Independiente vs Banfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente - Banfield
Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.520.40
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
81% (427/526)67% (160/239)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.520.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.060.88
Total shots
148
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
2210
Passes
81% (427/526)67% (160/239)
Long passes
48% (23/48)50% (25/50)
Passes in final third
69% (116/167)55% (36/65)
Crosses
21% (6/28)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.32
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
1023
Tackles
80% (12/15)69% (11/16)
Duels won
6854
Clearances
1747
Interceptions
514
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.880.06
Goals prevented
-0.120.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Rios L. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Rio M. , Rios G. (A),
  • 39', Pussetto I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Loyola F. , Cabral L. ,
  • 46', Millan L. , Galdames P. ,
  • 46', Castaneda F. , Adoryan T. ,
  • 46', Rios L. , Palavecino L. ,
  • 55', Pussetto I. , Avalos G. ,
  • 56', Mazzantti W. , Abaldo M. ,
  • 69', Auzmendi R. , Furch J. ,
  • 75', Vera F. , Godoy L. ,
  • 83', Rios G. , Sepulveda B. ,
  • 84', Meriano N. , Daniele S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
42.8%
Draw
33.7%
Banfield
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 27.5% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 26.6% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente's form might have worsened.
  • Banfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Banfield's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Banfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente - Banfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (1.69)
    3.18
    (3.42)
    4.53
    (5.64)
    -8.6%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Independiente - Banfield?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Independiente will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Independiente is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.6:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Banfield were as follows:
    04.03.2025 Banfield - Independiente 0:0
    12.06.2024 Independiente - Banfield 2:1
    05.04.2024 Banfield - Independiente 0:1
    12.11.2023 Independiente - Banfield 0:0
    26.02.2023 Banfield - Independiente 0:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    Latest results of Banfield
    29.08.2025 Banfield - Tigre 1:0
    24.08.2025 Boca Juniors - Banfield 2:0
    09.08.2025 Belgrano - Banfield 2:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba1356216:10621
    2Estudiantes L.P1363415:13221
    3Union de Santa Fe1355319:13620
    4Defensa y Justicia1354413:13019
    5Argentinos Jrs1353515:10518
    6Belgrano1346313:10318
    7Barracas Central1246215:13218
    8Tigre1346313:11218
    9Racing Club1353514:13118
    10Boca Juniors1245319:10917
    11Banfield1352612:18-617
    12Huracan134456:11-516
    13Ind. Rivadavia1326511:14-312
    14Newells Old Boys1325611:21-1011
    15Aldosivi132385:15-109


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1383218:9927
    2Rosario Central1376015:6927
    3Lanus1382315:9626
    4Velez Sarsfield1374219:91025
    5River Plate1363420:12821
    6San Lorenzo1354411:10119
    7San Martin S.J1345410:11-117
    8Atl. Tucuman1343614:15-115
    9Sarmiento Junin134369:14-515
    10Instituto133647:12-515
    11Talleres Cordoba133557:12-514
    12Gimnasia L.P134188:16-813
    13Platense1325611:20-911
    14Godoy Cruz131759:16-710
    15Independiente131669:13-49

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)