Result
1:5
07/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 16
- Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (367/441) | 84% (370/440) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 3.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (367/441) | 84% (370/440) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (13/33) | 48% (31/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (66/103) | 75% (88/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.13 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.87 | 1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 10', Heister M. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Prevljak S. ⚽, Loncar S. (A),
- 27', 0 - 2, Prevljak S. ⚽, Loncar S. (A),
- 29', Renan Guedes 🟨,
- 30', Cvijanovic I. ↓, Matkovic A. ↑,
- 31', Mkrtchyan S. ↓, Hasic E. ↑,
- 44', 0 - 3, Prevljak S. ⚽, Heister M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Bukvic D. ↓, Mersinaj J. ↑,
- 46', Renan Guedes ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 4, Frederiksen E. ⚽, Prevljak S. (A),
- 53', Colina D. ↓, Jurisic R. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 4, Babec H. ⚽, Omerovic N. (A),
- 68', Frederiksen E. ↓, Jay A. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 5, Lawal S. ⚽, Prevljak S. (A),
- 75', Prevljak S. ↓, Rozic V. ↑,
- 77', Mersinaj J. 🟨,
- 80', Loncar S. ↓, Djuric D. ↑,
- 80', Lawal S. ↓, Bangura S. ↑,
- 81', Kumar R. ↓, Taraba F. ↑,
- 84', Djuric D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Osijek
40% | Draw
29.4% | Istra 1961
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Osijek - Istra 1961 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.01) |
3.17 ↓
(3.33) |
3.06 ↓
(3.67) |
6.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Osijek - Istra 1961?
Users Predictions:
Osijek will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 0.
- Osijek has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Istra 1961 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Osijek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Osijek is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Osijek: Mikolcic S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Vrbancic L.
(Inactive)
Zivkovic F.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Istra 1961: Kadusic A.
(Inactive)
Mauric A.
(Yellow Cards)
Nasraoui M.
(Inactive)
Rozic V.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Istra 1961?
Osijek has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Istra 1961 won against Osijek?
Istra 1961 has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Istra 1961 were as follows:
21.09.2025
Istra 1961
-
Osijek
2:1
25.05.2025
Osijek
-
Istra 1961
1:1
29.03.2025
Istra 1961
-
Osijek
2:1
20.12.2024
Osijek
-
Istra 1961
2:2
04.10.2024
Istra 1961
-
Osijek
2:1
Latest results of Istra 1961
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 31 |
| 3 | Slaven Belupo | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24:23 | 1 | 25 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Istra 1961 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Rijeka | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19:25 | -6 | 19 |
| 8 | Gorica | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 | Osijek | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 12 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16:30 | -14 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
