Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 7
- Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 2.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (351/425) | 82% (347/424) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 2.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (351/425) | 82% (347/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (39/67) | 50% (32/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (87/130) | 67% (91/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (16/24) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Omerovic N. ⚽, Colina D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', Shopov S. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
- 64', Lawal S. ↓, Robertsson L. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Mauric A. ⚽,
- 71', Bukvic D. ↓, Zivkovic F. ↑,
- 71', Jakupovic A. ↓, Toure Y. ↑,
- 74', Prevljak S. ↓, Bangura S. ↑,
- 74', Taraba F. ↓, Nasraoui M. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Bangura S. ⚽,
- 87', Maresic D. ↓, Ivanisevic J. ↑,
- 89', Vrbancic L. ↓, Mkrtchyan S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Istra 1961
37.5% | Draw
30.6% | Osijek
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Istra 1961 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Istra 1961's form might have worsened.Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Istra 1961, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Istra 1961 - Osijek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.1) |
3.37 ↑
(3.33) |
3.17 ↑
(3.1) |
-4.1%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Istra 1961 - Osijek?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Osijek will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Istra 1961: 12% – 65%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Osijek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Istra 1961 has had a series of away games.
- Istra 1961 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Osijek: Babec H.
(Inactive)
Hasic E.
(Injury)
Jugovic V.
(Inactive)
Jurisic R.
(Broken Leg)
Matkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Mersinaj J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:33. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Istra 1961 won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Osijek?
Istra 1961 has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Istra 1961?
Osijek has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 - Osijek were as follows:
25.05.2025
Osijek
-
Istra 1961
1:1
29.03.2025
Istra 1961
-
Osijek
2:1
20.12.2024
Osijek
-
Istra 1961
2:2
04.10.2024
Istra 1961
-
Osijek
2:1
20.04.2024
Osijek
-
Istra 1961
1:2
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:5 | 14 | 19 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 4 | Lok. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 5 | Istra 1961 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Gorica | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Osijek | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Rijeka | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
