Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Berna Rico S. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (173/287) | 69% (225/328) |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (173/287) | 69% (225/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (18/74) | 42% (42/99) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (48/99) | 57% (69/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 24% (9/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 54 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.25 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Dia A. ⚽, Lambert K. (A),
- 41', Cruz D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', 2 - 0, Davila T. ⚽,
- 63', Zalinsky J. ↓, White H. ↑,
- 63', Murphy J. ↓, Amoh E. ↑,
- 69', Gleadle S. ↓, Goodrum P. ↑,
- 69', Perez A. ↓, Ownby B. ↑,
- 72', Las D. 🟥,
- 74', Goodrum P. ↓, Faundez D. ↑,
- 78', Rendon B. ↓, Soumaoro B. ↑,
- 78', Ofeimu B. ↓, Bryneus O. ↑,
- 82', Serrano R. ↓, McCabe N. ↑,
- 82', Davila T. ↓, Dayes B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Louisville City
65.3% | Draw
19.9% | Indy Eleven
14.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Louisville City - Indy Eleven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.42) |
4.62 ↓
(4.82) |
6.23 ↑
(6.14) |
8.6%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 4.
- Louisville City is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Indy has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Louisville City has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Louisville City is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Louisville City will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:21. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:12. (average 2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Indy Eleven?
Louisville City has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Louisville City?
Indy Eleven has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - Indy Eleven were as follows:
30.08.2025
Indy Eleven
-
Louisville City
1:3
05.10.2024
Indy Eleven
-
Louisville City
2:2
06.04.2024
Louisville City
-
Indy Eleven
5:3
29.07.2023
Louisville City
-
Indy Eleven
2:0
27.05.2023
Indy Eleven
-
Louisville City
0:1
Latest results of Louisville City
Latest results of Indy Eleven
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
