Result
0:2
15/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (317/408) | 79% (320/407) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 3.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (317/408) | 79% (320/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (21/48) | 47% (27/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (69/113) | 62% (73/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 65% (20/31) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.10 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', Victor Gabriel 🟨,
- 38', Coates S. ↓, Calione P. ↑,
- 45', 0 - 1, Ricardo Mathias ⚽, Aguirre B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Romero D. ↓, Recoba J. ↑,
- 46', Pereyra M. ↓, Petit G. ↑,
- 52', Thiago Maia ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 62', Bruno Henrique ↓, Gustavo Prado ↑,
- 63', Ricardo Mathias ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
- 63', Victor Gabriel ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 69', Baez Corradi G. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
- 74', Wesley ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 75', Boggio L. ↓, Otero R. ↑,
- 90+4', Calione P. 🟨,
- 90+7', 0 - 2, Aguirre B. ⚽, Alan Patrick (A),
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo
33% | Draw
31.1% | Internacional RS
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Nacional Montevideo - Internacional RS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.57) |
3.05 ↑
(3.01) |
2.62 ↓
(3.01) |
6%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Internacional RS?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Internacional will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Nacional (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Internacional (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Nacional is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Internacional has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Nacional: Carneiro G.
(Knee Injury)
Mereles E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Internacional: Borre R.
(Injury)
Bruno Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Carbonero J.
(Injury)
Drummond L.
(Knee Injury)
Mercado G.
(Knee Injury)
Rochet S.
(Broken Hand)
Valencia E.
(Injury)
Vitinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Morales L.
(Injury)
Oliva C.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Internacional RS?
Nacional Montevideo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Internacional RS won against Nacional Montevideo?
Internacional RS has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Internacional RS were as follows:
22.04.2025
Internacional RS
-
Nacional Montevideo
3:3
07.06.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Internacional RS
1:1
03.05.2023
Internacional RS
-
Nacional Montevideo
2:2
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Internacional RS
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cusco | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Coquimbo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Platense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Penarol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Lanus | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Mirassol | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
