Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (362/446) | 59% (116/196) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (362/446) | 59% (116/196) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (32/56) | 35% (20/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (120/175) | 33% (18/55) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (8/39) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 81% (17/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Vallejos J. 🟨,
- 24', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
- 41', Vallejos J. ↓, Vigo A. ↑,
- 44', Villalba C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Suhr L. ↓, Morales I. ↑,
- 54', 0 - 1, Gimenez E. ⚽, Vigo A. (A),
- 61', Gimenez E. 🟨,
- 63', Klimowicz L. ↓, Dellarossa J. ↑,
- 63', Godoy M. ↓, Puebla D. ↑,
- 64', Gimenez E. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Lodico G. A. ⚽, Dellarossa J. (A),
- 70', Franco J. 🟨,
- 74', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 78', Alarcon F. R. 🟨,
- 78', Frias F. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
- 78', Diaz G. ↓, Burgoa V. ↑,
- 82', Lazaro J. ↓, Gallardo M. ↑,
- 87', Lodico G. A. ↓, Romero S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Instituto Córdoba
49.5% | Draw
29.5% | Sarmiento de Junín
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Instituto Córdoba's performance.Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Instituto Córdoba that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Junín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.13) |
3.2 ↑
(3.17) |
4.5 ↑
(3.65) |
5.8%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Instituto will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Instituto: 42.8% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Instituto (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Instituto won 1.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- In this match Instituto is a favorite.
- There will not play in Instituto: Acevedo J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Batallini D.
(Inactive)
Cordero N.
(Ankle Injury)
Mac Allister F.
(Yellow Cards)
Suarez F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P.
(Inactive)
Monaco M.
(Inactive)
Vigo A.
(Inactive)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Instituto won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:17 (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Instituto won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Instituto Córdoba won against Sarmiento de Junín?
Instituto Córdoba has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de Junín won against Instituto Córdoba?
Sarmiento de Junín has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
10.05.2024
Sarmiento de Junín
-
Instituto Córdoba
1:2
29.01.2023
Instituto Córdoba
-
Sarmiento de Junín
0:0
Latest results of Instituto Córdoba
Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Central Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Estudiantes L.P | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Huracan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Banfield | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Argentinos Jrs | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Ind. Rivadavia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Tigre | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Belgrano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Newells Old Boys | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1:8 | -7 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Lanus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Godoy Cruz | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Platense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Instituto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Independiente | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
