Erzgebirge Aue vs Ingolstadt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 36
  • Referee: Weller F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
410
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
716
Shots on target
410
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
47
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1115
Throw-ins
2723
Fouls
158
Goalkeeper Saves
103

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Frode L. 🟨,
  • 33', Nkansah S. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Loune A. , Barylla A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 69', Kanuric B. , Kopacz D. ,
  • 69', Costly M. , Duhring M. N. ,
  • 69', Testroet P. , Malone R. ,
  • 71', Sijaric O. , Seitz S. ,
  • 71', Nkansah S. , Hoffmann T. ,
  • 71', Loune A. , Fallmann P. ,
  • 79', Christensen G. , Deichmann Y. ,
  • 79', Zeitler D. , Heike T. ,
  • 83', Hoffmann T. 🟨,
  • 86', Tashchy B. , Seidel P. ,
  • 88', Boevink P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Stefaniak M. , Vukancic N. ,
  • 90+2', Keidel F. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Seitz S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
36.9%
Draw
26.6%
Ingolstadt
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 26.1% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 26.2% 39.2%

Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.51
(2.69)
3.52
(3.57)
2.55
(2.37)
7.5%
(7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Erzgebirge Aue will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2.
    • Aue has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ingolstadt is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Aue may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Aue won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue 1:0
    19.12.2023 Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue 1:1
    06.08.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt 1:0
    20.05.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt 0:3
    16.01.2023 Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue 1:2
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Ingolstadt
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Duisburg1485126:141229
    2Cottbus1482430:22826
    3VfL Osnabruck1475218:11726
    4RW Essen1475227:22526
    5Verl1466231:22924
    6Hoffenheim II1463528:20821
    7Hansa Rostock1456322:16621
    8Stuttgart II1363420:19121
    9Viktoria Koln1362521:16520
    10Saarbrucken1455423:21220
    11Mannheim1461724:23119
    12Wehen1354417:16119
    13Munich 18601353521:21018
    14Ingolstadt1445524:21317
    15Alemannia Aachen1351721:22-116
    16Aue1444616:23-716
    17Regensburg1342717:23-614
    18Ulm1441919:33-1413
    19Schweinfurt14201211:35-246
    20TSV Havelse1405916:32-165

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