Result
3:1
15/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 28
- Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.55 | 0.98 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
86% (416/482) | 82% (328/401) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.55 | 0.98 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.97 | 1.22 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
86% (416/482) | 82% (328/401) |
Long passes |
---|
65% (34/52) | 27% (13/48) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (86/121) | 70% (69/98) |
Crosses |
---|
40% (8/20) | 0% (0/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.32 | 0.27 |
Throw-ins |
---|
25 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
91% (10/11) | 65% (11/17) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 33 |
Clearances |
---|
10 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.22 | 0.97 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.22 | -2.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', Gabriel ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 16', Romero O. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Neto Moura ⚽, Daniel Borges (A),
- 37', Guilherme 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Thiago Maia ⚽,
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Reinaldo ⚽, Cristian Renato (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Victor Gabriel ↓, Ricardo Mathias ↑,
- 49', 3 - 1, Negueba ⚽, Reinaldo (A),
- 54', Negueba 🟨,
- 55', Romero O. ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
- 55', Bruno Henrique ↓, Bruno Gomes ↑,
- 67', Negueba ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 67', Guilherme ↓, Shaylon ↑,
- 69', Thiago Maia ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 69', Vitao ↓, Clayton Sampaio ↑,
- 72', Bernabei A. 🟨,
- 77', Reinaldo ↓, Felipe Jonatan ↑,
- 77', Alesson ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
Chances of winning
Mirassol 44.6% | Draw 29% | Internacional RS 26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Mirassol - Internacional RS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.14 ↑ (2.09) |
3.31 ↑ (3.23) |
3.59 ↑ (3.58) |
4.9% (6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Internacional RS?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Internacional will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 40.8% – 79.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Internacional (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 15).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Internacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Mirassol could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Mirassol: Edson Carioca
(Muscle Injury)
PH
(Knee Injury)
Walter
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Internacional: Drummond L.
(Knee Injury)
Rochet S.
(Foot Injury)
Rodriguez A.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Da Silva
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Internacional: Juninho
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mirassol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Internacional RS?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Mirassol?
Internacional RS has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Internacional RS were as follows:
18.05.2025
Internacional RS
-
Mirassol
1:1
Latest results of Mirassol
Latest results of Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 53:26 | 27 | 61 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 56:15 | 41 | 61 |
3 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 42:21 | 21 | 56 |
4 | Mirassol | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 52 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
6 | Bahia | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 39:32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 41 |
8 | Sao Paulo | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 38 |
9 | Vasco | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 36 |
10 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
11 | Corinthians | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:35 | -4 | 36 |
12 | Gremio | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 36 |
13 | Ceara | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 27:27 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Internacional | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:41 | -6 | 35 |
15 | Atletico-MG | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
16 | Santos | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 31 |
17 | Vitoria | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 28 |
18 | Fortaleza | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
19 | Juventude | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 23 |
20 | Sport Recife | 28 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet