Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
123:99
10/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoDisney+
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9892
Field goals made
4436
Field goals %
44.9%39.13%
2-point field goals attempts
5862
2-point field goals made
2732
2-point field goals %
46.55%51.61%
3-point field goals attempts
4030
3-point field goals made
174
3-point field goals %
42.5%13.33%
Free throws attempts
2229
Free throws made
1823
Free throws %
81.8%79.3%
Offensive rebounds
1211
Defensive rebounds
4240
Total rebounds
5451
Assists
3617
Blocks
45
Turnovers
1819
Steals
136
Personal fouls
2318
Technical fouls
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


Indiana Pacers
31.2%
Miami Heat
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 65.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Indiana Pacers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indiana Pacers than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (3.16)

    1.39
    (1.37)
    4.3%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 235.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
    What is the prediction for Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Indiana will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Miami will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Indiana (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 115:122.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 2.
    • Indiana is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Miami has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Indiana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Miami is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Indiana: Haliburton T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jackson I. (Concussion) Mathurin B. (Injury) Toppin O. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Indiana: Nembhard A. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 2229:2272. (average 111.5:113.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Indiana won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 823:831. (average 102.9:103.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat were as follows:
    27.12.2025 Miami Heat - Indiana Pacers 142:116
    28.02.2025 Miami Heat - Indiana Pacers 125:120
    02.01.2025 Miami Heat - Indiana Pacers 115:128
    17.11.2024 Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat 119:110
    15.11.2024 Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat 111:124
    Latest results of Indiana Pacers
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 6954158173:74320.783
    2San Antonio Spurs6951188213:77090.739
    3Los Angeles Lakers6843257905:78150.632
    4Houston Rockets6741267625:73540.612
    5Denver Nuggets6942278331:80290.609
    6Minnesota Timberwolves6942278171:79350.609
    7Phoenix Suns6939307756:76840.565
    8Los Angeles Clippers6834347715:76620.500
    9Golden State Warriors6833357837:77790.485
    10Portland Trail Blazers6933367939:80900.478
    11Memphis Grizzlies6723447744:79480.343
    12New Orleans Pelicans6923467979:82600.333
    13Dallas Mavericks6923467808:81570.333
    14Utah Jazz6820487974:84930.294
    15Sacramento Kings7018527751:84510.257


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons6849197984:74710.721
    2Boston Celtics6845237774:72810.662
    3New York Knicks7045258199:77420.643
    4Cleveland Cavaliers6942278221:79270.609
    5Toronto Raptors6738297613:74960.567
    6Orlando Magic6838307855:77650.559
    7Miami Heat6938318294:80650.551
    8Atlanta Hawks6837318012:79260.544
    9Philadelphia 76ers6937327954:80120.536
    10Charlotte Hornets6935347991:77440.507
    11Chicago Bulls6828407887:81610.412
    12Milwaukee Bucks6828407565:79020.412
    13Brooklyn Nets6817517247:78600.250
    14Washington Wizards6816527669:84180.235
    15Indiana Pacers6915547672:82900.217

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)