Sarmiento de Junín vs Instituto Córdoba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 17:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Penel A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.98
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
69% (174/252)79% (314/399)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.340.63
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1924
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1318
Passes
69% (174/252)79% (314/399)
Long passes
34% (21/61)50% (26/52)
Passes in final third
61% (63/104)63% (87/138)
Crosses
33% (4/12)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.63
Throw-ins
1524
Fouls
1813
Tackles
77% (10/13)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3948
Clearances
2822
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.631.34
Goals prevented
-0.37-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Insaurralde J. , Contrera J. (A),
  • 6', 2 - 0, Garcia M. , Frias F. (A),
  • 32', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Romero J. , Fonseca M. ,
  • 46', Mendez J. , Moreyra S. ,
  • 51', Contrera J. 🟨,
  • 53', Moreyra S. 🟨,
  • 54', Frias F. , Pratto L. ,
  • 61', Luna A. , Lazaro J. ,
  • 61', Lodico G. A. , Gallardo M. ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Moreyra S. ,
  • 70', Morales I. , Seyral A. ,
  • 70', Gomez J. , Villalba C. ,
  • 70', Gomez J. 🟨,
  • 79', Vigo A. , Arismendi Y. ,
  • 81', Pereyra E. , Acevedo J. ,
  • 89', Seyral A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de Junín
32.7%
Draw
34.8%
Instituto Córdoba
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 34.6% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 35.4% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Sarmiento de Junín have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.9
    (2.89)
    2.73
    (2.73)
    2.89
    (2.89)
    5.7%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Sarmiento (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2.
    • Recent form of Sarmiento has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Instituto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Instituto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Sarmiento: Magnin P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Instituto: Puebla D. (Ankle Injury) Suarez F. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sarmiento: Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Villalba C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín 1:1
    10.05.2024 Sarmiento de Junín - Instituto Córdoba 1:2
    29.01.2023 Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0
    Latest results of Sarmiento de Junín
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1555523:19420
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)