Result
2:2
07/12/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 17
- Referee: Schreiner S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Bornschein R. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Carlsen F. ⚽,
- 33', Kugel J. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 1, Stefaniak M. ⚽,
- 60', Stefaniak M. ↓, Schmid M. ↑,
- 60', Seiffert M. ↓, Collins J. ↑,
- 60', Barylla A. ↓, Uhlmann E. ↑,
- 61', Decker E. ↓, Frode L. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Fabisch J. ⚽, Uhlmann E. (A),
- 80', Bornschein R. ↓, Ehlers J. ↑,
- 80', Clausen M. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
- 84', Besuschkow M. ↓, Drakulic O. ↑,
- 84', Hoppe M. ↓, Sturm Y. ↑,
- 87', Collins J. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Scholz J. ⚽,
- 90+2', Carlsen F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Costly M. ↓, Maljojoki J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue
35.5% | Draw
25.6% | Ingolstadt
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↑
(2.51) |
3.6 ↓
(3.67) |
2.37 ↓
(2.46) |
8.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Ingolstadt will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ingolstadt: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ingolstadt (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Ingolstadt (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ingolstadt (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Aue may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aue won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Ingolstadt?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ingolstadt won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Ingolstadt has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt were as follows:
04.05.2025
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Ingolstadt
1:0
07.12.2024
Ingolstadt
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:0
19.12.2023
Ingolstadt
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:1
06.08.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Ingolstadt
1:0
20.05.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Ingolstadt
0:3
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
Latest results of Ingolstadt
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 23 | 58 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 54:43 | 11 | 53 |
| 3 | RW Essen | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 59:48 | 11 | 52 |
| 4 | Verl | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 67:41 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Duisburg | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 52:40 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 52:32 | 20 | 50 |
| 7 | Munich 1860 | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:37 | 8 | 49 |
| 8 | Wehen | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42:32 | 10 | 48 |
| 9 | Mannheim | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 47:53 | -6 | 42 |
| 10 | Alemannia Aachen | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 51:50 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Ingolstadt | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 49:39 | 10 | 40 |
| 12 | Viktoria Koln | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 40:39 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 |
| 14 | Regensburg | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim II | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 53:53 | 0 | 35 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 40:43 | -3 | 33 |
| 17 | Aue | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 33:52 | -19 | 24 |
| 18 | Ulm | 29 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 38:61 | -23 | 24 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 41:64 | -23 | 23 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 29 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 26:68 | -42 | 14 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
