Moreno Y. ,
  • 74', Mera J. , Quinones J. ,
  • 74', Valencia E. , Quinones J. ,
  • 77', Torres J. , Molina T. ,
  • 83', Fernandez O. , Perlaza Perea Y. A. ,
  • 83', Perlaza E. , Melendez J. ,
  • 84', Perez K. , Gonzalez M. ,
  • 88', Moreno Y. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Melendez J. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yeymy74f

Chances of winning


Deportes Tolima
45.4%
Draw
29.5%
Independiente Santa Fe
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 27.5% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 28.4% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.9)
    3.15
    (3.33)
    3.65
    (3.75)
    7.3%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 0.
    • Deportes Tolima has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Santa Fe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Deportes Tolima might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:18. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
    31.01.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Tolima 0:0
    29.09.2024 Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe 0:0
    02.06.2024 Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2
    05.05.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Tolima 1:0
    16.03.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Deportes Tolima 1:1
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1273222:91324
    2Junior1264224:16822
    3Ind. Medellin1163221:15621
    4Fortaleza1256117:12521
    5Atl. Nacional1255220:15520
    6Deportes Tolima1262414:9520
    7Llaneros1253410:10018
    8Dep. Cali1245317:16117
    9Santa Fe1245312:11117
    10Alianza1244413:15-216
    11Pereira1235410:11-114
    12Millonarios1242614:17-314
    13America De Cali123459:10-113
    14Once Caldas1234511:14-313
    15Envigado122649:11-212
    16Aguilas1125411:15-411
    17U. Magdalena1232712:20-811
    18Chico122558:16-811
    19La Equidad122557:15-811
    20Dep. Pasto1224612:16-410

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