Cincinnati vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
23/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MLS - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.882.89
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
89% (426/480)86% (429/500)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.882.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.433.59
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
412
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1821
Accurate through passes
04
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
118
Passes
89% (426/480)86% (429/500)
Long passes
36% (13/36)58% (26/45)
Passes in final third
78% (91/117)74% (75/101)
Crosses
15% (2/13)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.931.52
Throw-ins
1213
Fouls
811
Tackles
62% (8/13)60% (12/20)
Duels won
3342
Clearances
1116
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
3.590.43
Goals prevented
-0.410.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Messi L. , Silvetti M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 57', 0 - 2, Silvetti M. , Messi L. (A), Allende T. (A2)
  • 57', Engel L. , Orellano L. ,
  • 62', 0 - 3, Allende T. , Messi L. (A), Silvetti M. (A2)
  • 66', Hagglund N. , Jabbari A. ,
  • 66', Echenique E. , Kubo Y. ,
  • 71', Allen N. , Aviles T. ,
  • 74', 0 - 4, Allende T. , Messi L. (A), Busquets S. (A2)
  • 76', Rodriguez B. , Segovia T. ,
  • 76', Allende T. , Suarez L. ,
  • 78', Bucha P. , Nwobodo O. ,
  • 78', Hadebe T. , Powell A. ,
  • 82', Silvetti M. , Bright Y. ,
  • 82', Alba J. , Lujan G. ,

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
31.5%
Draw
24.4%
Inter Miami
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 24.3% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 23.8% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Cincinnati - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (2.79)
    3.93
    (3.89)
    2.19
    (2.26)
    4.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Miami: 41.5%84.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Cincinnati (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Cincinnati (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 40%). Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 3.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Inter Miami might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Miazga M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury) Sailor R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Smith B. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Inter Miami were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    16.07.2025 Cincinnati - Inter Miami 3:0
    24.08.2024 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 2:0
    06.07.2024 Cincinnati - Inter Miami 6:1
    07.10.2023 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:1
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps440014:11312
    2Los Angeles FC44008:0812
    3San Diego FC431011:3810
    4San Jose Earthquakes43016:159
    5Seattle Sounders43015:239
    6Real Salt Lake43017:529
    7Colorado Rapids42027:616
    8Houston Dynamo32015:506
    9FC Dallas41216:605
    10Los Angeles Galaxy41126:7-14
    11Austin FC41125:7-24
    12Sporting Kansas City41124:7-34
    13Minnesota United41124:11-74
    14Portland Timbers41036:11-53
    15St. Louis City40131:6-51


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York City431011:3810
    2Nashville SC43108:2610
    3Inter Miami42116:607
    4New York Red Bulls42114:5-17
    5DC United42024:406
    6Charlotte41214:5-15
    7Chicago Fire41125:414
    8Toronto FC41124:7-34
    9New England Revolution31027:613
    10Atlanta Utd41035:8-33
    11FC Cincinnati41033:8-53
    12CF Montreal41034:10-63
    13Orlando City41035:12-73
    14Columbus Crew40224:6-22
    15Philadelphia Union40042:7-50

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