Result
0:1
06/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.76 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (371/458) | 81% (285/351) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (371/458) | 81% (285/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (21/46) | 30% (14/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (90/134) | 70% (69/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Bubanja V. 🟨,
- 42', Mikolcic S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bukvic D. ↓, Omerovic N. ↑,
- 46', Mikolcic S. ↓, Teklic T. ↑,
- 54', Kolarik I. 🟨,
- 61', 0 - 1, Omerovic N. ⚽,
- 63', Akere S. ↓, Matkovic A. ↑,
- 63', Kolarik I. ↓, Mersinaj J. ↑,
- 67', Mauric A. ↓, Rozic V. ↑,
- 67', Frederiksen E. ↓, Ahmeti D. ↑,
- 72', Rozic V. 🟨,
- 74', Miettinen S. ↓, Heister M. ↑,
- 74', Loncar S. ↓, Skafar Zuzic N. ↑,
- 76', Mejia Moscoso D. M. 🟨,
- 79', Kadusic A. 🟨,
- 84', Stulac L. ↓, Agada C. ↑,
- 85', Jakupovic A. ↓, Colina D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Istra 1961
35% | Draw
30.6% | Osijek
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Istra 1961's form might have worsened.Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osijek's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Istra 1961 - Osijek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.66 ↑
(2.1) |
3.08 ↓
(3.23) |
2.73 ↓
(3.35) |
6.7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Osijek?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Osijek will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Istra 1961: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Istra 1961 (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Istra 1961 (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Istra 1961 (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Istra 1961 (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Istra 1961 (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Istra 1961 (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 3.
- Istra 1961 has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Osijek has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Nasraoui M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Osijek: Farkas N.
(Inactive)
Hasic E.
(Yellow Cards)
Shopov S.
(Knee Injury)
Toure Y.
(Inactive)
Vrbancic L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Osijek: Barisic B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:30. (average 1.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Osijek?
Istra 1961 has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Istra 1961?
Osijek has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Osijek were as follows:
07.12.2025
Osijek
-
Istra 1961
1:5
21.09.2025
Istra 1961
-
Osijek
2:1
25.05.2025
Osijek
-
Istra 1961
1:1
29.03.2025
Istra 1961
-
Osijek
2:1
20.12.2024
Osijek
-
Istra 1961
2:2
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 68:22 | 46 | 63 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 45:25 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:31 | 6 | 38 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 37 |
| 5 | Istra 1961 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 36 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 36 |
| 7 | Gorica | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 | Lok. Zagreb | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 31:45 | -14 | 30 |
| 9 | Osijek | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 26:52 | -26 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
