Result
1:0
16/06/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 5
- Referee: Matorel L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (223/290) | 81% (296/366) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (223/290) | 81% (296/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (19/44) | 51% (26/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (85/126) | 65% (66/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', Cardona J. 🟨,
- 42', Zuleta M. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Rodallega H. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Moreno V. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 59', Barrios M. 🟨,
- 66', Melendez J. 🟨,
- 68', Beltran E. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
- 68', Moreno D. 🟨,
- 70', Rodas M. 🟨,
- 73', Rodas M. ↓, Riquett J. ↑,
- 73', Moreno D. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
- 74', Angulo J. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 77', Olivera E. 🟨,
- 82', Contreras J. 🟨,
- 85', Castano J. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
- 90+6', Velasquez Y. ↓, Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↑,
- 90+6', Melendez J. ↓, Molina T. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mttjk5b2
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe
53.3% | Draw
27.9% | Once Caldas
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.8) |
3.34 ↑
(3.25) |
4.92 ↑
(4.2) |
7%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Santa Fe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 and 4)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 4.
- Recent performances by Santa Fe have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Once Caldas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Santa Fe is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Once Caldas?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Once Caldas has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas were as follows:
05.06.2025
Once Caldas
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:2
15.03.2025
Once Caldas
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
08.11.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Once Caldas
2:1
23.05.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Once Caldas
1:0
18.05.2024
Once Caldas
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:0
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Llaneros | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Ind. Medellin | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Pereira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Envigado | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Chico | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Dep. Cali | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Dep. Pasto | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Alianza | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | America De Cali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 | Aguilas | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Millonarios | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
