Sarmiento de Junín vs Instituto Córdoba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 17:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Penel A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.98
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
69% (174/252)79% (314/399)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.340.63
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1924
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1318
Passes
69% (174/252)79% (314/399)
Long passes
34% (21/61)50% (26/52)
Passes in final third
61% (63/104)63% (87/138)
Crosses
33% (4/12)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.63
Throw-ins
1524
Fouls
1813
Tackles
77% (10/13)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3948
Clearances
2822
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.631.34
Goals prevented
-0.37-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Insaurralde J. , Contrera J. (A),
  • 6', 2 - 0, Garcia M. , Frias F. (A),
  • 32', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Romero J. , Fonseca M. ,
  • 46', Mendez J. , Moreyra S. ,
  • 51', Contrera J. 🟨,
  • 53', Moreyra S. 🟨,
  • 54', Frias F. , Pratto L. ,
  • 61', Luna A. , Lazaro J. ,
  • 61', Lodico G. A. , Gallardo M. ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Moreyra S. ,
  • 70', Morales I. , Seyral A. ,
  • 70', Gomez J. , Villalba C. ,
  • 70', Gomez J. 🟨,
  • 79', Vigo A. , Arismendi Y. ,
  • 81', Pereyra E. , Acevedo J. ,
  • 89', Seyral A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
32.7%
Draw
34.8%
Instituto Córdoba
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 34.6% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 35.4% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Sarmiento de Junín have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.9
    (2.89)
    2.73
    (2.73)
    2.89
    (2.89)
    5.7%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Sarmiento (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2.
    • Recent form of Sarmiento has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Instituto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Instituto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Instituto: Puebla D. (Ankle Injury) Suarez F. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Villalba C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín 1:1
    10.05.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba 1:2
    29.01.2023 Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    2Estudiantes L.P1263314:6821
    3Boca Juniors1255214:7720
    4Union de Santa Fe1254318:12619
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    8Independiente1245318:15317
    9San Lorenzo1245312:12017
    10Platense123636:7-115
    11Instituto1242613:15-214
    12Gimnasia Mendoza123369:15-612
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1223710:23-139
    15Dep. Riestra120753:9-67


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1282220:12826
    2River Plate1272317:9823
    3Argentinos Jrs1265113:7623
    4Rosario Central1263314:10421
    5Belgrano1254312:12019
    6Racing Club1253415:11418
    7Tigre1245316:12417
    8Huracan1245312:9317
    9Barracas Central1244411:11016
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1223713:18-59
    14Aldosivi120663:13-106
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto121293:17-145

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)