Result
1:3
30/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Dopka G. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (190/286) | 63% (186/295) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (190/286) | 63% (186/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (35/93) | 33% (24/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (66/124) | 41% (48/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 50% (7/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 73 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.52 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Williams R. ⚽, Quinn A. (A),
- 42', Goodrum P. ↓, Ownby B. ↑,
- 45', 1 - 1, McFadden A. ⚽, Wilson J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Dayes B. ↓, Dia A. ↑,
- 46', Ordonez A. ↓, Totsch S. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 2, Lambert K. ⚽, McCabe N. (A),
- 54', O'Brien J. ↓, Amoh E. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 3, Totsch S. ⚽, Jones J. (A),
- 65', Lambert K. 🟨,
- 75', Foster M. 🟨,
- 76', Murphy J. ↓, Collier E. ↑,
- 76', Williams R. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
- 85', Foster M. ↓, Bryneus O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Indy Eleven
30.6% | Draw
25.5% | Louisville City
43.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Indy Eleven - Louisville City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↓
(3.38) |
3.73 ↑
(3.49) |
2.17 ↑
(2.01) |
5%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 1.
- Indy is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Louisville City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Louisville City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Louisville City has had a series of home games.
- Louisville City could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indy won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.9:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Louisville City?
Indy Eleven has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Indy Eleven?
Louisville City has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Louisville City were as follows:
05.10.2024
Indy Eleven
-
Louisville City
2:2
06.04.2024
Louisville City
-
Indy Eleven
5:3
29.07.2023
Louisville City
-
Indy Eleven
2:0
27.05.2023
Indy Eleven
-
Louisville City
0:1
31.08.2022
Indy Eleven
-
Louisville City
2:1
Latest results of Indy Eleven
Latest results of Louisville City
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 48:18 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 50:27 | 23 | 51 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 39:40 | -1 | 37 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 35:32 | 3 | 36 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Detroit | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 31 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 27:37 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 38 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 33 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
| 5 | El Paso | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Lexington | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 32 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 29 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18:39 | -21 | 25 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24:36 | -12 | 24 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
