Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
123:99
10/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoDisney+
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9892
Field goals made
4436
Field goals %
44.9%39.13%
2-point field goals attempts
5862
2-point field goals made
2732
2-point field goals %
46.55%51.61%
3-point field goals attempts
4030
3-point field goals made
174
3-point field goals %
42.5%13.33%
Free throws attempts
2229
Free throws made
1823
Free throws %
81.8%79.3%
Offensive rebounds
1211
Defensive rebounds
4240
Total rebounds
5451
Assists
3617
Blocks
45
Turnovers
1819
Steals
136
Personal fouls
2318
Technical fouls
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


Indiana Pacers
31.2%
Miami Heat
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.2% 69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 65.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Indiana Pacers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indiana Pacers than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (3.16)

    1.39
    (1.37)
    4.3%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 235.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
    What is the prediction for Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Indiana will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Miami will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Indiana (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 115:122.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 2.
    • Indiana is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Miami has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Indiana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Miami is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Indiana: Haliburton T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jackson I. (Concussion) Mathurin B. (Injury) Toppin O. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Indiana: Nembhard A. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 2229:2272. (average 111.5:113.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Indiana won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 823:831. (average 102.9:103.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat were as follows:
    27.12.2025 Miami Heat - Indiana Pacers 142:116
    28.02.2025 Miami Heat - Indiana Pacers 125:120
    02.01.2025 Miami Heat - Indiana Pacers 115:128
    17.11.2024 Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat 119:110
    15.11.2024 Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat 111:124
    Latest results of Indiana Pacers
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder6045157161:64800.750
    2San Antonio Spurs5842166863:64830.724
    3Houston Rockets5736216540:62210.632
    4Denver Nuggets5836227008:67450.621
    5Minnesota Timberwolves5936237056:67930.610
    6Los Angeles Lakers5734236588:66090.596
    7Phoenix Suns5933266614:65710.559
    8Golden State Warriors5931286834:67160.525
    9Portland Trail Blazers5928316830:69820.475
    10Los Angeles Clippers5727306389:64160.474
    11Memphis Grizzlies5721366578:67320.368
    12Dallas Mavericks5721366521:67060.368
    13Utah Jazz5818406842:73000.310
    14New Orleans Pelicans5917426774:71020.288
    15Sacramento Kings6013476604:72670.217


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons5743146693:62430.754
    2Boston Celtics5738196553:61310.667
    3New York Knicks5937226909:65920.627
    4Cleveland Cavaliers6037237167:69050.617
    5Toronto Raptors5934256704:65950.576
    6Philadelphia 76ers5832266761:67240.552
    7Orlando Magic5731266560:65330.544
    8Miami Heat5931287078:69070.525
    9Atlanta Hawks6029317017:70800.483
    10Charlotte Hornets5928316837:66930.475
    11Milwaukee Bucks5726316404:65780.456
    12Chicago Bulls5924356832:71060.407
    13Washington Wizards5716416397:69970.281
    14Brooklyn Nets5715426094:65460.263
    15Indiana Pacers5915446580:70350.254

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