Independiente vs Huracán Buenos Aires – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1 penalties
24/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium, Max, TNT Sports
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.55
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
79
Passes
80% (289/362)66% (125/189)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.280.99
Total shots
99
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
79
Touches in opposition box
1912
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1821
Passes
80% (289/362)66% (125/189)
Long passes
45% (18/40)32% (13/41)
Passes in final third
72% (76/106)57% (43/75)
Crosses
14% (3/22)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.38
Throw-ins
2616
Fouls
2118
Tackles
82% (14/17)55% (12/22)
Duels won
5460
Clearances
2427
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.991.28
Goals prevented
0.991.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
  • 25', Tarzia D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Marcone I. 🟨,
  • 64', Tarzia D. , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 64', Ramirez E. , Sequeira L. ,
  • 77', Urzi A. , Alanis G. ,
  • 81', Cabral L. , Millan L. ,
  • 81', Marcone I. , Rodrigo Fernandez ,
  • 87', Gimenez M. , Avalos G. ,
  • 87', Vera F. , Galdames P. ,
  • 89', Montiel S. 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 6)
  • 1, Sequeira L. (Pen),
  • 1, Avalos G. (Pen),
  • 2, Guidara T. (Pen),
  • 2, Montiel S. (Pen),
  • 3, Pellegrino M. (Pen),
  • 3, Galdames P. (Pen),
  • 4, Miljevic M. (Pen),
  • 4, Loyola F. (Pen),
  • 5, Gil L. (Pen),
  • 5, Lomonaco K. (Pen),
  • 6, Pereyra F. (Pen),
  • 6, Angulo A. (Pen),
  • 7, Mazzantti W. (Pen),
  • 7, Hidalgo S. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
43.1%
Draw
33.2%
Huracán Buenos Aires
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 31.2% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 29.7% 21.7%

Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.19
(2.04)
2.85
(3)
4.01
(4.1)
5.6%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 35.2%92%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Independiente (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, Independiente is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F. (Muscle Injury) Sporle A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Huracán: Carrizo L. (Knee Injury) Zabala D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.2:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente 1:0
    08.02.2024 Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente 0:0
    14.09.2023 Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires 1:0
    02.07.2023 Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires 1:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield43106:3310
    2Lanus42208:628
    3Estudiantes L.P42204:228
    4Defensa y Justicia42204:228
    5Platense42114:317
    6Boca Juniors42025:416
    7Independiente41304:316
    8San Lorenzo42024:406
    9Gimnasia Mendoza42022:5-36
    10Union de Santa Fe41125:324
    11Talleres Cordoba41125:6-14
    12Central Cordoba41121:2-14
    13Instituto40133:6-31
    14Dep. Riestra40131:4-31
    15Newells Old Boys40134:8-41


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia44007:3412
    2Tigre431010:3710
    3Belgrano42204:228
    4River Plate42114:407
    5Sarmiento Junin42024:406
    6Gimnasia L.P42025:6-16
    7Barracas Central41213:215
    8Rosario Central41214:405
    9Huracan41214:405
    10Argentinos Jrs41212:205
    11Banfield41123:4-14
    12Aldosivi40312:4-23
    13Racing Club41035:8-33
    14Atl. Tucuman40223:5-22
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto40131:5-41

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)