Result
0:1 penalties
24/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium, Max, TNT Sports |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (289/362) | 66% (125/189) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (289/362) | 66% (125/189) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (18/40) | 32% (13/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (76/106) | 57% (43/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
- 25', Tarzia D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Marcone I. 🟨,
- 64', Tarzia D. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
- 64', Ramirez E. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
- 77', Urzi A. ↓, Alanis G. ↑,
- 81', Cabral L. ↓, Millan L. ↑,
- 81', Marcone I. ↓, Rodrigo Fernandez ↑,
- 87', Gimenez M. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
- 87', Vera F. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
- 89', Montiel S. 🟨,
- Penalties (5 - 6)
- 1, Sequeira L. (Pen),
- 1, Avalos G. (Pen),
- 2, Guidara T. (Pen),
- 2, Montiel S. (Pen),
- 3, Pellegrino M. (Pen),
- 3, Galdames P. (Pen),
- 4, Miljevic M. (Pen),
- 4, Loyola F. (Pen),
- 5, Gil L. (Pen),
- 5, Lomonaco K. (Pen),
- 6, Pereyra F. (Pen),
- 6, Angulo A. (Pen),
- 7, Mazzantti W. (Pen),
- 7, Hidalgo S. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Independiente
43.1% | Draw
33.2% | Huracán Buenos Aires
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-2%)
Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(2.04) |
2.85 ↓
(3) |
4.01 ↓
(4.1) |
5.6%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 35.2% – 92%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Independiente (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, Independiente is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F.
(Muscle Injury)
Sporle A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Huracán: Carrizo L.
(Knee Injury)
Zabala D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.2:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Huracán Buenos Aires?
Independiente has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Huracán Buenos Aires won against Independiente?
Huracán Buenos Aires has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires were as follows:
09.11.2024
Huracán Buenos Aires
-
Independiente
1:0
08.02.2024
Huracán Buenos Aires
-
Independiente
0:0
14.09.2023
Independiente
-
Huracán Buenos Aires
1:0
02.07.2023
Independiente
-
Huracán Buenos Aires
1:0
Latest results of Independiente
Latest results of Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Independiente | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Lanus | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Instituto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Tigre | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Banfield | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Huracan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
