Erzgebirge Aue vs Ingolstadt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 36
  • Referee: Weller F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
410
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
716
Shots on target
410
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
47
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1115
Throw-ins
2723
Fouls
158
Goalkeeper Saves
103

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Frode L. 🟨,
  • 33', Nkansah S. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Loune A. , Barylla A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 69', Kanuric B. , Kopacz D. ,
  • 69', Costly M. , Duhring M. N. ,
  • 69', Testroet P. , Malone R. ,
  • 71', Sijaric O. , Seitz S. ,
  • 71', Nkansah S. , Hoffmann T. ,
  • 71', Loune A. , Fallmann P. ,
  • 79', Christensen G. , Deichmann Y. ,
  • 79', Zeitler D. , Heike T. ,
  • 83', Hoffmann T. 🟨,
  • 86', Tashchy B. , Seidel P. ,
  • 88', Boevink P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Stefaniak M. , Vukancic N. ,
  • 90+2', Keidel F. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Seitz S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
36.9%
Draw
26.6%
Ingolstadt
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 26.1% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 26.2% 39.2%

Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.51
(2.69)
3.52
(3.57)
2.55
(2.37)
7.5%
(7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Erzgebirge Aue will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2.
    • Aue has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ingolstadt is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Aue may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Aue won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue 1:0
    19.12.2023 Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue 1:1
    06.08.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt 1:0
    20.05.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt 0:3
    16.01.2023 Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue 1:2
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Ingolstadt
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Duisburg1695230:191132
    2Cottbus16102436:261032
    3VfL Osnabruck1585219:11829
    4RW Essen1685332:27529
    5Verl1576236:231327
    6Mannheim1681728:25325
    7Hoffenheim II1673634:241024
    8Hansa Rostock1566324:16824
    9Munich 18601673624:25-124
    10Viktoria Koln1672725:24123
    11Wehen1664620:19122
    12Stuttgart II1564521:22-122
    13Ingolstadt1655627:24320
    14Regensburg1562723:23020
    15Saarbrucken1655625:26-120
    16Alemannia Aachen1661925:28-319
    17Aue1645717:26-917
    18Ulm16411120:36-1613
    19TSV Havelse1515918:33-158
    20Schweinfurt16201413:40-276

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