Nacional Montevideo vs Internacional RS – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores Nacional Montevideo - Internacional RS
Result
0:2
15/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.84
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
78% (317/408)79% (320/407)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.823.10
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
1916
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
165
Passes
78% (317/408)79% (320/407)
Long passes
44% (21/48)47% (27/57)
Passes in final third
61% (69/113)62% (73/117)
Crosses
19% (5/26)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.380.27
Throw-ins
2819
Fouls
516
Tackles
57% (13/23)65% (20/31)
Duels won
6560
Clearances
1846
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
3.100.82
Goals prevented
1.100.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Victor Gabriel 🟨,
  • 38', Coates S. , Calione P. ,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Ricardo Mathias , Aguirre B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Romero D. , Recoba J. ,
  • 46', Pereyra M. , Petit G. ,
  • 52', Thiago Maia , Ronaldo ,
  • 62', Bruno Henrique , Gustavo Prado ,
  • 63', Ricardo Mathias , Bruno Tabata ,
  • 63', Victor Gabriel , Juninho ,
  • 69', Baez Corradi G. , Herazo D. ,
  • 74', Wesley , Lucca ,
  • 75', Boggio L. , Otero R. ,
  • 90+4', Calione P. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 0 - 2, Aguirre B. , Alan Patrick (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
33%
Draw
31.1%
Internacional RS
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 31.5% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 31.4% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Internacional RS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.57)
    3.05
    (3.01)
    2.62
    (3.01)
    6%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Internacional RS?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Internacional will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nacional is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Internacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Nacional: Carneiro G. (Knee Injury) Mereles E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Internacional: Borre R. (Injury) Bruno Gomes (Knee Injury) Carbonero J. (Injury) Drummond L. (Knee Injury) Mercado G. (Knee Injury) Rochet S. (Broken Hand) Valencia E. (Injury) Vitinho (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Nacional: Morales L. (Injury) Oliva C. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Internacional RS were as follows:
    22.04.2025 Internacional RS - Nacional Montevideo 3:3
    07.06.2023 Nacional Montevideo - Internacional RS 1:1
    03.05.2023 Internacional RS - Nacional Montevideo 2:2
    Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
    Latest results of Internacional RS
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2