Erzgebirge Aue vs Ingolstadt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt
Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 36
  • Referee: Weller F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
716
Shots on target
410
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
716
Shots on target
410
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
47
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1115
Throw-ins
2723
Fouls
158
Goalkeeper Saves
103

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Frode L. 🟨,
  • 33', Nkansah S. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Loune A. , Barylla A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 69', Kanuric B. , Kopacz D. ,
  • 69', Costly M. , Duhring M. N. ,
  • 69', Testroet P. , Malone R. ,
  • 71', Sijaric O. , Seitz S. ,
  • 71', Nkansah S. , Hoffmann T. ,
  • 71', Loune A. , Fallmann P. ,
  • 79', Christensen G. , Deichmann Y. ,
  • 79', Zeitler D. , Heike T. ,
  • 83', Hoffmann T. 🟨,
  • 86', Tashchy B. , Seidel P. ,
  • 88', Boevink P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Stefaniak M. , Vukancic N. ,
  • 90+2', Keidel F. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Seitz S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
36.9%
Draw
26.6%
Ingolstadt
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 26.1% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7% 26.2% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.69)
    3.52
    (3.57)
    2.55
    (2.37)
    7.5%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Erzgebirge Aue will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2.
    • Aue has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ingolstadt is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Aue may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Aue won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue 1:0
    19.12.2023 Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue 1:1
    06.08.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt 1:0
    20.05.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt 0:3
    16.01.2023 Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue 1:2
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Ingolstadt
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Duisburg761018:61219
    2Saarbrucken751117:10716
    3Cottbus842218:11714
    4Hoffenheim II741217:10713
    5RW Essen733115:10512
    6VfL Osnabruck73319:5412
    7Verl733115:12312
    8Viktoria Koln740310:7312
    9Wehen732212:10211
    10Munich 1860732212:12011
    11Stuttgart II83239:14-511
    12Ulm730410:12-29
    13Hansa Rostock72324:6-29
    14Ingolstadt714212:1027
    15Mannheim72148:11-37
    16Alemannia Aachen721410:15-57
    17Regensburg71156:13-74
    18Aue71155:14-94
    19TSV Havelse70347:15-83
    20Schweinfurt71064:15-113

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