Inter Miami vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Inter Miami - Cincinnati
Result
0:0
26/07/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Penso T. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 5
chinaChinaZhiBo8
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.19
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
89% (484/544)85% (373/439)
Yellow Cards
40
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.330.40
Total shots
138
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
414
Passes
89% (484/544)85% (373/439)
Long passes
63% (32/51)47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
81% (136/167)73% (61/84)
Crosses
15% (3/20)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.231.13
Throw-ins
924
Fouls
144
Tackles
74% (20/27)44% (4/9)
Duels won
5144
Clearances
1028
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.400.33
Goals prevented
0.400.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Cremaschi B. 🟨,
  • 36', Aviles T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Valenzuela G. , Hadebe T. ,
  • 59', Kamara K. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 60', Redondo Solari F. 🟨,
  • 71', Yedlin D. , Powell A. ,
  • 72', Lujan G. , Allen N. ,
  • 73', Redondo Solari F. , Bright Y. ,
  • 88', Engel L. , Baird C. ,
  • 88', Orellano L. , Smith B. ,
  • 90', Weigandt M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
41.7%
Draw
25.4%
Cincinnati
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 21.4% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 21.1% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Miami's form might have worsened.
  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cincinnati's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cincinnati, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Inter Miami - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (1.74)
    3.76
    (4.44)
    2.86
    (3.99)
    5.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Cincinnati?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 50%). Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Inter Miami will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.47%97.53%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 2.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Recently, Inter Miami has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Falcon M. (Yellow Cards) Messi L. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Kann A. (Hip Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Allen N. (Hamstring Injury) Callender D. (Groin Injury) Obando A. (Hamstring Injury) Rodriguez B. (Hamstring Injury) Ustari O. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Denkey K. (Leg Injury) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.9:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 2.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Cincinnati were as follows:
    16.07.2025 Cincinnati - Inter Miami 3:0
    24.08.2024 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 2:0
    06.07.2024 Cincinnati - Inter Miami 6:1
    07.10.2023 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:1
    23.08.2023 Cincinnati - Inter Miami 3:4
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

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