Independiente vs Banfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.520.40
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
81% (427/526)67% (160/239)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.520.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.060.88
Total shots
148
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
2210
Passes
81% (427/526)67% (160/239)
Long passes
48% (23/48)50% (25/50)
Passes in final third
69% (116/167)55% (36/65)
Crosses
21% (6/28)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.32
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
1023
Tackles
80% (12/15)69% (11/16)
Duels won
6854
Clearances
1747
Interceptions
514
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.880.06
Goals prevented
-0.120.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Rios L. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Rio M. , Rios G. (A),
  • 39', Pussetto I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Loyola F. , Cabral L. ,
  • 46', Millan L. , Galdames P. ,
  • 46', Castaneda F. , Adoryan T. ,
  • 46', Rios L. , Palavecino L. ,
  • 55', Pussetto I. , Avalos G. ,
  • 56', Mazzantti W. , Abaldo M. ,
  • 69', Auzmendi R. , Furch J. ,
  • 75', Vera F. , Godoy L. ,
  • 83', Rios G. , Sepulveda B. ,
  • 84', Meriano N. , Daniele S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
42.8%
Draw
33.7%
Banfield
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 27.5% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 26.6% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente's form might have worsened.
  • Banfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Banfield's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Banfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente - Banfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (1.69)
    3.18
    (3.42)
    4.53
    (5.64)
    -8.6%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Independiente - Banfield?
  • Users Predictions: Independiente will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Independiente is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.6:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Banfield were as follows:
    04.03.2025 Banfield - Independiente 0:0
    12.06.2024 Independiente - Banfield 2:1
    05.04.2024 Banfield - Independiente 0:1
    12.11.2023 Independiente - Banfield 0:0
    26.02.2023 Banfield - Independiente 0:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    Latest results of Banfield
    29.08.2025 Banfield - Tigre 1:0
    24.08.2025 Boca Juniors - Banfield 2:0
    09.08.2025 Belgrano - Banfield 2:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    2Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    3Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    4Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Independiente1346319:16318
    8Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)