Cincinnati vs Inter Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
23/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MLS - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.882.89
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
89% (426/480)86% (429/500)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.882.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.433.59
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
412
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
26
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1821
Accurate through passes
04
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
118
Passes
89% (426/480)86% (429/500)
Long passes
36% (13/36)58% (26/45)
Passes in final third
78% (91/117)74% (75/101)
Crosses
15% (2/13)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.931.52
Throw-ins
1213
Fouls
811
Tackles
62% (8/13)60% (12/20)
Duels won
3342
Clearances
1116
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
3.590.43
Goals prevented
-0.410.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Messi L. , Silvetti M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 57', 0 - 2, Silvetti M. , Messi L. (A), Allende T. (A2)
  • 57', Engel L. , Orellano L. ,
  • 62', 0 - 3, Allende T. , Messi L. (A), Silvetti M. (A2)
  • 66', Hagglund N. , Jabbari A. ,
  • 66', Echenique E. , Kubo Y. ,
  • 71', Allen N. , Aviles T. ,
  • 74', 0 - 4, Allende T. , Messi L. (A), Busquets S. (A2)
  • 76', Rodriguez B. , Segovia T. ,
  • 76', Allende T. , Suarez L. ,
  • 78', Bucha P. , Nwobodo O. ,
  • 78', Hadebe T. , Powell A. ,
  • 82', Silvetti M. , Bright Y. ,
  • 82', Alba J. , Lujan G. ,

Chances of winning


Cincinnati
31.5%
Draw
24.4%
Inter Miami
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 24.3% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 23.8% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Cincinnati - Inter Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (2.79)
    3.93
    (3.89)
    2.19
    (2.26)
    4.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Cincinnati - Inter Miami?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Miami: 41.5%84.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Cincinnati (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Cincinnati (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 40%). Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 3.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Inter Miami might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Miazga M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Ruiz D. (Hamstring Injury) Sailor R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Smith B. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 2.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cincinnati - Inter Miami were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:0
    16.07.2025 Cincinnati - Inter Miami 3:0
    24.08.2024 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 2:0
    06.07.2024 Cincinnati - Inter Miami 6:1
    07.10.2023 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:1
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC651014:01416
    2Vancouver Whitecaps650117:41315
    3San Jose Earthquakes650110:1915
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6FC Dallas632114:9511
    7San Diego FC632113:8511
    8Colorado Rapids630313:1039
    9Minnesota United62226:12-68
    10Houston Dynamo52038:10-26
    11Austin FC61327:9-26
    12Los Angeles Galaxy61238:10-25
    13St. Louis City61235:8-35
    14Portland Timbers61149:15-64
    15Sporting Kansas City61146:14-84


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC641113:31013
    2New York City632114:7711
    3Charlotte632112:7511
    4Inter Miami632111:10111
    5Chicago Fire63128:5310
    6Toronto FC63129:10-110
    7New York Red Bulls63129:13-410
    8DC United62134:8-47
    9New England Revolution520311:926
    10FC Cincinnati62049:15-66
    11Columbus Crew61238:9-15
    12Atlanta Utd61146:11-54
    13CF Montreal61057:17-103
    14Orlando City61055:23-183
    15Philadelphia Union60064:11-70

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)