Inter Miami vs Cincinnati – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Inter Miami - Cincinnati
Result
0:0
26/07/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Penso T. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 5
chinaChinaZhiBo8
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.19
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
89% (484/544)85% (373/439)
Yellow Cards
40
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.330.40
Total shots
138
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
414
Passes
89% (484/544)85% (373/439)
Long passes
63% (32/51)47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
81% (136/167)73% (61/84)
Crosses
15% (3/20)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.231.13
Throw-ins
924
Fouls
144
Tackles
74% (20/27)44% (4/9)
Duels won
5144
Clearances
1028
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.400.33
Goals prevented
0.400.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Cremaschi B. 🟨,
  • 36', Aviles T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Valenzuela G. , Hadebe T. ,
  • 59', Kamara K. , Sergio Santos ,
  • 60', Redondo Solari F. 🟨,
  • 71', Yedlin D. , Powell A. ,
  • 72', Lujan G. , Allen N. ,
  • 73', Redondo Solari F. , Bright Y. ,
  • 88', Engel L. , Baird C. ,
  • 88', Orellano L. , Smith B. ,
  • 90', Weigandt M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Inter Miami
41.7%
Draw
25.4%
Cincinnati
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 21.4% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 21.1% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Miami's form might have worsened.
  • Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cincinnati's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cincinnati, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Inter Miami - Cincinnati Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (1.74)
    3.76
    (4.44)
    2.86
    (3.99)
    5.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Inter Miami - Cincinnati?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Inter Miami (votes: 1 - 50%). Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Inter Miami will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.47%97.53%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 2.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Recently, Inter Miami has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Inter Miami: Falcon M. (Yellow Cards) Messi L. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Kann A. (Hip Injury) Nwobodo O. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Inter Miami: Allen N. (Hamstring Injury) Callender D. (Groin Injury) Obando A. (Hamstring Injury) Rodriguez B. (Hamstring Injury) Ustari O. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Denkey K. (Leg Injury) Kubo Y. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.9:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 2.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Inter Miami - Cincinnati were as follows:
    16.07.2025 Cincinnati - Inter Miami 3:0
    24.08.2024 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 2:0
    06.07.2024 Cincinnati - Inter Miami 6:1
    07.10.2023 Inter Miami - Cincinnati 0:1
    23.08.2023 Cincinnati - Inter Miami 3:4
    Latest results of Inter Miami
    Latest results of Cincinnati
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 32176956:391757
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    3Minnesota United ✔ 321510752:371555
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders311210954:47746
    6Austin FC311281134:40-644
    7Portland Timbers3211111041:43-244
    8Colorado Rapids321171442:53-1140
    9San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    10FC Dallas319111147:51-438
    11Real Salt Lake311141635:46-1137
    12Houston Dynamo32991441:52-1136
    13St. Louis City32771839:55-1628
    14Sporting Kansas City32761946:67-2127
    15Los Angeles Galaxy31591741:62-2124


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 32196756:332363
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3New York City ✔ 321751049:41856
    4Inter Miami ✔ 30168665:471856
    5Charlotte ✔ 321721352:46653
    6Nashville SC321651155:391653
    7Orlando City30149758:431551
    8Columbus Crew321311851:49250
    9Chicago Fire311461159:53648
    10New York Red Bulls321271347:43443
    11New England Revolution32981541:45-435
    12Toronto FC315131331:38-728
    13CF Montreal32691733:56-2327
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United325101729:64-3525

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)