Sarmiento de Junín vs Instituto Córdoba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 17:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Penel A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.98
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
69% (174/252)79% (314/399)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.340.63
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1924
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1318
Passes
69% (174/252)79% (314/399)
Long passes
34% (21/61)50% (26/52)
Passes in final third
61% (63/104)63% (87/138)
Crosses
33% (4/12)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.63
Throw-ins
1524
Fouls
1813
Tackles
77% (10/13)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3948
Clearances
2822
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.631.34
Goals prevented
-0.37-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Insaurralde J. , Contrera J. (A),
  • 6', 2 - 0, Garcia M. , Frias F. (A),
  • 32', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Romero J. , Fonseca M. ,
  • 46', Mendez J. , Moreyra S. ,
  • 51', Contrera J. 🟨,
  • 53', Moreyra S. 🟨,
  • 54', Frias F. , Pratto L. ,
  • 61', Luna A. , Lazaro J. ,
  • 61', Lodico G. A. , Gallardo M. ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Moreyra S. ,
  • 70', Morales I. , Seyral A. ,
  • 70', Gomez J. , Villalba C. ,
  • 70', Gomez J. 🟨,
  • 79', Vigo A. , Arismendi Y. ,
  • 81', Pereyra E. , Acevedo J. ,
  • 89', Seyral A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
32.7%
Draw
34.8%
Instituto Córdoba
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 34.6% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 35.4% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Sarmiento de Junín have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.9
    (2.89)
    2.73
    (2.73)
    2.89
    (2.89)
    5.7%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Sarmiento (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2.
    • Recent form of Sarmiento has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Instituto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Instituto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Instituto: Puebla D. (Ankle Injury) Suarez F. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Villalba C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín 1:1
    10.05.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba 1:2
    29.01.2023 Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P74307:2515
    2Velez Sarsfield74308:4415
    3Platense73315:3212
    4San Lorenzo73227:5211
    5Defensa y Justicia72506:4211
    6Independiente72419:7210
    7Talleres Cordoba73138:9-110
    8Union de Santa Fe62226:338
    9Boca Juniors62225:418
    10Lanus52218:808
    11Instituto72238:808
    12Central Cordoba72233:4-18
    13Gimnasia Mendoza72144:9-57
    14Dep. Riestra70432:5-34
    15Newells Old Boys70255:14-92


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgrano74309:4515
    2Ind. Rivadavia650110:6415
    3Tigre742112:5714
    4Rosario Central73228:6211
    5Gimnasia L.P73137:8-110
    6Huracan62315:419
    7Argentinos Jrs52213:218
    8Barracas Central72235:6-18
    9Banfield62136:607
    10Racing Club62137:8-17
    11River Plate62134:6-27
    12Sarmiento Junin62044:6-26
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Aldosivi60332:6-43
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto60151:11-101

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)