Independiente vs Banfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente - Banfield
Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.520.40
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
81% (427/526)67% (160/239)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.520.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.060.88
Total shots
148
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2410
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
2210
Passes
81% (427/526)67% (160/239)
Long passes
48% (23/48)50% (25/50)
Passes in final third
69% (116/167)55% (36/65)
Crosses
21% (6/28)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.32
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
1023
Tackles
80% (12/15)69% (11/16)
Duels won
6854
Clearances
1747
Interceptions
514
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.880.06
Goals prevented
-0.120.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Rios L. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Rio M. , Rios G. (A),
  • 39', Pussetto I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Loyola F. , Cabral L. ,
  • 46', Millan L. , Galdames P. ,
  • 46', Castaneda F. , Adoryan T. ,
  • 46', Rios L. , Palavecino L. ,
  • 55', Pussetto I. , Avalos G. ,
  • 56', Mazzantti W. , Abaldo M. ,
  • 69', Auzmendi R. , Furch J. ,
  • 75', Vera F. , Godoy L. ,
  • 83', Rios G. , Sepulveda B. ,
  • 84', Meriano N. , Daniele S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
42.8%
Draw
33.7%
Banfield
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 27.5% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 26.6% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente's form might have worsened.
  • Banfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Banfield's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Banfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Independiente - Banfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (1.69)
    3.18
    (3.42)
    4.53
    (5.64)
    -8.6%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Independiente - Banfield?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Independiente will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Independiente is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.6:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Banfield were as follows:
    04.03.2025 Banfield - Independiente 0:0
    12.06.2024 Independiente - Banfield 2:1
    05.04.2024 Banfield - Independiente 0:1
    12.11.2023 Independiente - Banfield 0:0
    26.02.2023 Banfield - Independiente 0:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    Latest results of Banfield
    29.08.2025 Banfield - Tigre 1:0
    24.08.2025 Boca Juniors - Banfield 2:0
    09.08.2025 Belgrano - Banfield 2:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1145215:10517
    2Defensa y Justicia1144312:10216
    3Barracas Central1044212:10216
    4Tigre1144310:8216
    5Estudiantes L.P1051411:11016
    6Huracan114436:8-216
    7Argentinos Jrs1143412:8415
    8Central Cordoba1136212:9315
    9Boca Juniors1035213:8514
    10Banfield114259:14-514
    11Belgrano1034310:8213
    12Racing Club1032510:12-211
    13Ind. Rivadavia1024410:12-210
    14Newells Old Boys102449:12-310
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1071214:6822
    2Velez Sarsfield1063114:5921
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1053217:9818
    5San Lorenzo114439:8116
    6Rosario Central93609:4515
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    9Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    10Instituto112635:11-612
    11San Martin S.J112548:11-311
    12Talleres Cordoba102445:9-410
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz101548:13-58
    15Independiente90545:9-45

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)