Result
1:1
25/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 36
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Croatia | MAXtv To Go |
Italy | Como TV |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.28 | 1.17 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
73% (163/222) | 84% (250/297) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.28 | 1.17 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.59 | 0.87 |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
2 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
9 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
73% (163/222) | 84% (250/297) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (13/34) | 66% (23/35) |
Passes in final third |
---|
57% (28/49) | 70% (57/82) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (2/10) | 25% (4/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.25 | 0.51 |
Throw-ins |
---|
11 | 11 |
Fouls |
---|
5 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
86% (6/7) | 67% (4/6) |
Duels won |
---|
25 | 20 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 10 |
Interceptions |
---|
1 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.87 | 0.59 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.13 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', 0 - 1, Maresic D. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Dantas T. ↓, Farkas N. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Hernani ⚽,
- 62', Rozic V. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,
- 62', Maresic D. ↓, Keller S. ↑,
- 64', Hernani ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
- 65', Farkas N. 🟨,
- 70', Kadusic A. ↓, Heister M. ↑,
- 70', Gagua G. ↓, Fucak K. ↑,
- 80', Keller S. 🟨,
- 87', Bukvic D. ↓, Zivkovic F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Osijek 34.8% | Draw 28.7% | Istra 1961 36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Istra 1961 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Osijek - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.69 ↑ (2.64) |
3.26 ↑ (2.88) |
2.56 ↓ (2.83) |
6.9% (7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Osijek - Istra 1961?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Istra 1961 will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Istra 1961: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Osijek (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 0.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Istra 1961 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Istra 1961?
Osijek has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Osijek?
Istra 1961 has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Istra 1961 were as follows:
29.03.2025
Istra 1961
-
Osijek
2:1
20.12.2024
Osijek
-
Istra 1961
2:2
04.10.2024
Istra 1961
-
Osijek
2:1
20.04.2024
Osijek
-
Istra 1961
1:2
10.02.2024
Istra 1961
-
Osijek
1:0
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lok. Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
2 | D. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Vukovar 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL