Independiente vs Estudiantes La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 1
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.951.40
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
32
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
105
Passes
73% (201/277)81% (357/443)
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.951.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.100.59
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
2221
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free kicks
109
Passes
73% (201/277)81% (357/443)
Long passes
52% (26/50)46% (26/57)
Passes in final third
64% (74/116)64% (66/103)
Crosses
4% (1/23)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.461.04
Throw ins
3217
Fouls
910
Tackles
64% (7/11)78% (21/27)
Duels won
3859
Clearances
1940
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.591.10
Goals prevented
-0.410.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Benedetti G. 🟨,
  • 39', Perez Fabricio 🟨,
  • 44', Meza E. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Cabral L. , Avalos G. (A),
  • 45+2', Cabral L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Muslera F. , Iacovich F. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Perez Fabricio , Medina C. (A),
  • 50', Montiel S. 🟥,
  • 51', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
  • 59', Cabral L. , Millan L. ,
  • 59', Perez Curci M. , Malcorra I. ,
  • 64', Farias F. , Cetre E. ,
  • 68', Gabriel Neves , Castro A. ,
  • 68', Meza E. , Mancuso E. ,
  • 71', Lomonaco K. , Fedorco J. ,
  • 71', Abaldo M. , Mazzantti W. ,
  • 79', Perez Fabricio , Dominguez F. ,
  • 81', Avalos G. , Pussetto I. ,
  • 85', Godoy L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
38.4%
Draw
34.2%
Estudiantes La Plata
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 34.4% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.44)
    2.76
    (2.72)
    3.42
    (3.42)
    6.3%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Estudiantes (2.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Estudiantes (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Estudiantes (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Estudiantes (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 20%). Estudiantes (votes: 8 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
    • Estudiantes is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Independiente could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Marquez De Meneses R. L. (Inactive) Paredes F. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Independiente: Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (Injury) Ruiz J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Injury) Palacios T. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
    11.08.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente 0:2
    09.09.2023 Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata 1:2
    09.04.2023 Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata 1:2
    Latest results of Independiente
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P74307:2515
    2Velez Sarsfield74308:4415
    3Platense73315:3212
    4San Lorenzo73227:5211
    5Defensa y Justicia72506:4211
    6Independiente72419:7210
    7Talleres Cordoba73138:9-110
    8Union de Santa Fe62226:338
    9Boca Juniors62225:418
    10Lanus52218:808
    11Instituto72238:808
    12Central Cordoba72233:4-18
    13Gimnasia Mendoza72144:9-57
    14Dep. Riestra70432:5-34
    15Newells Old Boys70255:14-92


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgrano74309:4515
    2Ind. Rivadavia650110:6415
    3Tigre742112:5714
    4Rosario Central73228:6211
    5Gimnasia L.P73137:8-110
    6Huracan62315:419
    7Argentinos Jrs52213:218
    8Barracas Central72235:6-18
    9Banfield62136:607
    10Racing Club62137:8-17
    11River Plate62134:6-27
    12Sarmiento Junin62044:6-26
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Aldosivi60332:6-43
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto60151:11-101

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