Result
3:2
21/02/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (308/353) | 83% (291/350) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (308/353) | 83% (291/350) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (32/55) | 46% (19/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (56/77) | 69% (74/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 50% (9/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 94% (15/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.94 | -1.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Castro L. 🟨,
- 19', Vivas C. 🟨,
- 42', Quinones D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 52', Urena R. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 0, Moncada D. ⚽, Quinones D. (A),
- 59', 1 - 1, Castro L. ⚽,
- 61', Hurtado J. 🟨,
- 62', Sanguinetti F. 🟨,
- 63', Hurtado J. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
- 64', Llinas A. 🟨,
- 66', 2 - 1, Parra Atehortua K. ⚽, Sanguinetti F. (A),
- 70', Bone F. ↓, Mayo S. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 2, Castro L. ⚽, Sarabia C. (A),
- 76', Moncada D. ↓, Caballero J. ↑,
- 76', Sarabia C. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 76', Valencia S. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 2, Parra Atehortua K. ⚽, Mayo S. (A),
- 83', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Rodas M. ↑,
- 86', Garcia M. ↓, Samuel M. ↑,
- 86', Silva D. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
- 90', Farinez W. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4mk9zav8
Chances of winning
Inter Bogotá
32.8% | Draw
32.2% | Millonarios
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Bogotá than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+4%)
Inter Bogotá - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↓
(3.26) |
2.89 ↑
(2.88) |
2.69 ↑
(2.4) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Inter Bogotá - Millonarios?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Inter Bogotá will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Millonarios will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Millonarios (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Inter Bogotá is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Millonarios has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Inter Bogotá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Bogotá won against Millonarios?
Inter Bogotá has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Inter Bogotá?
Millonarios has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Bogotá - Millonarios were as follows:
Latest results of Inter Bogotá
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
