Result
0:1 penalties
24/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | ESPN Premium, Max, TNT Sports |
Belarus | Okko Sport |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Colombia | ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1 |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | Como TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
South-america | ESPN South |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.77 | 0.55 |
Ball Possession |
---|
65% | 35% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
80% (289/362) | 66% (125/189) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.77 | 0.55 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.28 | 0.99 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 21 |
Passes |
---|
80% (289/362) | 66% (125/189) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (18/40) | 32% (13/41) |
Passes in final third |
---|
72% (76/106) | 57% (43/75) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (3/22) | 26% (5/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.86 | 0.38 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
21 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
82% (14/17) | 55% (12/22) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 60 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.99 | 1.28 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.99 | 1.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
- 25', Tarzia D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Marcone I. 🟨,
- 64', Tarzia D. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
- 64', Ramirez E. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
- 77', Urzi A. ↓, Alanis G. ↑,
- 81', Cabral L. ↓, Millan L. ↑,
- 81', Marcone I. ↓, Rodrigo Fernandez ↑,
- 87', Gimenez M. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
- 87', Vera F. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
- 89', Montiel S. 🟨,
- Penalties (5 - 6)
- 1, Sequeira L. (Pen),
- 1, Avalos G. (Pen),
- 2, Guidara T. (Pen),
- 2, Montiel S. (Pen),
- 3, Pellegrino M. (Pen),
- 3, Galdames P. (Pen),
- 4, Miljevic M. (Pen),
- 4, Loyola F. (Pen),
- 5, Gil L. (Pen),
- 5, Lomonaco K. (Pen),
- 6, Pereyra F. (Pen),
- 6, Angulo A. (Pen),
- 7, Mazzantti W. (Pen),
- 7, Hidalgo S. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Independiente 43.1% | Draw 33.2% | Huracán Buenos Aires 23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-2%)
Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.19 ↑ (2.04) |
2.85 ↓ (3) |
4.01 ↓ (4.1) |
5.6% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- In this match, Independiente is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F.
(Muscle Injury)
Sporle A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Huracán: Carrizo L.
(Knee Injury)
Zabala D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.2:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente won against Huracán Buenos Aires?
Independiente has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Huracán Buenos Aires won against Independiente?
Huracán Buenos Aires has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires were as follows:
09.11.2024
Huracán Buenos Aires
-
Independiente
1:0
08.02.2024
Huracán Buenos Aires
-
Independiente
0:0
14.09.2023
Independiente
-
Huracán Buenos Aires
1:0
02.07.2023
Independiente
-
Huracán Buenos Aires
1:0
Latest results of Independiente
Latest results of Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
2 | Barracas Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Union de Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
6 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
7 | Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Newells Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Huracan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
14 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
15 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
3 | Rosario Central | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
4 | Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
5 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
6 | San Martin S.J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Talleres Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Atl. Tucuman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Gimnasia L.P | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Instituto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
11 | Lanus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Godoy Cruz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Sarmiento Junin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
14 | Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
15 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)