Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 36
- Referee: Weller F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Frode L. 🟨,
- 33', Nkansah S. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Loune A. ⚽, Barylla A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 69', Kanuric B. ↓, Kopacz D. ↑,
- 69', Costly M. ↓, Duhring M. N. ↑,
- 69', Testroet P. ↓, Malone R. ↑,
- 71', Sijaric O. ↓, Seitz S. ↑,
- 71', Nkansah S. ↓, Hoffmann T. ↑,
- 71', Loune A. ↓, Fallmann P. ↑,
- 79', Christensen G. ↓, Deichmann Y. ↑,
- 79', Zeitler D. ↓, Heike T. ↑,
- 83', Hoffmann T. 🟨,
- 86', Tashchy B. ↓, Seidel P. ↑,
- 88', Boevink P. 🟨,
- 90+1', Stefaniak M. ↓, Vukancic N. ↑,
- 90+2', Keidel F. 🟨,
- 90+2', Seitz S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue
36.9% | Draw
26.6% | Ingolstadt
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↓
(2.69) |
3.52 ↓
(3.57) |
2.55 ↑
(2.37) |
7.5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Aue (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Erzgebirge Aue will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2.
- Aue has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ingolstadt is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Aue may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Aue won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Ingolstadt?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ingolstadt won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Ingolstadt has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt were as follows:
07.12.2024
Ingolstadt
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:0
19.12.2023
Ingolstadt
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:1
06.08.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Ingolstadt
1:0
20.05.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Ingolstadt
0:3
16.01.2023
Ingolstadt
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:2
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
Latest results of Ingolstadt
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Duisburg | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 22:9 | 13 | 24 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Saarbrucken | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21:16 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | VfL Osnabruck | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Verl | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23:19 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | RW Essen | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Stuttgart II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Hoffenheim II | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 17 |
| 9 | Viktoria Koln | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:11 | 5 | 17 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Wehen | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Ingolstadt | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:15 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Hansa Rostock | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Ulm | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Munich 1860 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Aue | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 | Alemannia Aachen | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 | Regensburg | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 11:23 | -12 | 4 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7:30 | -23 | 3 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
