Result
1:1
25/01/2026 at 20:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 2
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (446/512) | 80% (285/355) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (446/512) | 80% (285/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (30/52) | 51% (27/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (113/147) | 60% (65/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Cardona J. 🟨,
- 62', Mafla C. 🟨,
- 63', Fernandez O. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
- 63', Velasquez Y. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
- 63', Beltran J. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
- 72', Barrios M. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
- 74', Rodallega H. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 1, Fagundez F. ⚽, Bustos N. (A),
- 82', Sanchez L. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
- 85', Palacios L. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 85', Murillo E. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
- 87', Mosquera E. 🟨,
- 90', Quinones J. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. ⚽, Gomez P. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bdz3epjm
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
42.2% | Draw
30.5% | Independiente Santa Fe
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.22) |
3.06 ↑
(3.05) |
3.42 ↑
(3.35) |
7.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Once Caldas: 19% – 81%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Once Caldas (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Once Caldas (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Once Caldas (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Once Caldas (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Once Caldas (3.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Once Caldas (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Once Caldas (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Once Caldas (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Once Caldas (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Once Caldas will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 13 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 1.
- Santa Fe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Once Caldas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 0.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Once Caldas has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Once Caldas?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
01.09.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Once Caldas
1:2
16.06.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Once Caldas
1:0
05.06.2025
Once Caldas
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:2
15.03.2025
Once Caldas
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
08.11.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Once Caldas
2:1
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Junior | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:14 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
