Osijek vs Istra 1961 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Croatian HNL Osijek - Istra 1961
Result
1:1
25/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • HNL - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
croatiaCroatiaMAXtv To Go
italyItalyComo TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.281.17
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
510
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
73% (163/222)84% (250/297)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.281.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.590.87
Total shots
510
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
14
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
26
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
918
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
75
Passes
73% (163/222)84% (250/297)
Long passes
38% (13/34)66% (23/35)
Passes in final third
57% (28/49)70% (57/82)
Crosses
20% (2/10)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.250.51
Throw-ins
1111
Fouls
57
Tackles
86% (6/7)67% (4/6)
Duels won
2520
Clearances
1610
Interceptions
15
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.870.59
Goals prevented
-0.13-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', 0 - 1, Maresic D. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Dantas T. , Farkas N. ,
  • 55', 1 - 1, Hernani ,
  • 62', Rozic V. , Lawal S. ,
  • 62', Maresic D. , Keller S. ,
  • 64', Hernani , Soldo M. ,
  • 65', Farkas N. 🟨,
  • 70', Kadusic A. , Heister M. ,
  • 70', Gagua G. , Fucak K. ,
  • 80', Keller S. 🟨,
  • 87', Bukvic D. , Zivkovic F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Osijek
34.8%
Draw
28.7%
Istra 1961
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 32.2% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 32.3% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Istra 1961 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Osijek - Istra 1961 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.64)
    3.26
    (2.88)
    2.56
    (2.83)
    6.9%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Osijek - Istra 1961?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Istra 1961 will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Istra 1961: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Osijek (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 0.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Istra 1961 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Istra 1961 were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Istra 1961 - Osijek 2:1
    20.12.2024 Osijek - Istra 1961 2:2
    04.10.2024 Istra 1961 - Osijek 2:1
    20.04.2024 Osijek - Istra 1961 1:2
    10.02.2024 Istra 1961 - Osijek 1:0
    Latest results of Osijek
    17.05.2025 Varaždin - Osijek 2:1
    09.05.2025 Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb 1:1
    04.05.2025 Slaven Belupo - Osijek 1:4
    27.04.2025 Osijek - Hajduk Split 2:0
    23.04.2025 Rijeka - Osijek 0:2
    Latest results of Istra 1961
    16.05.2025 Istra 1961 - Šibenik 3:0
    11.05.2025 Istra 1961 - Varaždin 0:0
    28.04.2025 Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo 1:1
    23.04.2025 Hajduk Split - Istra 1961 0:1
    Croatian HNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lok. Zagreb11001:013
    2D. Zagreb00000:000
    3Hajduk Split00000:000
    4Osijek00000:000
    5Rijeka00000:000
    6Slaven Belupo00000:000
    7Varazdin00000:000
    8Istra 196100000:000
    9Gorica00000:000
    10Vukovar 199110010:1-10

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