Instituto Córdoba vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín
Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldDisney+, TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.45
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
133
Passes
81% (362/446)59% (116/196)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.830.33
Total shots
157
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
133
Touches in opposition box
3711
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
218
Passes
81% (362/446)59% (116/196)
Long passes
57% (32/56)35% (20/57)
Passes in final third
69% (120/175)33% (18/55)
Crosses
21% (8/39)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.430.13
Throw-ins
2823
Fouls
821
Tackles
76% (13/17)81% (17/21)
Duels won
6047
Clearances
1137
Interceptions
311
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.331.83
Goals prevented
-0.670.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Vallejos J. 🟨,
  • 24', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
  • 41', Vallejos J. , Vigo A. ,
  • 44', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Suhr L. , Morales I. ,
  • 54', 0 - 1, Gimenez E. , Vigo A. (A),
  • 61', Gimenez E. 🟨,
  • 63', Klimowicz L. , Dellarossa J. ,
  • 63', Godoy M. , Puebla D. ,
  • 64', Gimenez E. , Garcia M. ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Lodico G. A. , Dellarossa J. (A),
  • 70', Franco J. 🟨,
  • 74', Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 78', Alarcon F. R. 🟨,
  • 78', Frias F. , Molina A. ,
  • 78', Diaz G. , Burgoa V. ,
  • 82', Lazaro J. , Gallardo M. ,
  • 87', Lodico G. A. , Romero S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Instituto Córdoba
49.5%
Draw
29.5%
Sarmiento de Junín
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 29.8% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 30.1% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Instituto Córdoba's performance.
  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Instituto Córdoba that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Junín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.13)
    3.2
    (3.17)
    4.5
    (3.65)
    5.8%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Instituto will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Instituto: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Instituto (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Instituto won 1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match Instituto is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Instituto: Acevedo J. (Hamstring Injury) Batallini D. (Inactive) Cordero N. (Ankle Injury) Mac Allister F. (Yellow Cards) Suarez F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Inactive) Monaco M. (Inactive) Vigo A. (Inactive)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Instituto won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:17 (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Instituto won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    10.05.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba 1:2
    29.01.2023 Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1045115:8717
    2Defensa y Justicia1043311:9215
    3Barracas Central943211:9215
    4Tigre104339:7215
    5Estudiantes L.P950410:10015
    6Boca Juniors1035213:8514
    7Argentinos Jrs1042412:8414
    8Central Cordoba1035212:9314
    9Banfield104249:13-414
    10Belgrano93339:7212
    11Huracan93335:8-312
    12Racing Club931510:12-210
    13Ind. Rivadavia923410:12-29
    14Newells Old Boys92348:11-39
    15Aldosivi100371:14-133


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra961212:5719
    2River Plate953116:7918
    3Velez Sarsfield953111:4718
    4San Lorenzo104428:6216
    5Lanus95139:8116
    6Rosario Central93609:4515
    7Atl. Tucuman933310:8212
    8Sarmiento Junin93338:10-212
    9Platense924310:13-310
    10San Martin S.J102448:11-310
    11Talleres Cordoba102445:9-410
    12Gimnasia L.P103166:12-610
    13Instituto92435:11-610
    14Godoy Cruz101548:13-58
    15Independiente80445:9-44

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)