Result
0:2
15/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports 3 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Canada | beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 2 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
South-america | ESPN 5 South |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.52 | 1.84 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
78% (317/408) | 79% (320/407) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.52 | 1.84 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.82 | 3.10 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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19 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
78% (317/408) | 79% (320/407) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (21/48) | 47% (27/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
61% (69/113) | 62% (73/117) |
Crosses |
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19% (5/26) | 11% (1/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.38 | 0.27 |
Throw-ins |
---|
28 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
5 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
57% (13/23) | 65% (20/31) |
Duels won |
---|
65 | 60 |
Clearances |
---|
18 | 46 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.10 | 0.82 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.10 | 0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', Victor Gabriel 🟨,
- 38', Coates S. ↓, Calione P. ↑,
- 45', 0 - 1, Ricardo Mathias ⚽, Aguirre B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Romero D. ↓, Recoba J. ↑,
- 46', Pereyra M. ↓, Petit G. ↑,
- 52', Thiago Maia ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 62', Bruno Henrique ↓, Gustavo Prado ↑,
- 63', Ricardo Mathias ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
- 63', Victor Gabriel ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 69', Baez Corradi G. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
- 74', Wesley ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 75', Boggio L. ↓, Otero R. ↑,
- 90+4', Calione P. 🟨,
- 90+7', 0 - 2, Aguirre B. ⚽, Alan Patrick (A),
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo 33% | Draw 31.1% | Internacional RS 36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Nacional Montevideo - Internacional RS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.86 ↑ (2.57) |
3.05 ↑ (3.01) |
2.62 ↓ (3.01) |
6% (5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Internacional RS?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Internacional will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Nacional is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Internacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Nacional: Carneiro G.
(Knee Injury)
Mereles E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Internacional: Borre R.
(Injury)
Bruno Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Carbonero J.
(Injury)
Drummond L.
(Knee Injury)
Mercado G.
(Knee Injury)
Rochet S.
(Broken Hand)
Valencia E.
(Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Morales L.
(Injury)
Oliva C.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Internacional RS?
Nacional Montevideo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Nacional Montevideo?
Internacional RS has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Internacional RS were as follows:
22.04.2025
Internacional RS
-
Nacional Montevideo
3:3
07.06.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Internacional RS
1:1
03.05.2023
Internacional RS
-
Nacional Montevideo
2:2
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Internacional RS
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)