Result
0:0
26/07/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Penso T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Canada | TSN 5 |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video |
Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 1.19 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
89% (484/544) | 85% (373/439) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 1.19 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.33 | 0.40 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
4 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
89% (484/544) | 85% (373/439) |
Long passes |
---|
63% (32/51) | 47% (24/51) |
Passes in final third |
---|
81% (136/167) | 73% (61/84) |
Crosses |
---|
15% (3/20) | 40% (2/5) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.23 | 1.13 |
Throw-ins |
---|
9 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 4 |
Tackles |
---|
74% (20/27) | 44% (4/9) |
Duels won |
---|
51 | 44 |
Clearances |
---|
10 | 28 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.40 | 0.33 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.40 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Cremaschi B. 🟨,
- 36', Aviles T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Valenzuela G. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
- 59', Kamara K. ↓, Sergio Santos ↑,
- 60', Redondo Solari F. 🟨,
- 71', Yedlin D. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
- 72', Lujan G. ↓, Allen N. ↑,
- 73', Redondo Solari F. ↓, Bright Y. ↑,
- 88', Engel L. ↓, Baird C. ↑,
- 88', Orellano L. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
- 90', Weigandt M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Inter Miami 41.7% | Draw 25.4% | Cincinnati 32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Miami's form might have worsened.Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cincinnati's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+13.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cincinnati, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Inter Miami - Cincinnati Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.28 ↑ (1.74) |
3.76 ↓ (4.44) |
2.86 ↓ (3.99) |
5.5% (5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Cincinnati?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 50%). Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Inter Miami will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 2.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Recently, Inter Miami has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Inter Miami: Falcon M.
(Yellow Cards)
Messi L.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Kann A.
(Hip Injury)
Nwobodo O.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Inter Miami: Allen N.
(Hamstring Injury)
Callender D.
(Groin Injury)
Obando A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Rodriguez B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ustari O.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Cincinnati: Denkey K.
(Leg Injury)
Kubo Y.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 2.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Miami won against Cincinnati?
Inter Miami has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Inter Miami?
Cincinnati has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Cincinnati were as follows:
16.07.2025
Cincinnati
-
Inter Miami
3:0
24.08.2024
Inter Miami
-
Cincinnati
2:0
06.07.2024
Cincinnati
-
Inter Miami
6:1
07.10.2023
Inter Miami
-
Cincinnati
0:1
23.08.2023
Cincinnati
-
Inter Miami
3:4
Latest results of Inter Miami
Latest results of Cincinnati
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Diego FC | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 50:32 | 18 | 49 |
2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 45 |
3 | Minnesota United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 44 |
4 | Seattle Sounders | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 41 |
5 | Los Angeles FC | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 41:30 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 33:34 | -1 | 37 |
7 | Austin FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 34 |
8 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 33:40 | -7 | 33 |
9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 49:45 | 4 | 32 |
10 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 31 |
11 | FC Dallas | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 37:45 | -8 | 28 |
12 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 32:41 | -9 | 28 |
13 | Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 24 |
14 | St. Louis City | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 21 |
15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 28:52 | -24 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 44:25 | 19 | 51 |
2 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 |
3 | Nashville SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 43:29 | 14 | 47 |
4 | Orlando City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 50:34 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
6 | Inter Miami | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 50:38 | 12 | 42 |
7 | Charlotte | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 44:39 | 5 | 41 |
8 | New York City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
9 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 36 |
10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:37 | 4 | 36 |
11 | New England Revolution | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 28 |
12 | Toronto FC | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 22 |
13 | Atlanta Utd | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 30:46 | -16 | 22 |
14 | CF Montreal | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 19 |
15 | DC United | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 22:51 | -29 | 19 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)