Independiente vs Huracán Buenos Aires – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
0:1 penalties
24/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium, Max, TNT Sports
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.55
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
79
Passes
80% (289/362)66% (125/189)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.280.99
Total shots
99
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
79
Touches in opposition box
1912
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1821
Passes
80% (289/362)66% (125/189)
Long passes
45% (18/40)32% (13/41)
Passes in final third
72% (76/106)57% (43/75)
Crosses
14% (3/22)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.860.38
Throw-ins
2616
Fouls
2118
Tackles
82% (14/17)55% (12/22)
Duels won
5460
Clearances
2427
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.991.28
Goals prevented
0.991.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
  • 25', Tarzia D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Marcone I. 🟨,
  • 64', Tarzia D. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
  • 64', Ramirez E. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
  • 77', Urzi A. ↓, Alanis G. ↑,
  • 81', Cabral L. ↓, Millan L. ↑,
  • 81', Marcone I. ↓, Rodrigo Fernandez ↑,
  • 87', Gimenez M. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
  • 87', Vera F. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
  • 89', Montiel S. 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 6)
  • 1, Sequeira L. (Pen),
  • 1, Avalos G. (Pen),
  • 2, Guidara T. (Pen),
  • 2, Montiel S. (Pen),
  • 3, Pellegrino M. (Pen),
  • 3, Galdames P. (Pen),
  • 4, Miljevic M. (Pen),
  • 4, Loyola F. (Pen),
  • 5, Gil L. (Pen),
  • 5, Lomonaco K. (Pen),
  • 6, Pereyra F. (Pen),
  • 6, Angulo A. (Pen),
  • 7, Mazzantti W. (Pen),
  • 7, Hidalgo S. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Independiente
43.1%		Draw
33.2%		Huracán Buenos Aires
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 31.2% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 29.7% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-2%)
    •

    Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.19 ↑
    (2.04)    		 2.85 ↓
    (3)    		 4.01 ↓
    (4.1)    		 5.6%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 35.2% – 92%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Independiente (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, Independiente is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F. (Muscle Injury) Sporle A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Huracán: Carrizo L. (Knee Injury) Zabala D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.2:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente 1:0
    08.02.2024 Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente 0:0
    14.09.2023 Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires 1:0
    02.07.2023 Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires 1:0
    Latest results of Independiente
    19.05.2025 Boca Juniors - Independiente 0:1 ✺
    15.05.2025 Independiente - Guaraní Asuncion 1:0 ✺
    11.05.2025 Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia 1:0 ✺
    06.05.2025 Boston River - Independiente 1:5 ✺
    03.05.2025 Rosario Central - Independiente 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Huracán Buenos Aires
    18.05.2025 Rosario Central - Huracán Buenos Aires 0:1 ✺
    14.05.2025 América de Cali - Huracán Buenos Aires 0:0 ✺
    11.05.2025 Huracán Buenos Aires - Deportivo Riestra 3:2 ✺
    08.05.2025 Racing Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires 1:3 ✺
    03.05.2025 Huracán Buenos Aires - Barracas Central 0:1 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    2Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    3Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    4Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Independiente1346319:16318
    8Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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