Independiente vs Estudiantes La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 1
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.951.40
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
32
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
105
Passes
73% (201/277)81% (357/443)
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.951.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.100.59
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
2221
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free kicks
109
Passes
73% (201/277)81% (357/443)
Long passes
52% (26/50)46% (26/57)
Passes in final third
64% (74/116)64% (66/103)
Crosses
4% (1/23)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.461.04
Throw ins
3217
Fouls
910
Tackles
64% (7/11)78% (21/27)
Duels won
3859
Clearances
1940
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.591.10
Goals prevented
-0.410.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Benedetti G. 🟨,
  • 39', Perez Fabricio 🟨,
  • 44', Meza E. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Cabral L. , Avalos G. (A),
  • 45+2', Cabral L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Muslera F. , Iacovich F. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Perez Fabricio , Medina C. (A),
  • 50', Montiel S. 🟥,
  • 51', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
  • 59', Cabral L. , Millan L. ,
  • 59', Perez Curci M. , Malcorra I. ,
  • 64', Farias F. , Cetre E. ,
  • 68', Gabriel Neves , Castro A. ,
  • 68', Meza E. , Mancuso E. ,
  • 71', Lomonaco K. , Fedorco J. ,
  • 71', Abaldo M. , Mazzantti W. ,
  • 79', Perez Fabricio , Dominguez F. ,
  • 81', Avalos G. , Pussetto I. ,
  • 85', Godoy L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
38.4%
Draw
34.2%
Estudiantes La Plata
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 34.4% 27.3%

Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.45
(2.44)
2.76
(2.72)
3.42
(3.42)
6.3%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Estudiantes (2.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Estudiantes (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Estudiantes (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Estudiantes (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 20%). Estudiantes (votes: 8 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
    • Estudiantes is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Independiente could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Marquez De Meneses R. L. (Inactive) Paredes F. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Independiente: Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (Injury) Ruiz J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Injury) Palacios T. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
    11.08.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente 0:2
    09.09.2023 Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata 1:2
    09.04.2023 Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata 1:2
    Latest results of Independiente
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus32107:527
    2Velez Sarsfield32104:227
    3Platense32104:227
    4Boca Juniors32014:226
    5San Lorenzo32014:316
    6Estudiantes L.P31203:215
    7Defensa y Justicia31201:015
    8Union de Santa Fe31115:234
    9Independiente30303:303
    10Talleres Cordoba31024:5-13
    11Gimnasia Mendoza31021:5-43
    12Instituto30123:5-21
    13Dep. Riestra30121:3-21
    14Central Cordoba30120:2-21
    15Newells Old Boys30122:5-31


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia33006:339
    2Tigre32106:247
    3River Plate32103:037
    4Gimnasia L.P32015:416
    5Belgrano31203:215
    6Argentinos Jrs31201:015
    7Rosario Central31113:304
    8Banfield31113:304
    9Sarmiento Junin31022:3-13
    10Huracan30213:4-12
    11Atl. Tucuman30212:3-12
    12Barracas Central30211:2-12
    13Aldosivi30211:3-22
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto30121:4-31
    15Racing Club30033:7-40

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