Result
3:3
10/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 37
- Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8 |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League |
Brazil | Disney+, Xsports |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
Hungary | Match 4 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Ireland | NOW |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kenya | Gotv |
Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 5 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Premier League |
Turkey | Exxen |
United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.40 | 1.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (193/282) | 80% (338/423) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.40 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.49 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (193/282) | 80% (338/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (14/57) | 40% (19/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (41/78) | 58% (63/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/12) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 3.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Smit M. ⚽, Rigo T. (A),
- 42', Clarke J. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 0, Bae J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 49', 2 - 1, Bocat E. (Own goal),
- 58', Taylor J. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 2, Taylor J. ⚽,
- 69', Azon I. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
- 69', Taylor J. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
- 70', Bocat E. ↓, Agina S. ↑,
- 70', Tchamadeu J. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
- 75', Burns W. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 3, Hirst G. ⚽, Kipre C. (A),
- 84', Bae J. ↓, Cisse L. ↑,
- 86', Clarke J. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
- 86', Matusiwa A. ↓, Neil D. ↑,
- 90+2', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
- 90+5', Kipre C. 🟨,
- 90+6', 3 - 3, Smit M. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Stoke City 19.3% | Draw 23.8% | Ipswich Town 56.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stoke City's form might have worsened.Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ipswich Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ipswich Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stoke City - Ipswich Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.93 ↑ (3.52) |
3.99 ↑ (3.57) |
1.7 ↓ (2.02) |
4.1% (5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Ipswich Town?
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). Ipswich will win (votes: 25 - 78.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 63.8% – 92.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.75 - Ipswich (1.77) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ipswich Town will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 11 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Recent form of Stoke has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ipswich is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ipswich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ipswich is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Stoke: Ampah A.
(Injury)
Baker L.
(Inactive)
Bazunu G.
(Thigh Injury)
Bozenik R.
(Shoulder Injury)
Cresswell A.
(Calf Injury)
Gallagher S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Johansson V.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lawal B.
(Inactive)
Mubama D.
(Ankle Injury)
Thomas S.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Ipswich: Button D.
(Inactive)
Philogene J.
(Injury)
Townsend C.
(Knee Injury)
Young A.
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Bocat E.
(Injury)
Wilmot B.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Ipswich Town?
Stoke City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ipswich Town won against Stoke City?
Ipswich Town has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Ipswich Town were as follows:
10.12.2025
Ipswich Town
-
Stoke City
1:0
01.01.2024
Stoke City
-
Ipswich Town
0:0
12.08.2023
Ipswich Town
-
Stoke City
2:0
Latest results of Stoke City
Latest results of Ipswich Town
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One