Result
1:1
25/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 36
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Croatia | MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (163/222) | 84% (250/297) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (163/222) | 84% (250/297) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (13/34) | 66% (23/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (28/49) | 70% (57/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Maresic D. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Dantas T. ↓, Farkas N. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Hernani ⚽,
- 62', Rozic V. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,
- 62', Maresic D. ↓, Keller S. ↑,
- 64', Hernani ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
- 65', Farkas N. 🟨,
- 70', Kadusic A. ↓, Heister M. ↑,
- 70', Gagua G. ↓, Fucak K. ↑,
- 80', Keller S. 🟨,
- 87', Bukvic D. ↓, Zivkovic F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Osijek
34.8% | Draw
28.7% | Istra 1961
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Istra 1961 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Osijek - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.64) |
3.26 ↑
(2.88) |
2.56 ↓
(2.83) |
6.9%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Osijek - Istra 1961?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Istra 1961 will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Istra 1961: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Osijek (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 0.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Istra 1961 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Istra 1961?
Osijek has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Osijek?
Istra 1961 has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Istra 1961 were as follows:
29.03.2025
Istra 1961
-
Osijek
2:1
20.12.2024
Osijek
-
Istra 1961
2:2
04.10.2024
Istra 1961
-
Osijek
2:1
20.04.2024
Osijek
-
Istra 1961
1:2
10.02.2024
Istra 1961
-
Osijek
1:0
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Gorica | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
| 8 | Varazdin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 9 | Osijek | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
