Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 China | K-Ball |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (427/526) | 67% (160/239) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (427/526) | 67% (160/239) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (23/48) | 50% (25/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (116/167) | 55% (36/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/28) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Rios L. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Rio M. ⚽, Rios G. (A),
- 39', Pussetto I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Loyola F. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
- 46', Millan L. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
- 46', Castaneda F. ↓, Adoryan T. ↑,
- 46', Rios L. ↓, Palavecino L. ↑,
- 55', Pussetto I. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
- 56', Mazzantti W. ↓, Abaldo M. ↑,
- 69', Auzmendi R. ↓, Furch J. ↑,
- 75', Vera F. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
- 83', Rios G. ↓, Sepulveda B. ↑,
- 84', Meriano N. ↓, Daniele S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Independiente
42.8% | Draw
33.7% | Banfield
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente's form might have worsened.Banfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Banfield's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+14.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Banfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente - Banfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↑
(1.69) |
3.18 ↓
(3.42) |
4.53 ↓
(5.64) |
-8.6%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente - Banfield?
Users Predictions:
Independiente will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Independiente is considered a favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.6:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Banfield?
Independiente has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Banfield won against Independiente?
Banfield has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Banfield were as follows:
04.03.2025
Banfield
-
Independiente
0:0
12.06.2024
Independiente
-
Banfield
2:1
05.04.2024
Banfield
-
Independiente
0:1
12.11.2023
Independiente
-
Banfield
0:0
26.02.2023
Banfield
-
Independiente
0:0
Latest results of Independiente
Latest results of Banfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | River Plate | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Racing Club | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Huracan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
