Independiente vs Estudiantes La Plata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 1
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.951.40
Ball possession
40%60%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
32
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
105
Passes
73% (201/277)81% (357/443)
Yellow cards
24
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.951.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.100.59
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
2221
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free kicks
109
Passes
73% (201/277)81% (357/443)
Long passes
52% (26/50)46% (26/57)
Passes in final third
64% (74/116)64% (66/103)
Crosses
4% (1/23)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.461.04
Throw ins
3217
Fouls
910
Tackles
64% (7/11)78% (21/27)
Duels won
3859
Clearances
1940
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
12
xGOT faced
0.591.10
Goals prevented
-0.410.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Benedetti G. 🟨,
  • 39', Perez Fabricio 🟨,
  • 44', Meza E. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Cabral L. , Avalos G. (A),
  • 45+2', Cabral L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Muslera F. , Iacovich F. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Perez Fabricio , Medina C. (A),
  • 50', Montiel S. 🟥,
  • 51', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
  • 59', Cabral L. , Millan L. ,
  • 59', Perez Curci M. , Malcorra I. ,
  • 64', Farias F. , Cetre E. ,
  • 68', Gabriel Neves , Castro A. ,
  • 68', Meza E. , Mancuso E. ,
  • 71', Lomonaco K. , Fedorco J. ,
  • 71', Abaldo M. , Mazzantti W. ,
  • 79', Perez Fabricio , Dominguez F. ,
  • 81', Avalos G. , Pussetto I. ,
  • 85', Godoy L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
38.4%
Draw
34.2%
Estudiantes La Plata
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 34.4% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Estudiantes La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.44)
    2.76
    (2.72)
    3.42
    (3.42)
    6.3%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Estudiantes (2.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Estudiantes (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Estudiantes (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Estudiantes (1.74) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 20%). Estudiantes (votes: 8 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
    • Estudiantes is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Independiente may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Independiente could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Marquez De Meneses R. L. (Inactive) Paredes F. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Independiente: Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (Injury) Ruiz J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Estudiantes: Arzamendia S. (Injury) Palacios T. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata were as follows:
    11.08.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Independiente 0:2
    09.09.2023 Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata 1:2
    09.04.2023 Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata 1:2
    Latest results of Independiente
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    2Estudiantes L.P1263314:6821
    3Boca Juniors1255214:7720
    4Union de Santa Fe1254318:12619
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    8Independiente1245318:15317
    9San Lorenzo1245312:12017
    10Platense123636:7-115
    11Instituto1242613:15-214
    12Gimnasia Mendoza123369:15-612
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1223710:23-139
    15Dep. Riestra120753:9-67


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1282220:12826
    2River Plate1272317:9823
    3Argentinos Jrs1265113:7623
    4Rosario Central1263314:10421
    5Belgrano1254312:12019
    6Racing Club1253415:11418
    7Tigre1245316:12417
    8Huracan1245312:9317
    9Barracas Central1244411:11016
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1223713:18-59
    14Aldosivi120663:13-106
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto121293:17-145

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