Indy Eleven vs Louisville City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Indy Eleven - Louisville City
30/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Indy Eleven
27.3%
Draw
26.6%
Louisville City
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.4% 26.5% 46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 25.6% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • The chances for Louisville City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Indy Eleven - Louisville City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (3.38)
    3.49
    (3.49)
    2.01
    (2.01)
    8%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 1.
    • Indy has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Louisville City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Indy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Louisville City has had a series of home games.
    • Louisville City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indy won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.9:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Louisville City were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Indy Eleven - Louisville City 2:2
    06.04.2024 Louisville City - Indy Eleven 5:3
    29.07.2023 Louisville City - Indy Eleven 2:0
    27.05.2023 Indy Eleven - Louisville City 0:1
    31.08.2022 Indy Eleven - Louisville City 2:1
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    Latest results of Louisville City
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City21146142:172548
    2Charleston20142441:212044
    3North Carolina20103731:27433
    4Loudoun2094731:29231
    5Pittsburgh2177720:19128
    6Detroit2177724:24028
    7Hartford Athletic2075829:23626
    8Indy Eleven2065932:37-523
    9Rhode Island21561015:23-821
    10Miami FC21551121:34-1320
    11Birmingham2148924:33-920
    12Tampa Bay20531222:31-918


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa21126337:231442
    2Sacramento Republic2087529:171231
    3El Paso2087533:27631
    4San Antonio2085725:26-129
    5Phoenix Rising2177735:37-228
    6Lexington2177723:27-428
    7Orange County SC1983828:25327
    8New Mexico1983826:28-227
    9Colorado Springs2066825:29-424
    10Monterey Bay22661023:29-624
    11Oakland Roots20631124:32-821
    12Las Vegas Lights21551117:39-2220

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