Instituto Córdoba vs Sarmiento de Junín – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín
Result
1:1
27/04/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldDisney+, TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.45
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
133
Passes
81% (362/446)59% (116/196)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.830.33
Total shots
157
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
133
Touches in opposition box
3711
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
218
Passes
81% (362/446)59% (116/196)
Long passes
57% (32/56)35% (20/57)
Passes in final third
69% (120/175)33% (18/55)
Crosses
21% (8/39)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.430.13
Throw-ins
2823
Fouls
821
Tackles
76% (13/17)81% (17/21)
Duels won
6047
Clearances
1137
Interceptions
311
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.331.83
Goals prevented
-0.670.83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Vallejos J. 🟨,
  • 24', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
  • 41', Vallejos J. , Vigo A. ,
  • 44', Villalba C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Suhr L. , Morales I. ,
  • 54', 0 - 1, Gimenez E. , Vigo A. (A),
  • 61', Gimenez E. 🟨,
  • 63', Klimowicz L. , Dellarossa J. ,
  • 63', Godoy M. , Puebla D. ,
  • 64', Gimenez E. , Garcia M. ,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Lodico G. A. , Dellarossa J. (A),
  • 70', Franco J. 🟨,
  • 74', Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 78', Alarcon F. R. 🟨,
  • 78', Frias F. , Molina A. ,
  • 78', Diaz G. , Burgoa V. ,
  • 82', Lazaro J. , Gallardo M. ,
  • 87', Lodico G. A. , Romero S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Instituto Córdoba
49.5%
Draw
29.5%
Sarmiento de Junín
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 29.8% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 30.1% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Instituto Córdoba's performance.
  • Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Instituto Córdoba that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Junín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.13)
    3.2
    (3.17)
    4.5
    (3.65)
    5.8%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Instituto will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Instituto: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Instituto (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Instituto won 1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match Instituto is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Instituto: Acevedo J. (Hamstring Injury) Batallini D. (Inactive) Cordero N. (Ankle Injury) Mac Allister F. (Yellow Cards) Suarez F. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Inactive) Monaco M. (Inactive) Vigo A. (Inactive)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Instituto won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:17 (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Instituto won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín were as follows:
    10.05.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba 1:2
    29.01.2023 Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barracas Central43017:529
    2Estudiantes L.P43015:329
    3Huracan53024:5-19
    4Union de Santa Fe52216:248
    5Belgrano52215:238
    6Defensa y Justicia42114:227
    7Tigre52125:507
    8Central Cordoba41304:316
    9Newells Old Boys41214:405
    10Argentinos Jrs51222:3-15
    11Ind. Rivadavia41125:414
    12Banfield41124:6-24
    13Racing Club51133:5-24
    14Boca Juniors40312:3-13
    15Aldosivi50321:5-43


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate42207:168
    2San Lorenzo52214:318
    3Rosario Central51403:217
    4Gimnasia L.P42113:217
    5Dep. Riestra52125:507
    6Lanus42023:216
    7Platense51314:5-16
    8Atl. Tucuman41213:305
    9Velez Sarsfield41212:205
    10Sarmiento Junin41213:4-15
    11Instituto51222:9-75
    12San Martin S.J41124:5-14
    13Talleres Cordoba41123:4-14
    14Godoy Cruz40312:3-13
    15Independiente40223:5-22

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)