Independiente vs Huracán Buenos Aires – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires
Result
0:1 penalties
24/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium, Max, TNT Sports
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.55
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
79
Passes
80% (289/362)66% (125/189)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.280.99
Total shots
99
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
79
Touches in opposition box
1912
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1821
Passes
80% (289/362)66% (125/189)
Long passes
45% (18/40)32% (13/41)
Passes in final third
72% (76/106)57% (43/75)
Crosses
14% (3/22)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.38
Throw-ins
2616
Fouls
2118
Tackles
82% (14/17)55% (12/22)
Duels won
5460
Clearances
2427
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.991.28
Goals prevented
0.991.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
  • 25', Tarzia D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Marcone I. 🟨,
  • 64', Tarzia D. , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 64', Ramirez E. , Sequeira L. ,
  • 77', Urzi A. , Alanis G. ,
  • 81', Cabral L. , Millan L. ,
  • 81', Marcone I. , Rodrigo Fernandez ,
  • 87', Gimenez M. , Avalos G. ,
  • 87', Vera F. , Galdames P. ,
  • 89', Montiel S. 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 6)
  • 1, Sequeira L. (Pen),
  • 1, Avalos G. (Pen),
  • 2, Guidara T. (Pen),
  • 2, Montiel S. (Pen),
  • 3, Pellegrino M. (Pen),
  • 3, Galdames P. (Pen),
  • 4, Miljevic M. (Pen),
  • 4, Loyola F. (Pen),
  • 5, Gil L. (Pen),
  • 5, Lomonaco K. (Pen),
  • 6, Pereyra F. (Pen),
  • 6, Angulo A. (Pen),
  • 7, Mazzantti W. (Pen),
  • 7, Hidalgo S. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
43.1%
Draw
33.2%
Huracán Buenos Aires
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 31.2% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 29.7% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.04)
    2.85
    (3)
    4.01
    (4.1)
    5.6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, Independiente is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F. (Muscle Injury) Sporle A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Huracán: Carrizo L. (Knee Injury) Zabala D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.2:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente 1:0
    08.02.2024 Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente 0:0
    14.09.2023 Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires 1:0
    02.07.2023 Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires 1:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P32013:216
    2Barracas Central32014:406
    3Central Cordoba31203:215
    4Union de Santa Fe31202:115
    5Ind. Rivadavia31114:224
    6Belgrano31113:124
    7Defensa y Justicia31113:214
    8Newells Old Boys31113:304
    9Tigre31113:304
    10Banfield31113:4-14
    11Racing Club31021:2-13
    12Huracan31022:5-33
    13Argentinos Jrs30211:2-12
    14Boca Juniors30211:2-12
    15Aldosivi30210:2-22


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate32107:167
    2Dep. Riestra32014:316
    3Rosario Central31202:115
    4Velez Sarsfield31202:115
    5San Lorenzo31202:115
    6San Martin S.J31114:404
    7Talleres Cordoba31113:304
    8Atl. Tucuman31113:304
    9Gimnasia L.P31111:104
    10Instituto31111:4-34
    11Lanus31022:203
    12Godoy Cruz30301:103
    13Sarmiento Junin30212:4-22
    14Platense30211:3-22
    15Independiente30123:5-21

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)